Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week the market was in consolidation mode and tested the 50-Day MA’s and bounced and… Employment report showed solid jobs growth in July Major averages found buying support at 50-Day MAs INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Real Estate, Utilities, Consumer Staples Weak: Information Technology, Energy, Materials The CBOE Volatility Index has […]

Investment Thoughts, No Recession in Sight

Investment Thoughts, No Recession in Sight

Investment thoughts FLASH: President Trump continues to hammer the Fed, and the market smells the cheap money coming. Pundits are calling for the Fed to stick to its mandate and ignore the usual election cycle games. A broadside about the ineffective trade policies and the damage that is doing to growth, employment and price stability […]

Campaign to Reinstate the Gold Standard in US Gathering Momentum

Campaign to Reinstate the Gold Standard in US Gathering Momentum

$XAU, $GLD, $USD The once-fringe fantasy of a return to the gold standard is creeping back into the mainstream. It has long been dismissed as a fool’s errand, on par with abandoning the Federal Reserve and other trappings of the modern economy. Mainstream economists deride it almost without exception. Reintroducing the gold standard would “be a disaster […]

President Trump ‘Angling’ for The Gold Standard

President Trump ‘Angling’ for The Gold Standard

$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump’s plans to nominate Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the Fed board, and that move points back to The Gold Standard, a policy option once advocated by both men and President Trump himself. The Big Q: What is the case for returning to The Gold Standard? The Big A: Is […]

President Trump’s Fed Noms Moore and Cain on Track

President Trump’s Fed Noms Moore and Cain on Track

FLASH: Top White House officials Sunday defended President Trump’s plan to name 2 political loyalists to the Fed’s board of governors, brushing aside controversies over their personal lives and qualifications to help run the world’s most powerful central bank. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow and acting White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney used […]

Trump Policy: Overhaul the Fed!

Trump Policy: Overhaul the Fed!

When the Fed’s FOMC policymakers met last month and put it 3-year rate-hike campaign on hold and backed ending a yearlong push to shrink their $4-T balance sheet, that was draining the liquidity out of the system and shrinking the wealth of American house holds by the trillions of dollars, they cited increased risks to […]

President Trump Summoned Fed Chairman to Dinner at the White House

President Trump Summoned Fed Chairman to Dinner at the White House

Monday, President Trump summoned Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to the White House for dinner to discuss recent economic developments and the overall outlook. The Fed is being tight lipped about the ongoing monetary policy discussions with President Trump. Chairman Powell’s comments were “consistent with his remarks at his press conference of last week,” the Fed […]

Fed Out of Touch, Fails to Communicate its Message Clearly

Fed Out of Touch, Fails to Communicate its Message Clearly

Fed Chairman Powell not listening, he is being reprieved a the enemy of the US economy and the equity markets. President Donald Trump expressed confidence in the Fed, and its Chairman, Jerome Powell, following reports that he has discussed firing his central bank chief, though the President complained again that interest rates have been rising […]

President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed

President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed

President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed Wednesday, White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said that US President Trump was not demanding a policy change at the Fed. President Trump heaped more criticism on the Fed Tuesday, calling rising US interest rates his “biggest threat.” The Trump Administration official said […]

China Has Launched Its Gold-backed ‘Petroyuan’

China Has Launched Its Gold-backed ‘Petroyuan’

China Has Launched Its Gold-backed ‘Petroyuan’ $CNY, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $GLD For the last few years, I have been writing about China’s coming Gold-backed ‘petroyuan’ and that it was imminent, few thought is possible. On 26 March China launch an RMB Yuan-dominated Crude Oil futures contract, it had tried before, but, now the contract has gotten […]

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Just 2 Friday’s ago, on January 26th The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made its latest BEV Zero, new all-time high.  Then 9 trading days later on Thursday February 8th it broke below its BEV -10% line in a dramatic fashion. The BEV plot seen below begins at […]

US President Trump Poised to Change Fed Leadership +

US President Trump Poised to Change Fed Leadership +

US President Trump Poised to Change Fed Leadership + $GLD,$SLV, $PPLT, $USD Every US President gets the chance to influence Fed policy through nominations to the central bank’s Board of Governors. But, most often, that chance is limited to a small number of nominations, 3 max, including a nomination for Chairperson. But President Trump is […]

They Call it “Monetary Policy”

They Call it “Monetary Policy”

They Call it “Monetary Policy” $DIA,  $SPY, $GLD,  $SLV The Dow Jones made its last all-time high on March 1st, and since then its valuation has been slowly deflating.  It closed this week only nine Dow Points away from breaking below its BEV -2.50% line in the chart below. After the amazing 32 new daily […]

Inflationary Pressures Loom in China, as Economy Firms

Inflationary Pressures Loom in China, as Economy Firms

Inflationary Pressures Loom in China, as Economy Firms Accelerated consumer and industrial prices growth indicates nascent inflationary pressure on the Chinese economy, despite the good start to Y 2017. The CPI (consumer price index) rose 2.5% Y-Y last month, fractionally above market expectations of 2.4% and the strongest in 2.5 years. Meanwhile, industrial inflation expanded […]

PBOC: China Will Keep Monetary Policy Neutral

PBOC: China Will Keep Monetary Policy Neutral

PBOC: China Will Keep Monetary Policy Neutral $CNY China should keep its monetary policy stable and neutral, a Chinese central bank official said Wednesday. Yi Gang, deputy governor of the People’s Bank of China, made the remarks at the annual meeting of Chinese Economists 50 Forum (CE50) when responding to questions on China’s monetary policy. […]

Weak Crude Oil Prices Mirror US’s Weak Economy

Weak Crude Oil Prices Mirror US’s Weak Economy

Weak Crude Oil Prices Mirror US’s Weak Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $USO Late last month the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that it was overstating domestic demand for Crude Oil and energy products to a “considerable degree”. Using imprecise and lagging data, the calculations for the amount of product being exported overseas was […]

Caution, Investors are Chasing Stocks, more Tactical than Fundamental

Caution, Investors are Chasing Stocks, more Tactical than Fundamental

Caution, Investors are Chasing Stocks, more Tactical than Fundamental $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Investors are no longer running from the stock market they are chasing it for reasons that are more tactical than fundamental: Caution. It is too early to tell where the UK’s new position in the overall context of the EU will be […]

The Fed Policy Makers are Fighting for Their Lives

The Fed Policy Makers are Fighting for Their Lives

The Fed Policy Makers are Fighting for Their Lives Something interesting happened the Friday (Quad Witching) before Brexit; trading volume exploded on a decline in the Dow Jones.  In the BEV chart below I inserted the daily trading volume (mils) for the Dow Jones instead of the usual BEV values to highlight what happened. It […]

Abenomics Not Likely to Lift Japan Out of Sluggish Growth

Abenomics Not Likely to Lift Japan Out of Sluggish Growth

Abenomics Not Likely to Lift Japan Out of Sluggish Growth Statistics released Wednesday showed Japan recorded better-than-expected economic growth numbers in Q-1 of the year. However, economists said the real picture may not be as rosy as it looks to be based on preliminary statistics. The reform plans championed by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, known […]