US Households More Upbeat About Their Finances

US Households More Upbeat About Their Finances

#consumer #sentiment #virus #vaccine $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX A gauge of sentiment among US consumers advanced for a 3rd wk running matching the highest mark since April as households grew more upbeat about their finances, the economy and the buying climate. The Consumer Comfort Index rose 1.8 pts to 49.8 last wk, matching a […]

US Housing Starts Spike 4.9%, Building Permits at a 13.5-yr Highs

US Housing Starts Spike 4.9%, Building Permits at a 13.5-yr Highs

#housing #starts #permits #virus #chaos “The stock of housing under construction increased 1.2% to a rate of 1.224-M units, the highest since December 2006″ — Paul Ebeling   US homebuilding increased more than expected in October as the housing market continues to be driven by record low mortgage rates, and is expected to continue, despite […]

US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

#stocks #disaster #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Good News: Investors rotated out of growth stocks and into value/cyclical/small-cap stocks marking all time highs. The Bad News Standing against the cause of Joe Biden in stock markets is a whole lot of trouble: the coronavirus, its attendant hardships, and high corporate valuations. Add to […]

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

#Fed #WallStreet #liquidity #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Fed is absolutely supportive, Chairman Powell stresses it has got the market’s back, they are there” — Paul Ebeling Given the choice between a broad package of economic aid/relief/stimulus and targeted Fed liquidity support, Wall Street prefers liquidity, due to its benefits for asset prices. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #election #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #earnings $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The likelihood of a Trump victory has not been factored in to stock prices“– Paul Ebeling Last week’s action Stocks to consolidate last week the big move off of the 24 September lows, tested and reversed Thursday, tested again, and rallied on […]

US Economy: An Across the Board Boom

US Economy: An Across the Board Boom

#economy #boom #jobs #PresidentTrump $SPY White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow says the nation is undergoing “an across the board boom” that means more jobs, particularly because “inventories are at rock bottom.” In an interview last Thursday Mr. Kudlow said he is not confident there would be a virus stimulus package anytime soon. “There is basically an […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Big Earning’s Week Ahead

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Big Earning’s Week Ahead

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week’s action Stocks were consolidating the big move off of the 24 September lows on low to moderate volume. Technical analysis The NAS Comp, S&P 500, DJIA indexes finished lower on the wk. This current consolidation is 8 sessions in the making […]

The History of the S&P 500 Post a Presidential Election

The History of the S&P 500 Post a Presidential Election

#SP500 #election #PredisentTrump #JoeBiden #Republican #Democrat $SPY $SPX “There can be no doubt the S&P 500 has done very well since the 2016 election, President Trump’s policies have brought investors returns not seen since FDR, Harry Truman and Dwight Eisenhower.“–Paul Ebeling Donald Trump does not sound like a Washington DC politician because he is not […]

US Existing Home Sales Spike 9.4% to 14-Yr Highs

US Existing Home Sales Spike 9.4% to 14-Yr Highs

#home #sales #existing US existing home sales rose to a more than 14-yr highs in September, boosted by historically low mortgage rates. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported Thursday that existing home sales jumped 9.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.54-M units last month, the highest mark since May 2006. Economists polled had forecast sales […]

Home Loans Spike with the Strong Economic Recovery

Home Loans Spike with the Strong Economic Recovery

#Home #loans #economic #recovery #Covid19 “Home loans to reach $3.2-T in 2020, Most in 17 yrs“– Paul Ebeling US home mortgage originations are forecast to total $3.18-T this year, the most since Y 2003, as low rates drive a spike in refinancing and purchases, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). Housing activity has soared […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Americans are Happy, they are doing ‘The Trump’”— Paul Ebeling Last week’s action US stocks opened Thursday with a gap to near support.to bounce stocks back upside testing rebound we will be able see if the leaders will break higher, they did setting […]

The Bulls have Faith in President Trump and the American Consumer

The Bulls have  Faith in President Trump and the American Consumer

#PresidentTrump #Bulls #Consumer $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX Bulls are convinced President Trump, the American consumer and the stock market are going to hold up fine, as politicians appear increasingly likely, approve another round of fiscal stimulus before next month’s elections. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) said Sunday that few differences remained with President Trump’s administration […]

The Most Expensive City to Buy a House is San Francisco

The Most Expensive City to Buy a House is San Francisco

#SanFrancisco #house #buy “A 6-figure income may not be enough to buy a house in San Francisco. California“– Paul Ebeling The most expensive city in the US to buy a house is San Francisco, where homebuyers need a $206,760 income to live comfortably and buy a house. California is the most expensive to own a […]

Commercial Real Estate Will Be in Trouble Long After COVID-19 has Faded

Commercial Real Estate Will Be in Trouble Long After COVID-19 has Faded

#RealEstate #Commercial #Covid19 #BlackSwan #CBRE “People who used to dress up and go to work in offices are now working from home in pajamas, they like it” — Paul Ebeling Commercial real estate owners, brokers and landlords have collectively made many hundreds of billions of dollars a year in recent years as the economy moved […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The success of The Trump Economy, and it is strong, is the stock market’s driver”— Paul Ebeling Last week’s action The Black Swan has flown away, President Trump is Covid immune and back in full swing. Last Friday, not much was scheduled, but […]

The Market is Saying, “Be not afraid, economic stimulus is coming”

The Market is Saying, “Be not afraid, economic stimulus is coming”

#market #stimlus #PresidentTrump #Fed $DIA $DJIA $SPY $SPX $QQQ $RUTX $USD $DXY “Investors should be preparing for inflation, not this recovering economy.“– Paul Ebeling The US and the been through a profound economic shock with the China ‘Act of War’ virus, but everything every policy-making body in the US is doing is inflationary it is […]

President Trump and the Fed are Aligned for a Fast Recovery

President Trump and the Fed are Aligned for a Fast Recovery

#PresidentTrump #Fed #FOMC #GDP #economy #recovery “This positive turn in the economy is even more remarkable because it happened without the additional stimulus the mins show Fed officials expected in July.” — Paul Ebeling Last month Fed policy makers agreed that the economy was recovering from the China virus chaos recession much faster than they […]

Gold’s Price Action Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Gold’s Price Action Ahead of FOMC Meeting

#gold #FOMC #price $XAU $GLD $USD The gold futures contract gained 0.66% Monday, as it continued to fluctuate following the recent advance. Recently gold was retracing a rally from around 1,800 to 7 August record high of 2,089.20 in reaction to USD advance, among other factors. Then gold has bounced off the support level marked by mid-August […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Growth is the tone“– Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action saw a Black Swan President Trump was infected by the C-19 coronavirus, and hospitalized at Walter Reed, the market sold off over night and recovered by 50% late in the session, and […]

Gold Tops 1,900, Marks Biggest Rise in 8 Weeks

Gold Tops 1,900, Marks Biggest Rise in 8 Weeks

#gold #XAU #GLD $XAG $SLV $USD “Gold will remain range-bound in the short term. The market will wait through the weekend and look for news.” — Paul Ebeling Gold held the 1,900 mark in trading Friday, with gains capped by a firm USD, but bullion remained headed for its biggest weekly rise in 8 wks […]

The Reality of Covid-19 has Hit Home, Conspiracy Theories Must Stop

The Reality of Covid-19 has Hit Home, Conspiracy Theories Must Stop

#PresidentTrump #Covid-19 #financialmarkets #volatility #conspiracy $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX “President Trump and the First Lady are infected with the China virus, America is praying for their speedy recovery. And President Trump contracting the coronavirus is ‘short-term noise’ that jolts asset prices, but there is nothing which should change the market dynamic seen in past election […]

October, the Stock Market’s History

October, the Stock Market’s History

#stock #market #October #history #SP500 $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX September was the 1st losing month for Wall Street since a recovery rally began in on 23 March. Market history suggests that September, historically the worst performing month of the year for US stocks, could be followed by the indexes outperforming in October, that rank […]

FYI: Traditionally the S&P 500 has Fallen the Day after the 1st Debate, This Time it was Different

FYI: Traditionally the S&P 500 has Fallen the Day after the 1st Debate, This Time it was Different

#StockMarket #PresidentTrump #JoeBiden #PresidentialDebate $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Financial markets care more about policies than politics, President Trump’s policies are working,”–Paul Ebeling Presidential debates do not change the course of history. Till today they have never been a major market mover, this time it was different. Wednesday, the major US stock market indexes finished at: DJIA +329.04 at […]

“We Will Rebuild Prosperity. We did it Once, We will do it Again”

“We Will Rebuild Prosperity. We did it Once, We will do it Again”

#PresidentTrump #rebuild #economy #growth #consumer #conficence “We will rebuild prosperity. We built it once, we will rebuild it again.” –Larry Kudlow White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow vowed that President Trump will continue to push the economy along a path of strong growth in the wake of the China virus chaos. “Regarding his 2nd-term policies to […]

FYI: How Markets Perform after the 1st Presidential Debate

FYI: How Markets Perform after the 1st Presidential Debate

#StockMarket #PresidentTrump #JoeBiden #PresidentialDebate $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Financial markets care more about policies than politics, President Trump’s policies are working,”–Paul Ebeling Presidential debates do not change the course of history. They have not ever been a major market mover either. The Big Q: Could this debate between President Trump and Democratic challenger Joe […]

President Trump will Give the US 4 More Years of Economic Growth

President Trump will Give the US 4 More Years of Economic Growth

#PresidentTrump #economic #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “We the People hold the Key to saving America from going to a place from which it will never return”— Paul Ebeling There are a lot of things going on in the financial markets, and there are a lot of reasons why markets are very active, but […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, October Looms

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, October Looms

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week in Review Despite the seesaw action in the long term it is constructive. Volatility is flat, and the P/C ratio recently hit 1.0 on an Northside session. Those are positive divergences. Technical Analysis NAS Comp: Thursday, the index tested to […]

US Housing Market is On Fire, Mortgage Applications Increase as Buying Activity Spikes

US Housing Market is On Fire, Mortgage Applications Increase as Buying Activity Spikes

#housing #market Existing home sales are hitting the highest marks in 14 yrs, so, it is clear the US housing market is on fire. Mortgage demand is rising again despite the highest interest rates in several wks. Mortgage applications increased 6.8% from 1 wk earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications […]

US Home Mortgage Rates: 30-Yr Loans at 2.86% a Record-Low

US Home Mortgage Rates: 30-Yr Loans at 2.86% a Record-Low

#mortgage #recordlows Mortgage rates in the US dropped to another record low, adding fuel to a housing market that’s been a Key source of strength for the virus chaos economy. The average for a 30-yr, fixed loan was 2.86%, down from 2.93% last week and the lowest in almost 50 yrs of data-keeping by Freddie […]

This is Not an Entry into a Bear Market, but an Opportunity in This Raging Bull Market

This is Not an Entry into a Bear Market, but an Opportunity in This Raging Bull Market

#BullMarket $FAANGs #correction #internet #value #earnings $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX I do not believe that we are at the beginning a Bear market. I believe this is a long overdo correction, a pause to refresh at most. The Internet and FAANG-related stocks were very fully valued based on analysts projections of earnings in Y […]

Stocks are Forward Looking Assets, the Sentiment is Very Bullish

Stocks are Forward Looking Assets, the Sentiment is Very Bullish

#PresidentTrump #Fed #liquidity #stocks #earnings #economy #VShaped $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks are forward-looking assets, so this market should hold up in the coming months no matter economic numbers are not great and The Virus is still hanging around, we have at V-Shaped stock market recovery and a V-Shaped economy is building. The amount […]

The Coming ‘Spending Boom’ Will Drive Stocks and Economy Due North

The Coming ‘Spending Boom’ Will Drive Stocks and Economy Due North

#spending #boom #stocks #economy #gold #hedge #liquidity $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $GLD $XAU A “spending boom” will happen in Y 2021 as pent-up demand from consumers and increased liquidity shoveled into the economy as a successful vaccine and and C-19 coronavirus treatment is developed. And the stock market has much more room to run even […]

The US Economy Booms, The C-19 Coronavirus Fades

The US Economy Booms, The C-19 Coronavirus Fades

#economy #stock #market #booms #virus #fades #exuberance $SPY #SPX The US economy has rebounded with unemployment rates falling substantially over the past 3 months and the stock market booming will only improve more as the coronavirus chaos is gotten more under control, Economist Steven Moore predicted Sunday that the economy will really start to boom […]

Increasing Bullishishness Dovetails with Savvy Wall Street Strategists

Increasing Bullishishness Dovetails with Savvy Wall Street Strategists

#WallStreet #Bullishishness #VIX #coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The fear on Wall Street is fading, as stocks continue their unprecedented Bull run in the midst of the global coronavirus chaos. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), or “fear gauge,” is near its lowest mark since late February and options markets are showing diminishing concerns of […]

President Trump, “An Incredible Comeback is Underway”

President Trump, “An Incredible Comeback is Underway”

#PresidentTrump #economy #comback $QQQ $SPY $GM $F $MMM We are seeing the fastest economic recovery in US history Under President Trump, America built the strongest economy the world has ever seen. The stock market broke and continues to break records, the unemployment rate dropped to its lowest marks in 50 yrs, and income inequality fell as […]

The 100-Day Gainer Best Since August 1933, The Trump Policies Work

The 100-Day Gainer Best Since August 1933, The Trump Policies Work

#stocks #recovery #Bull #Bear #market #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US stock market has not experienced a 100-Day gainer this strong since Y 1933, stocks have seen a very strong recovery in the 100 trading days since the 23 March lows Thursday marked the 100th trading day since the stock market’s chaos panic […]

Vitamin Market to 2X by 2027

Vitamin Market to 2X by 2027

#vitamin #market #diet $PFE $NSFGF $BASFY Vitamins are micronutrients essential for the development, repair & metabolism of the human body. They must be available in a sufficient amount in the human diet as the human body cannot produce them. Thus, its requirement provides ample scope for the development of vitamin supplying products market. Such products […]

Residential Housing Market is Worth $35-T, America’s Biggest Industry

Residential Housing Market is Worth $35-T, America’s Biggest Industry

#housing $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $ITB $VXX Last month, US new home sales spiked 55%, their biggest gainer since Y 2005. The number of Americans looking to refinance their mortgages spiked 111%. And Quicken Loans (Private), the America’s largest mortgage broker just posted its best Quarter in its 35-yr history. In 1-H of Y 2020, Quicken […]

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Drives Around C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Drives  Around C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

#Ferrari #RACE #earnings, #C19Coronavirus $RACE Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) has a defensive business model that has held up very well through past economic downturns. If anything, the C-19 coronavirus chaos should be easier for Ferrari to navigate than past outlier events. The Maranello Outfit’s customer base is holding up very well, and the other supercar companies have reported strong […]

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

#dollar #gold $USD $DXY $XAU $GLD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS Savvy participants are going “all-in” on gold, Goldman Sachs is going “all-in” on gold, that is happening by the currant Southside pressure on the Buck. With more Southside expected in US real interest rates we here at HeffX-LTN are reiterating our Long gold […]

Gold, Silver Rally Hard on Softening USD

Gold, Silver Rally Hard on Softening USD

#gold #silver #dollar #rally #safehaven #insurance #recovery #demand $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD Wednesday, Gold rose to a 9-yr high as an escalation in US-China tensions fueled demand for safety, while silver followed bullion’s rally to hit a near 7 yr high on expectations of a recovery in industrial demand. Spot gold hit its highest […]

US Needed Tough Leader, Now it Has 1, the Market Confirms It…

US Needed Tough Leader, Now it Has 1, the Market Confirms It…

#President Trump #leader #tough #C19coronavirus #policies #market #WhiteHouse $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “US Needs Very Tough Leader, Not Empathy and Love” — Dick Morris America needs a “very tough leader” in these times of violent race protests and the outbreak of the C-19 coronavirus, former presidential adviser and campaign consultant Dick Morris said in […]

Fed’s ‘Tool Box’ is Open if Need Be

Fed’s ‘Tool Box’ is Open if Need Be

#Fed #C19coronavirus #tools #asset #economy #aid #relief #stimulus #data #market #support #liquidity #lockdowns #consumers #uncertainty Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida said officials would turn to additional forward guidance and asset purchases if the economy needs more aid. “We have a lot of accommodation in place. There is more that we can do. There is more […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street,

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street,

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #money #trading #investing #vaccine #coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $PFE $VXX Last Week’s Action Pfizer Inc.’s (NYSE:PFE) announcement regarding a C-19 coronavirus vaccine boosted sentiment Stocks start Q-3 higher, leaders continue to lead. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) signals strong expansion. FOMC mins show that the Fed plans to buy bonds for […]

Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

#IndependenceDay #US #stock #markets #DJIA #NFPs #jobs #investors #PresidentTrump #economy #WhiteHouse #PPP #vaccine #C19coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose Thursday and gained on the week, as investors cheered the resiliency of a US economy that created nearly 5-M jobs in June and the number for May revised to nearly 3-M. President Trump said June’s better-than-expected […]

S&P 500 Marks Best Quarter Since 1998 with 20% Gainer, DJIA Good Too, NAS Comp Fares Better!

S&P 500 Marks Best Quarter Since 1998 with 20% Gainer, DJIA Good Too, NAS Comp Fares Better!

#SP500 #stimulus #economy #Trump #Bulls $SPY $SPX $DIA #QQQ The S&P 500 rallied Tuesday to finish higher and biggest its biggest Quarterly percentage gainer in more than 20 yrs as improving economic data boosted investor beliefs that the aid/relief/stimulus backed rebound for the US economy was is happening. Coming off a Bear dive of 20% […]

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

#aid/relief #businesses #rally #Fed #FOMC #Congress #PPP #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Fed Chairman Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin testified before the House Financial Services Committee about the measures taken to support the economy. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Congress Tuesday that The Trump Administration wants the next round of economic aid/relief to […]

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

$XAU $SPY $VIX $VXX The last few months have been super for the US stock market and for gold Few thought in March that the S&P 500 would be back above 3,000, the DJIA would be back above 25,000 and the NAS would mark new all-time highs in late June. As we roll into the Summer Doldrums there are signs of […]

Baked in Q-2 Earnings are Off, the Stock Market Will Continue North

Baked in Q-2 Earnings are Off, the Stock Market Will Continue North

$SPY The S&P 500 is cheaper than many think, meaning more profitable. The stock market is cheaper and profitability is better than the pundits would have us believe. The deep dive baked into Q-2 consensus earnings understates the real core earnings of many US companies. Here I show where there is Northside in the overall […]

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Inflation in the US is likely to come back slowly, keeping the Fed from raising interest rates for an extended period. Over the next couple of years, prices are likely to increase to the 2.3% to 2.4% level, as the Fed has learned its lesson from past interest rate increases […]

US in V-shaped Economic Recovery, Financial Markets Ignore Social Issues

US in V-shaped Economic Recovery, Financial Markets Ignore Social Issues

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX “The financial market is a reflection of the world it operates in, the essential meaning of the wisdom of money in action, expressed through buying and selling companies’ shares, it is always right.” Economist John Maynard Keynes likened the stock market to a beauty contest in which competitors try to pick […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX Optimistic US Stock Market Will Survive Racial and C-19 Coronavirus Chaos| Last week’s action  Stocks continue testing, as indexes that marked new highs have given them up. The charts of the PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX), the S&P 500 and others show reversals, suggesting there may be more testing (selling) […]

When There are Too Many Bulls the Market Reverses Every Time

When There are Too Many Bulls the Market Reverses Every Time

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +477.37 at 25605.56, NAS Comp +96.08 at 9588.83, S&P 500 +39.21 at 3041.18 Friday, the S&P 500 gained 1.3% to reclaim some of Thursday’s 7% day’s decline, it was up 2.9% early in the session. The DJIA (+1.9%), NAS Comp (+1.0%), and Russell 2000 (+2.3%) also bounced.   Media explanations, like the risk of a 2nd wave of […]

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BA $VXX President Trump says the US economy will be back and better than ever next year. Thursday, President Trump hammered the Fed after Fed Chairman Powell offered a grim outlook on the US economy, saying there is a “long road” ahead. “I see the numbers also, and do MUCH better […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, the Trump Fed signaled it will provide years of extraordinary support for an economy clawing back from the C-19 coronavirus chaos. Th FOMC projects a 6.5% decline in GDP this yr and a 9.3% unemployment rate at yr’s end. In the 1st economic projections of the virus quarter, US central […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $IRJ $XLF $VXX Bulls believe in this recovery, drive Bears back, as the market rallies with each sign of economic recovery. Recall the Bears growled alarms about putting faith in the Fed and chasing shares whose valuations swelled to a 20-yr high. Last Week’s Action Friday’s NFPs jobs report says the resilience reflects not […]

History: US Market Responses During Major Protests and Tragedies

History: US Market Responses During Major Protests and Tragedies

$SPY There is a big gap between what is happening on the streets in America’s cities and the American stock market has confounded lots of both professional and retail investors, this is nothing new. Below is a overview of how similar frames of civil violence and political unrest have played out in the market throughout history, […]

Looking for this Rally to Continue Into the Fall

Looking for this Rally to Continue Into the Fall

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX No matter what you here, this market is not overvalued and barring any unexpected bad non-economic news, will continue to head due North. The current P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is 22ish. That is in line with the 12-month forward P/E ratio based on analysts’ expected EPS. The 25-yr MA is 25 […]

Boeing (NYSE:BA) Leads the Broad Market Due North

Boeing (NYSE:BA) Leads the Broad Market Due North

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wall Street rallied Wednesday with the NAS Comp approaching record highs as signs of an economic recovery from the Medical Malpractice chaos instant recession. Financials, industrials and tech pushed the 3 major US stock indexes well into the Green. The S&P 500 and the NAS Comp each posted their 4th day […]

The Stock Market is about Money, It has “No Conscience”

The Stock Market is about Money, It has “No Conscience”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wall Street stocks extend rally despite the terrorist rioting sweeping the nation. “At the end of the day, the market has no conscience. Investors are simply trying to make money, and that is why they are crowding into the stay-at-home economy stocks,” Jim Cramer said Tuesday, adding people still pick […]

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX It is the end of May and the S&P 500 cracked and broke through the Key overhead resistance at 3,000 and held, this after a month of sideways trading and consolidation. Now Summer is here an my prediction should make investors feel safer after this unpopular rally drove prices higher […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $UTX $VXX Last week’s action President Trump is now Laser focused on Opening Up America The S&P 500 hit the 78% Fibo retracement of the selloff. After a good 3rd leg, the market is ready for a test, how deep a test is the Big Q. We are watching the leaders to […]

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Big Q: Is the worst behind the stock market after a coronavirus-induced selloff? The Big A: We do not know for sure as officials attempt to restart economies from a self-imposed period of hibernation to curb the spread of the virus, but a chart pairing the infections of the […]

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $IWM  Small-caps, mid-caps, and most cyclical sectors outperformed the day. Market volatility has calmed since the extremes of mid-March, and recent moves may augur well for stocks. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, closed below its 2nd-month future Monday for the 1st time since 21 February, going back to a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX Investors are pinning their hopes for the reopening of the US economy on the potential for wider availability of testing for COVID-19 cases and on drug trials for treatments of the disease. We have been letting doctors, who have shown the same propensity for predicting this virus as weathermen […]

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX The lack of demand in the world Crude Oil market has set it up to be forced into a necessary rebalancing over the coming weeks as rapidly filling storage leads to significant production cuts and higher prices. See price volatility continuing high in the weeks ahead, as retail […]

The US Now Has 3 Companies with Market Caps Over $1-T

The US Now Has 3 Companies with Market Caps Over $1-T

$APPL $AMZN $MSFT Companies have moved in and out of the $1-T market cap club since Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) created it in August 2018. Despite the stock market’s recent waterfall and come back, 3 companies have shares that trade so that their values are above the $1-T mark: Apple, Amazon and Microsoft. It is easy […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Coronavirus Chaos Continues Stock indexes moved up continue the up trend pattern Economic data are generationally bad. Stocks continue to set up Bullish patterns. After hours reports of Gilead Sciences’s (NASDAQ:GILD) drug provide promise. Boeing (NYSE:BA) also promised to restart Seattle production. Friday gapped higher on options expiry, finishing […]

On 26 March I Reported that I Believed that the Following Stocks Would Highly Benefit from the Coronavirus Chaos…

On 26 March I Reported that I Believed that the Following Stocks Would Highly Benefit from the Coronavirus Chaos…

…now I will let you know how they are doing and why. Further, here my discussion on the future, “Beyond the Virus: Refocusing on Essential Industries and Businesses” have a look. $VNDA, $ACLS, $RDNT, $CNO, $PGNX, $PRDO, $CLF, $UCTT, $CF, $MOV If this uncertainty and volatility have you prudently sidelined in cash, know that all things […]

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

$DIA $SPY $QQQ Many people saw the recent market selloff as the start of a Bear market, from the beginning I argued it was an external effect in this long Bull market. So, whether 23-24 March marked The bottom or A bottom is irrelevant I believe. The broad Question is whether the long-term factors that […]

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Despite millions of jobless claims, despite most of the country being sequestered at home, despite a falling in GDP, and despite the scare and fear brought on by the coronavirus the major US market stock indexes have recovered 50% of their losses in just the last 2 wks. At the […]

A Trump Stabilized Energy Market to Support Stocks

A Trump Stabilized Energy Market to Support Stocks

$USO $OIL Just In: The Saudi energy minister said Sunday that effective Crude Oil supply cuts by OPEC and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, will amount to 12.5-M BPD because of higher output in April from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Sunday, an agreement by Crude Oil producing nations to […]

ETFs are Making ‘Record Purchases’ of the Precious Yellow Metal

ETFs are Making ‘Record Purchases’ of the Precious Yellow Metal

$GLD, $XAU $GOLD $NEM Thursday, Gold prices spiked after the Trump Fed announced a $2.3-B ‘Big Bang’ lending program to cushion Main Street from disruptions caused by the COVID-19 coronavirus. Gold futures for April delivery climbed 4.25% to over 1,736.20 oz to close at their highest mark since December 2012. In the last 6 wks there have huge […]

Gold ETF Assets Saw Their Largest ever Quarterly Gainer in Q-1 Y 2020

Gold ETF Assets Saw Their Largest ever Quarterly Gainer in Q-1 Y 2020

$GLD $XAU Gold-backed ETFs and similar products account for a significant part of the gold market, with institutional and individual investors using them to implement many of their investment strategies. Flows in ETFs highlight short-term and long-term opinions and desires to holding gold. The data tracks gold held in physical form by open-ended ETFs and […]

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We see lots of Sell-side research and analysis (taking a contrarian POV) daily, and over the years certain equity strategists have made some very good calls. On 19 March in the midst of what was some of the most brutal, high-velocity machine selling ever, Barry Bannister and his team at […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Southeast Asian stock markets inched higher Monday, tracking global equities that gained due to a slowdown in coronavirus-related deaths and new infections Last Week’s US Stock Market View Technical Analysis: The action in the major US stock indexes over the past few sessions was almost identical as large-cap […]

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

$VXX $DIA $SPY $QQQ Investors are studying a wide range of technical indicators, from infection counts to more traditional indicators, for clues on the direction the markets will take in coming weeks as the pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus continues to spread. Some point to signs that the worst of the waterfall sell-off that […]

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX Friday afternoon, President Trump met with Big Oil company executives at the White House to discuss this Oil price decline threatening their businesses, brought on by the coronavirus outbreak and a Saudi-Russia price war. “We will work this out and we will get our energy business back,” President Trump […]

Healthcare Stocks Alluring in Defensive Market

Healthcare Stocks Alluring in Defensive Market

$GILD $REGN $LLY $VRTX The COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic has put the spotlight on stocks in the US healthcare sector, home to the companies that could develop treatments, vaccines and improved diagnostics needed to engage and defeat the greatest public health enemy in over 100 yrs. Healthcare has held up better than most S&P 500 sectors. […]

S&P Sees Dubai Property Prices Dropping to Marks Seen in 2010

S&P Sees Dubai Property Prices Dropping to Marks Seen in 2010

The Covid-19 outbreak is adding to the strain on Dubai’s real estate market The widening coronavirus pandemic could see Dubai property prices falling to marks last seen 10 yrs ago, according to S&P Global Ratings. “We believe real estate prices are approaching levels seen at the bottom of the last cycle in 2010, and are […]

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, investors took some profits after the American Aid bill was passed and sent to President Trump for signing. By the end of the session, the DJIA was off 4.1%, S&P 500 and NAS 3.8 shed 3.4% and 3.8% respectively. The strong gains made on the week drove the DJIA […]

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BLK $CS $JPM Stocks extended their rally after the Senate and Fed took unprecedented measures to protect the US economy from the coronavirus shock, with Black Rock (NYSE:BLK), Credit Swiss (NYSE:CS) and other big Wall Street banks said Thursday night that the major US stock market indexes marked at an inflection […]

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose for 2nd day running with stimulus in sight. Wall Street trimmed strong gains late in the session after reports raised doubts about how quickly the bill might pass, but the S&P 500 and DJIA still ended up more than 1% and 2%, respectively Wednesday, Senator Shelley Moore Capito […]

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Economist Mohamed El-Erian sees opportunities for investors who can manage risk during this coronavirus induced stock market dive. “Those people who entered this defensively and have a massive appetite for volatility, there is starting to be real pockets of value,” Mr. El-Erian told reporters.   “For most investors, I think you […]

The Coronavirus Pandemic Effect on NYC and Los Angeles Residential Real Estate

The Coronavirus Pandemic Effect on NYC and Los Angeles Residential Real Estate

Commerce in the residential real estates sector in many states across the nation has broken down. Especially hard hit is Los Angeles and NYC. The coronavirus COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic has all but completely upended the business of being a real estate agent. In NYC deals are falling through and agents struggle to sell over coronavirus […]

Fed Moving to Ensure Liquidity in Money Market Mutual Funds

Fed Moving to Ensure Liquidity in Money Market Mutual Funds

Wednesday night the Fed rolled out its 3rd emergency credit program in 2 days, announcing it would make loans to banks that offer as collateral assets purchased from money market mutual funds. The new facility through the Boston Federal Reserve bank will offer “support for the flow of credit to households and businesses” by ensuring […]

The US Financial Markets Like What They Hear From Washington, DC

The US Financial Markets Like What They Hear From Washington, DC

$SPY The stock market liked what it heard out of Washington, DC, but expect the volatility to continue till it puts in the bottom. Tuesday, The Trump Administration vowed to deliver a massive financial package designed to help both businesses and individual Americans to weather the crisis. The Fed also stepped in to support the […]

US Treasury Approves Revival of Primary Dealer Backup, the Bull in the Background

US Treasury Approves Revival of Primary Dealer Backup, the Bull in the Background

Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he approved the creation of a new primary dealer credit facility to ease credit market disruptions caused by the coronavirus epidemic, resurrecting the 2nd Y 2008 financial crisis-era backstop in less than a day. The facility, managed by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, will offer loans up […]

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