Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

#IndependenceDay #US #stock #markets #DJIA #NFPs #jobs #investors #PresidentTrump #economy #WhiteHouse #PPP #vaccine #C19coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose Thursday and gained on the week, as investors cheered the resiliency of a US economy that created nearly 5-M jobs in June and the number for May revised to nearly 3-M. President Trump said June’s better-than-expected […]

S&P 500 Marks Best Quarter Since 1998 with 20% Gainer, DJIA Good Too, NAS Comp Fares Better!

S&P 500 Marks Best Quarter Since 1998 with 20% Gainer, DJIA Good Too, NAS Comp Fares Better!

#SP500 #stimulus #economy #Trump #Bulls $SPY $SPX $DIA #QQQ The S&P 500 rallied Tuesday to finish higher and biggest its biggest Quarterly percentage gainer in more than 20 yrs as improving economic data boosted investor beliefs that the aid/relief/stimulus backed rebound for the US economy was is happening. Coming off a Bear dive of 20% […]

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

#aid/relief #businesses #rally #Fed #FOMC #Congress #PPP #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Fed Chairman Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin testified before the House Financial Services Committee about the measures taken to support the economy. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Congress Tuesday that The Trump Administration wants the next round of economic aid/relief to […]

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

$XAU $SPY $VIX $VXX The last few months have been super for the US stock market and for gold Few thought in March that the S&P 500 would be back above 3,000, the DJIA would be back above 25,000 and the NAS would mark new all-time highs in late June. As we roll into the Summer Doldrums there are signs of […]

Baked in Q-2 Earnings are Off, the Stock Market Will Continue North

Baked in Q-2 Earnings are Off, the Stock Market Will Continue North

$SPY The S&P 500 is cheaper than many think, meaning more profitable. The stock market is cheaper and profitability is better than the pundits would have us believe. The deep dive baked into Q-2 consensus earnings understates the real core earnings of many US companies. Here I show where there is Northside in the overall […]

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Inflation in the US is likely to come back slowly, keeping the Fed from raising interest rates for an extended period. Over the next couple of years, prices are likely to increase to the 2.3% to 2.4% level, as the Fed has learned its lesson from past interest rate increases […]

US in V-shaped Economic Recovery, Financial Markets Ignore Social Issues

US in V-shaped Economic Recovery, Financial Markets Ignore Social Issues

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX “The financial market is a reflection of the world it operates in, the essential meaning of the wisdom of money in action, expressed through buying and selling companies’ shares, it is always right.” Economist John Maynard Keynes likened the stock market to a beauty contest in which competitors try to pick […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX Optimistic US Stock Market Will Survive Racial and C-19 Coronavirus Chaos| Last week’s action  Stocks continue testing, as indexes that marked new highs have given them up. The charts of the PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX), the S&P 500 and others show reversals, suggesting there may be more testing (selling) […]

When There are Too Many Bulls the Market Reverses Every Time

When There are Too Many Bulls the Market Reverses Every Time

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +477.37 at 25605.56, NAS Comp +96.08 at 9588.83, S&P 500 +39.21 at 3041.18 Friday, the S&P 500 gained 1.3% to reclaim some of Thursday’s 7% day’s decline, it was up 2.9% early in the session. The DJIA (+1.9%), NAS Comp (+1.0%), and Russell 2000 (+2.3%) also bounced.   Media explanations, like the risk of a 2nd wave of […]

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BA $VXX President Trump says the US economy will be back and better than ever next year. Thursday, President Trump hammered the Fed after Fed Chairman Powell offered a grim outlook on the US economy, saying there is a “long road” ahead. “I see the numbers also, and do MUCH better […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, the Trump Fed signaled it will provide years of extraordinary support for an economy clawing back from the C-19 coronavirus chaos. Th FOMC projects a 6.5% decline in GDP this yr and a 9.3% unemployment rate at yr’s end. In the 1st economic projections of the virus quarter, US central […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $IRJ $XLF $VXX Bulls believe in this recovery, drive Bears back, as the market rallies with each sign of economic recovery. Recall the Bears growled alarms about putting faith in the Fed and chasing shares whose valuations swelled to a 20-yr high. Last Week’s Action Friday’s NFPs jobs report says the resilience reflects not […]

History: US Market Responses During Major Protests and Tragedies

History: US Market Responses During Major Protests and Tragedies

$SPY There is a big gap between what is happening on the streets in America’s cities and the American stock market has confounded lots of both professional and retail investors, this is nothing new. Below is a overview of how similar frames of civil violence and political unrest have played out in the market throughout history, […]

Looking for this Rally to Continue Into the Fall

Looking for this Rally to Continue Into the Fall

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX No matter what you here, this market is not overvalued and barring any unexpected bad non-economic news, will continue to head due North. The current P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is 22ish. That is in line with the 12-month forward P/E ratio based on analysts’ expected EPS. The 25-yr MA is 25 […]

Boeing (NYSE:BA) Leads the Broad Market Due North

Boeing (NYSE:BA) Leads the Broad Market Due North

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wall Street rallied Wednesday with the NAS Comp approaching record highs as signs of an economic recovery from the Medical Malpractice chaos instant recession. Financials, industrials and tech pushed the 3 major US stock indexes well into the Green. The S&P 500 and the NAS Comp each posted their 4th day […]

The Stock Market is about Money, It has “No Conscience”

The Stock Market is about Money, It has “No Conscience”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wall Street stocks extend rally despite the terrorist rioting sweeping the nation. “At the end of the day, the market has no conscience. Investors are simply trying to make money, and that is why they are crowding into the stay-at-home economy stocks,” Jim Cramer said Tuesday, adding people still pick […]

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX It is the end of May and the S&P 500 cracked and broke through the Key overhead resistance at 3,000 and held, this after a month of sideways trading and consolidation. Now Summer is here an my prediction should make investors feel safer after this unpopular rally drove prices higher […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $UTX $VXX Last week’s action President Trump is now Laser focused on Opening Up America The S&P 500 hit the 78% Fibo retracement of the selloff. After a good 3rd leg, the market is ready for a test, how deep a test is the Big Q. We are watching the leaders to […]

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Big Q: Is the worst behind the stock market after a coronavirus-induced selloff? The Big A: We do not know for sure as officials attempt to restart economies from a self-imposed period of hibernation to curb the spread of the virus, but a chart pairing the infections of the […]

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $IWM  Small-caps, mid-caps, and most cyclical sectors outperformed the day. Market volatility has calmed since the extremes of mid-March, and recent moves may augur well for stocks. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, closed below its 2nd-month future Monday for the 1st time since 21 February, going back to a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX Investors are pinning their hopes for the reopening of the US economy on the potential for wider availability of testing for COVID-19 cases and on drug trials for treatments of the disease. We have been letting doctors, who have shown the same propensity for predicting this virus as weathermen […]

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX The lack of demand in the world Crude Oil market has set it up to be forced into a necessary rebalancing over the coming weeks as rapidly filling storage leads to significant production cuts and higher prices. See price volatility continuing high in the weeks ahead, as retail […]

The US Now Has 3 Companies with Market Caps Over $1-T

The US Now Has 3 Companies with Market Caps Over $1-T

$APPL $AMZN $MSFT Companies have moved in and out of the $1-T market cap club since Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) created it in August 2018. Despite the stock market’s recent waterfall and come back, 3 companies have shares that trade so that their values are above the $1-T mark: Apple, Amazon and Microsoft. It is easy […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Coronavirus Chaos Continues Stock indexes moved up continue the up trend pattern Economic data are generationally bad. Stocks continue to set up Bullish patterns. After hours reports of Gilead Sciences’s (NASDAQ:GILD) drug provide promise. Boeing (NYSE:BA) also promised to restart Seattle production. Friday gapped higher on options expiry, finishing […]

On 26 March I Reported that I Believed that the Following Stocks Would Highly Benefit from the Coronavirus Chaos…

On 26 March I Reported that I Believed that the Following Stocks Would Highly Benefit from the Coronavirus Chaos…

…now I will let you know how they are doing and why. Further, here my discussion on the future, “Beyond the Virus: Refocusing on Essential Industries and Businesses” have a look. $VNDA, $ACLS, $RDNT, $CNO, $PGNX, $PRDO, $CLF, $UCTT, $CF, $MOV If this uncertainty and volatility have you prudently sidelined in cash, know that all things […]

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

$DIA $SPY $QQQ Many people saw the recent market selloff as the start of a Bear market, from the beginning I argued it was an external effect in this long Bull market. So, whether 23-24 March marked The bottom or A bottom is irrelevant I believe. The broad Question is whether the long-term factors that […]

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Despite millions of jobless claims, despite most of the country being sequestered at home, despite a falling in GDP, and despite the scare and fear brought on by the coronavirus the major US market stock indexes have recovered 50% of their losses in just the last 2 wks. At the […]

A Trump Stabilized Energy Market to Support Stocks

A Trump Stabilized Energy Market to Support Stocks

$USO $OIL Just In: The Saudi energy minister said Sunday that effective Crude Oil supply cuts by OPEC and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, will amount to 12.5-M BPD because of higher output in April from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Sunday, an agreement by Crude Oil producing nations to […]

ETFs are Making ‘Record Purchases’ of the Precious Yellow Metal

ETFs are Making ‘Record Purchases’ of the Precious Yellow Metal

$GLD, $XAU $GOLD $NEM Thursday, Gold prices spiked after the Trump Fed announced a $2.3-B ‘Big Bang’ lending program to cushion Main Street from disruptions caused by the COVID-19 coronavirus. Gold futures for April delivery climbed 4.25% to over 1,736.20 oz to close at their highest mark since December 2012. In the last 6 wks there have huge […]

Gold ETF Assets Saw Their Largest ever Quarterly Gainer in Q-1 Y 2020

Gold ETF Assets Saw Their Largest ever Quarterly Gainer in Q-1 Y 2020

$GLD $XAU Gold-backed ETFs and similar products account for a significant part of the gold market, with institutional and individual investors using them to implement many of their investment strategies. Flows in ETFs highlight short-term and long-term opinions and desires to holding gold. The data tracks gold held in physical form by open-ended ETFs and […]

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We see lots of Sell-side research and analysis (taking a contrarian POV) daily, and over the years certain equity strategists have made some very good calls. On 19 March in the midst of what was some of the most brutal, high-velocity machine selling ever, Barry Bannister and his team at […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Southeast Asian stock markets inched higher Monday, tracking global equities that gained due to a slowdown in coronavirus-related deaths and new infections Last Week’s US Stock Market View Technical Analysis: The action in the major US stock indexes over the past few sessions was almost identical as large-cap […]

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

$VXX $DIA $SPY $QQQ Investors are studying a wide range of technical indicators, from infection counts to more traditional indicators, for clues on the direction the markets will take in coming weeks as the pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus continues to spread. Some point to signs that the worst of the waterfall sell-off that […]

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX Friday afternoon, President Trump met with Big Oil company executives at the White House to discuss this Oil price decline threatening their businesses, brought on by the coronavirus outbreak and a Saudi-Russia price war. “We will work this out and we will get our energy business back,” President Trump […]

Healthcare Stocks Alluring in Defensive Market

Healthcare Stocks Alluring in Defensive Market

$GILD $REGN $LLY $VRTX The COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic has put the spotlight on stocks in the US healthcare sector, home to the companies that could develop treatments, vaccines and improved diagnostics needed to engage and defeat the greatest public health enemy in over 100 yrs. Healthcare has held up better than most S&P 500 sectors. […]

S&P Sees Dubai Property Prices Dropping to Marks Seen in 2010

S&P Sees Dubai Property Prices Dropping to Marks Seen in 2010

The Covid-19 outbreak is adding to the strain on Dubai’s real estate market The widening coronavirus pandemic could see Dubai property prices falling to marks last seen 10 yrs ago, according to S&P Global Ratings. “We believe real estate prices are approaching levels seen at the bottom of the last cycle in 2010, and are […]

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, investors took some profits after the American Aid bill was passed and sent to President Trump for signing. By the end of the session, the DJIA was off 4.1%, S&P 500 and NAS 3.8 shed 3.4% and 3.8% respectively. The strong gains made on the week drove the DJIA […]

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BLK $CS $JPM Stocks extended their rally after the Senate and Fed took unprecedented measures to protect the US economy from the coronavirus shock, with Black Rock (NYSE:BLK), Credit Swiss (NYSE:CS) and other big Wall Street banks said Thursday night that the major US stock market indexes marked at an inflection […]

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose for 2nd day running with stimulus in sight. Wall Street trimmed strong gains late in the session after reports raised doubts about how quickly the bill might pass, but the S&P 500 and DJIA still ended up more than 1% and 2%, respectively Wednesday, Senator Shelley Moore Capito […]

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Economist Mohamed El-Erian sees opportunities for investors who can manage risk during this coronavirus induced stock market dive. “Those people who entered this defensively and have a massive appetite for volatility, there is starting to be real pockets of value,” Mr. El-Erian told reporters.   “For most investors, I think you […]

The Coronavirus Pandemic Effect on NYC and Los Angeles Residential Real Estate

The Coronavirus Pandemic Effect on NYC and Los Angeles Residential Real Estate

Commerce in the residential real estates sector in many states across the nation has broken down. Especially hard hit is Los Angeles and NYC. The coronavirus COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic has all but completely upended the business of being a real estate agent. In NYC deals are falling through and agents struggle to sell over coronavirus […]

Fed Moving to Ensure Liquidity in Money Market Mutual Funds

Fed Moving to Ensure Liquidity in Money Market Mutual Funds

Wednesday night the Fed rolled out its 3rd emergency credit program in 2 days, announcing it would make loans to banks that offer as collateral assets purchased from money market mutual funds. The new facility through the Boston Federal Reserve bank will offer “support for the flow of credit to households and businesses” by ensuring […]

The US Financial Markets Like What They Hear From Washington, DC

The US Financial Markets Like What They Hear From Washington, DC

$SPY The stock market liked what it heard out of Washington, DC, but expect the volatility to continue till it puts in the bottom. Tuesday, The Trump Administration vowed to deliver a massive financial package designed to help both businesses and individual Americans to weather the crisis. The Fed also stepped in to support the […]

US Treasury Approves Revival of Primary Dealer Backup, the Bull in the Background

US Treasury Approves Revival of Primary Dealer Backup, the Bull in the Background

Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he approved the creation of a new primary dealer credit facility to ease credit market disruptions caused by the coronavirus epidemic, resurrecting the 2nd Y 2008 financial crisis-era backstop in less than a day. The facility, managed by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, will offer loans up […]

President Trump’s Stimulus Plans Boost Investor Confidence

President Trump’s Stimulus Plans Boost Investor Confidence

$SPY, $DIA, $OIL Over the past month, equity markets and financial assets broadly, have been attempting to price in the dual shock of a pandemic and the sudden collapse in Crude Oil prices Volatility stemming from the outbreak has seen the DJIA move up or down by 1000 pts or more for 7 days running, […]

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This health emergency was dismissed at 1st as a fleeting risk to the US economy has turned into a full test of whether 20 yrs of planning, regulation and research has left the financial system resilient to a major shock and the Fed able to mount a rescue. Preparations for an […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Bulls Vs The Bears Note: “Big Bear markets end in despair and hopelessness, which many current Bulls will discover at considerable cost to themselves” — Mark Lundeen Be very wary of any advance from here, as it may prove to be what we once called a Dead-Cat Bounce.  A Dead-Cat […]

The Message from Goldman Sacks on the Impact of this Election Year Virus

The Message from Goldman Sacks on the Impact of this Election Year Virus

$GS $SPY $OIL $USO The Goldman Sachs investor call Sunday. The Key economic take aways are: 50% of Americans will contract the virus (150-M people) as it is very communicable.  This is on a par with Rhinovirus aka the common cold, of which there are about 200 strains and which the majority of Americans will […]

“Do Not Expect US Recession From Coronavirus”

“Do Not Expect US Recession From Coronavirus”

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he does not expect the coronavirus tipping the US economy into recession, even though growth will slow. “Later in the year, obviously the economic activity will pick up as we confront this virus,” Secretary Mnuchin said Sunday on national television. Secretary Mnuchin spoke as many businesses in the US and […]

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Big Q: What is going on in this Stock Market? The Big A: A confluence of confusion aka lots of unknowns. I have been in the stock market since Y 1981, and like everyone else I know in this game, have not see this kind of action ever. What we […]

Stock Buying Opportunities in Here are a Once in a Lifetime…”Market will Bounce Back Big”

Stock Buying Opportunities in Here are a Once in a Lifetime…”Market will Bounce Back Big”

$SPY $USO Investment wizard Warren Buffett described Monday’s market plunge as a “1-2 Punch” of coronavirus and falling Crude Oil prices that it took him all his life to experience. “If you stick around long enough, you will see everything in markets,” Mr Buffett said Thursday. “And it may have taken me to 89 yrs of […]

Bear Market in Stocks Confirmed

Bear Market in Stocks Confirmed

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX A Bear market is confirmed when an index sinks 20% or more below its most recent closing high. For the 2nd time this week, the S&P 500 triggered a 15-min trading halt after falling by 7.0% shortly after the open following more economic disruptions caused by the coronavirus. Note: New […]

Time to Step Back, Focus on Investing Not Day to Day Speculation, Do Not Sell American Markets Short

Time to Step Back, Focus on Investing Not Day to Day Speculation, Do Not Sell American Markets Short

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investing like a savvy investor during a Bear market often yields better returns, but it means avoiding emotional-driven decisions. The benchmark that Wall Street uses to determine a Bear market is when the stock market takes a 20 – 22% decline. But following the strategies of millionaires or successful hedge funds […]

Global Markets and Commodities

Global Markets and Commodities

$GLD $XAU $OIL $USO $USD $MSCI Crude Oil and global equity markets bounced back after the Monday’s losses as the world’s biggest economies moved to cushion the impact of the coronavirus, but stock gains in Europe failed to hold as investors are still cautious. The price of Brent Crude Oil climbed 10% on hopes a […]

Gold Price Consolidates Up Here

Gold Price Consolidates Up Here

$XAU $GLD $USD Monday, Gold prices attempted to break out and made their highs during the Asian trading hours. Prices eased lower and ending the session unchanged, after rising 28 oz at their highs. The 10-yr T-Note yield hit a a mark of .49 bpts down another 15-bpts from Friday. Investors have now baked in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $GLD $XAU $USO $VXX Wow, what a week it was, it really was! Technical Analysis: The move Thursday was not encouraging for a continued relief move, much less anything else. The Big Qs: Was it the end of the relief move? Would the jobs report help spring the move higher, given that […]

Navigating Extreme Stock Market Volatility

Navigating Extreme Stock Market Volatility

$DIA, $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Forget that the major US stock indices posted a gainer last week. All that most investors will remember is a wild week that took their portfolios on a harrowing roller coaster ride. These market fluctuations are not 1 month, 1 week, but 1 day moves The weekend’s news about the […]

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investors should ‘buy the dip’ in stocks because government and central bank policies will counter the economic blow of the spreading coronavirus, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) strategists who had previously told clients to trim risky bets. The outbreak and its economic implications are “the main source of […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week Late Friday, the stock market put up a fight, on the close it was the worst week for equities since late Y 2008, as the S&P 500 (-0.8%) gave back 11.5% since the prior Friday, recording its 7th day running of losses, falling to its lowest level since […]

Investors Started “Scooping Up” Shares Friday

Investors Started “Scooping Up” Shares Friday

$QQQ, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow urged investors to stay calm and said the stock-market selloff is overblown. The veteran financial guru and former Ronald Reagan adviser suggested Americans take the opportunity to “scoop up” shares which he hinted are at bargain prices. The white candle on the tech chart Friday, may […]

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US economy grew moderately in Q-4, the government confirmed, and may be facing a rocky road in early Y 2020 on the notion that coronavirus will hobble it, and bring on a recession. The economy grew by an unrevised 2.3% in Y 2019, the slowest annual growth in 3 […]

Gold Marks a 2nd Straight Session Loss in a “Corrective Pullback”

Gold Marks a 2nd Straight Session Loss in a “Corrective Pullback”

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV Gold prices finished lower Wednesday, building on the prior session’s retreat, even as worries remain over the spread of coronavirus outside of China. “It appears the bearish aspect of reduced consumer demand for the precious metals amid the potential for a slowdown in global economic growth is presently trumping the safe-haven […]

Communist Bernie Sanders and the “Dark Side of Momentum Investing”

Communist Bernie Sanders and the “Dark Side of Momentum Investing”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: President Trump: “Coronavirus Risk in America Remains ‘Very Low’” Bond King, Jeffrey Gundlach blames Presidential hopeful Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) for the market recent volatility. “If this stock market reversal is due exclusively to the virus, then why is United Healthcare down far more than SPX? Why is healthcare […]

“Fed Will Not Make Panic Move and Cut Rates Over Virus”

“Fed Will Not Make Panic Move and Cut Rates Over Virus”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: Conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh said the coronavirus is being weaponized to bring down President Trump. US economy will be able to ride out any disruption from the global spread of coronavirus, plus not anticipating the Fed to cut interest rates to blunt the virus’ economic impact, that according […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Technical Analysis at the weekended 21 February  NAS Comp: It sold to the 10-Day EMA and then rebounded and filled the gap from Wednesday. It is still using the 10-day EMA as it trends higher. S&P 500: It tapped at the 20-Day EMA on the low, rebounded to a modest […]

Gold is in the Midst of a Perfect Storm

Gold is in the Midst of a Perfect Storm

$GLD $XAU $SLV $XAG $USD $EUR Concerns about the human and economic cost of the coronavirus continues to drive the need for strategic diversification and safe haven demand. Pro-cyclical commodities such as crude oil and copper meanwhile saw their recent recovery falter in face of renewed concern over the virus spreading outside of China. Commodity […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Friday’s Action Stocks recovered but struggled late in the day as the Fed, after a big repurchase operation in the am, said it will reduce the amount of the repos. The overnight repo saw $45.85-B in demand pasting the Fed’s offer. The 2-wk repo saw $59.02-B Vs the $30-B […]

President Trump Seeks 10% Middle-Class Tax Cut

President Trump Seeks 10% Middle-Class Tax Cut

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Washington’s Birthday. President Trump is pushing to unveil his administration’s “Tax Cuts 2.0” plan, which calls for cuts for the middle class, by September, 2 months before the 2020 Presidential election, National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow has confirmed.  “We’d love […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA futures are little changed Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. The stock market rally showed surprising strength last week, but it is not unprecedented.  The stock market rally’s instant recovery from the coronavirus sell-off was surprising. Normally, when the stock market sells off fast, […]

The Social Contract in the 21st Century

The Social Contract in the 21st Century

McKinsey Global Institute February 2020 Report Subject: Economic outcomes and the relationship between individuals and institutions have shifted for workers, consumers, and savers in advanced economies. Life has changed substantially for individuals in advanced economies in the 1st 2 decades of the 21st Century as a result of trends including disruptions in technology, globalization, the economic […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We are deep in earnings season. Stay tuned daily. What happened last week Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) struggled as caught a bid and rallied The DJIA and the S&P 400 tested the 50-Day MA, but the NAS Comp and S&P 500 did not, but rebounded.Q-4 GDP came in at 2.1% the slowest […]

US Homeownership at 6-yr Highs

US Homeownership at 6-yr Highs

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US homeownership rate rose to a 6-year high in Q-4, led by gains among young people and low-income Americans. The nationwide rate was 65.1%, the biggest since the end of Y 2013, according to a US Census Bureau report Thursday. It was the 2nd straight increase, climbing from 64.8% in the […]

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX , $VXX The Fed held interest rates steady Wednesday at its first policy meeting of the year, the head of the central bank pointed to continued moderate economic growth and a “strong” job market, and giving no sign of any imminent changes in borrowing costs. “We believe the current stance of […]

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX I herewith urge all investors to avoid making hasty decisions after China announced a rise in cases of a deadly new virus that the media says threatens to crimp global economic growth. Stocks markets pulled back worldwide Monday on the supposition that investors are worried about the potential economic impact of […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $GLD, $XAU, $USO Last Week Stock action has improved with low to high gains and the stocks that stumbled Wednesday have showed stronger action. There has been excellent action in response to good earnings both during the trading session and after-hours. Bonds rallied, gold has risen and Crude Oil has […]

President Trump Hammers Fed at Davos Forum

President Trump Hammers Fed at Davos Forum

$BA  United States’ GDP growth would have climbed closer to 4% if the effects of Federal Reserve rate hikes had not held on, President Trump said in a TV interview from the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Wednesday. “That was a big blip that should not have taken place,” President Trump told CNBC’s Joe Kernen. […]

This Bull Market Does Not Care About the Trump Impeachment Hoax/Drama

This Bull Market Does Not Care About the Trump Impeachment Hoax/Drama

President Trump’s answer to impeachment: The Economy The impeachment trial of President Donald Trump has started. But our financial markets do not care much about it. In part this is because the result is certain, President Trump is exonerated. Meanwhile, the President’s twitter feed has been very active on trade. This time it was French […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Market Summary: This long Bull Run still looks look strong, and here is why: Stocks bypassed a soft open Thursday and gapped North. Small and mid-caps joined the large-caps in achieving strong breaks higher. The economic data showed renewed promise. Options expiration Friday came and went. A long weekend came […]

Housing Upswing will Bolster Economy

Housing Upswing will Bolster Economy

$LEN, $TOL, $KBH A revitalized US housing market will help keep the economy moving along despite a potential threat posed by a derailment in corporate spending. Home construction outlays, which account for almost 4% of GDP increased for a 5th month running in November, marking a welcome departure from a yearlong slowdown. Buyers, their confidence […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Y 2020 extended Y 2019 action as the big tech names led and the smaller-caps lagged. While the S&P 500’s valuation chart may be giving some investors flashbacks to the Y 2018 market meltdown, the Bulls are resolute. Corporate earnings are expected to fall for a 2nd Q running, as […]

2020: No Chance of Recession

2020: No Chance of Recession

Barron’s annual roundtable of 10 veteran investors and economists agree that there’s almost no chance of a recession this year. The roundtable’s view of stocks is decidedly, albeit cautiously, optimistic, Barron’s reported. The 10 experts “all spoke of high valuations and noted a lack of catalysts to drive stocks higher. That led to some bemoaning that […]

See Stronger Economy, Higher Growth in This Election Year…Headed “Back to the 3% Growth Zone”

See Stronger Economy, Higher Growth in This Election Year…Headed “Back to the 3% Growth Zone”

$SPY White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow believes the US economy will continue to grow at a robust pace as the Y 2020 election season proceeds. “This continuing Bull market run indicates a lot of investor, consumer and business confidence, in my judgment,” Mr. Kudlow said. Early in Fridays session, the DJIA broke above 29,000 for […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $APPL $VXX The Y 2020 started off with a Y 2019 flavor as the big names led and the smaller-caps lagged. Chinese stimulus got some credit for the gains, but there is no doubt that new money was put to work as the volume rose to solid marks. Buyers want stocks, […]

2020: FAANGS, the Dream Investments Across the World

2020: FAANGS, the Dream Investments Across the World

$FB, $AMZN, $AAPL, $NFLX, $GOOGL After a difficult end to Y 2018, when the group was hammered alongside the broader market the large-cap tech stocks came roaring back  The stocks commonly called the FAANGs: Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Google, have posted impressive gainers through the years, with all now worth many times their IPO […]

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