Gold and the Stock Market are Moving North

Gold and the Stock Market are Moving North

#gold #stock #market #yield #opportunity #USD #safehaven #asset #investors #negative #interest #stimulus #Fed #inflation #rally $GLD $XAU $USD Negative real yields mean opportunity cost of holding gold disappears. Traditionally Gold has been thought of as a safe-haven asset. But that has not stopped it from rising to 9-yr highs, and within striking distance of its […]

Gold Price Tops $1,800 oz, Posting its Best Quarter in 4 yrs

Gold Price Tops $1,800 oz, Posting its Best Quarter in 4 yrs

#gold #COMEX #coronavirus #bullion #metal #inflation #HefCap #Fed $XAU $GLD Gold futures rose above 1,800 oz for the 1st time in more than 8 yrs as low interest rates, China tensions and virus chaos are driving demand for the precious Yellow metal as a safe-haven. Bullion for August delivery rose as much as 1.3% to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX #Paul Ebeling #Wall Street #recovery #cash #technicals #patterns #Fed #Bulls Last Week’s Action The indexes are in consolidation mode, and the leaders are leading pulling back and testing their moves, the trend is up and the Bulls are still in charge. Financials received bids ahead of the release of the […]

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Inflation in the US is likely to come back slowly, keeping the Fed from raising interest rates for an extended period. Over the next couple of years, prices are likely to increase to the 2.3% to 2.4% level, as the Fed has learned its lesson from past interest rate increases […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action Stock indexes are consolidating, the economic data impresses, as headlines focus on new China Virus cases in the wake of massive new testing. Last Friday was Quad Witching expiration, and we saw leaders continue to lead. Perhaps other sectors will now start to contribute to the uptrend. […]

Fed Vice Chairman Sees No Asset Value ‘Bubble’

Fed Vice Chairman Sees No Asset Value ‘Bubble’

Friday, the #2 official at the Fed said that he does not see signs of inflation in asset values in financial markets. Asked in a TV interview if he saw unintended consequences or new bubbles stemming from the strong Fed policy response to the C-19 coronavirus chaos, Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida replied: “I certainly […]

Gold is Undervalued, Balanced Portfolios Should Own Some, Some Silver Too

Gold is Undervalued, Balanced Portfolios Should Own Some, Some Silver Too

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $GS Goldie raises 12-month gold forecast by 11% to $2,000 oz; Silver’s 12-month forecast at $22 oz Gold prices are likely to reach $2,000 oz in 12 months on the back of low real interest rates and concerns over currency debasement, even as developed markets emerge from C-19 coronavirus chaos […]

The Economics of Negative Interest Rates Simplified

The Economics of Negative Interest Rates Simplified

Here we assess whether this is a sustainable form of monetary policy for central banks in some countries at risk of a deflationary depression. A negative interest rate policy happens when a country’s central bank lowers the nominal monetary policy interest rate below Zero. In other words, commercial banks must pay to lodge some of […]

The C-19 Coronavirus Chaos and Gold

The C-19 Coronavirus Chaos and Gold

$XAU $GLD $VXX $USD The Big Q: How High is Too High for the precious Yellow metal? Q-1 of Y 2020 was positive for gold prices, as the chart below shows. The precious Yellow metal gained 6.2% from 31 December 2019 to 31 March 2020, moving from 1,515 to 1,609 oz. In April, gold rallied to 1,693, increasing […]

There Once Was the Gold Standard, Now it is Infinite Quantitative Easing

There Once Was the Gold Standard, Now it is Infinite Quantitative Easing

$GLD $XAU $USD The US once was on a gold standard. This meant people could exchange their Bucks for a fixed amount of gold. The US moved away from a strict gold standard in the 1930’s, and President Nixon abandoned it altogether in Y 1971. Since then, the USD has been a “fiat currency.” Meaning […]

Gold Finishes a Strong Month

Gold Finishes a Strong Month

$XAU $GLD Gold traded lower Thursday en route to its best month since Y 2016 on the massive amounts of stimulus from governments worldwide intended to stem the economic damage caused by the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak. Bullion usually benefit from widespread stimulus measures as it is often seen as a hedge against inflation and currency […]

Fed Stands Pat on Fed Funds Rates, Laments “Heartbreaking” Damage to America (Video)

Fed Stands Pat on Fed Funds Rates, Laments “Heartbreaking” Damage to America (Video)

Wednesday afternoon, Federal Chairman Powell said the coronavirus has brought the economy to an “abrupt halt” and it was uncertain how long the slowdown would last, as officials held interest rates near Zero, and pledged to keep them there until the nation was back on track. “Economic activity will likely drop at an unprecedented rate […]

“Unprecedented Situations Require Unprecedented Actions”

“Unprecedented Situations Require Unprecedented Actions”

Unprecedented situations require unprecedented actions. That’s why the Fed should fight a rapidly deepening recession by taking interest rates below Zero for the 1st time ever. When the FOMC holds its regular policy-making meeting next week, all the warning lights will be flashing Red. The unemployment rate is expected to reach 2X digits by June. […]

Gold, “If ever there was a time, Now is it…”

Gold, “If ever there was a time, Now is it…”

$XAU $GLD $USO $USD The gold market is holding its uptrend pattern in the 1,700 range, and it may stay that way for most of the year, as investors have yet to fully understand the impact central banks and government actions around the world will have on financial markets and inflation. From a gold investment […]

“The Fed Cannot Print Gold”, Prices Seen Higher

“The Fed Cannot Print Gold”, Prices Seen Higher

$XAU $GLD $BAC $USD Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:BAC) raised its 18-month gold-price target to 3,000 oz more than 50% above the existing price record in a report titled “The Fed Cannot Print Gold.” The bank increased its target from 2,000 previously, as policy makers across the globe open huge amounts of fiscal and monetary […]

ECB Will Do More “If Needed”

ECB Will Do More “If Needed”

The European Central Bank (ECB) will take further action if necessary to keep prices stable in line with its mandate, ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said in an interview Saturday. With inflation below its 2% target, the ECB will have to keep interest rates “very low” and liquidity “very abundant”, Mr. Villeroy, who is […]

Gold’s Price Target is Higher

Gold’s Price Target is Higher

$XAU $GLD $USD Gold traded just off 7-yr highs Thursday as investors bet the precious Yellow metal price would swell as the COVID-19 chaos reshapes financial markets. Futures for June delivery inched up 0.3% to 1,746 oz, holding just below their April high of 1,768. Gold is up 16% YTD, thanks to investors who view it as a […]

Investor Sentiment is Turning Positive

Investor Sentiment is Turning Positive

$SPY $SPX The markets move from speculators to investors. There is budding optimistic investor sentiment as numerous countries have taken steps to lessen lockdown restrictions and many of the most gravely impacted countries see the flattening of their infection curves and allow non-essential workers to go back to work Now, we are seeing more and […]

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US economy grew moderately in Q-4, the government confirmed, and may be facing a rocky road in early Y 2020 on the notion that coronavirus will hobble it, and bring on a recession. The economy grew by an unrevised 2.3% in Y 2019, the slowest annual growth in 3 […]

“Deficit Not a Concern if Market Does Not React”

“Deficit Not a Concern if Market Does Not React”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The growing national deficit is a ‘legitimate issue’, but our main focus now is in creating jobs,” White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said Friday.  “Until the bond market starts reacting negatively to that and we start seeing inflation, the deficit is not going to be a concern,” Mr, Navarro […]

Buying Gold: Physical Vs ETFs

Buying Gold: Physical Vs ETFs

$XAU $GLD Gold has been valued as a currency, commodity and investment for thousands of years, and is popular among today’s investors because it can be used as a hedge against currency devaluation, inflation, or deflation, and due to its ability to provide a “safe haven” during times of economic uncertainty. The gold market is highly liquid and there […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “There is no reason why the expansion cannot continue”

Fed Chairman Powell,  “There is no reason why the expansion cannot continue”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, the Fed Chairman Powell told Congress that the US economy is in a good place. With risks like trade policy uncertainty receding and global growth stabilizing, “we find the US economy in a very good place, performing well,” Chairman Powell told the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee. The US economic expansion, now […]

Consumer Sentiment Marks 8-Month Highs

Consumer Sentiment Marks 8-Month Highs

US consumer sentiment increased in January to an 8-month high, indicating sustained optimism in the face of the coronavirus and the impeachment trial. The University of Michigan’s sentiment index for January rose to 99.8, up from 99.3 in December and compared with a preliminary reading of 99.1, data showed Friday. The gainer reflected a 6-month high in […]

Gold Prices Higher Following Fed Rate Decision

Gold Prices Higher Following Fed Rate Decision

$XAU $GLD Gold prices ended higher Wednesday following the Fed’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. The Fed said that job gains have been solid, but inflation remains below the Fed’s 2% objective. The Fed said that household spending is rising at a moderate rate. The Fed will continue to assess the appropriate path of […]

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX , $VXX The Fed held interest rates steady Wednesday at its first policy meeting of the year, the head of the central bank pointed to continued moderate economic growth and a “strong” job market, and giving no sign of any imminent changes in borrowing costs. “We believe the current stance of […]

Trump Tax Cut 2.0 in the Works

Trump Tax Cut 2.0 in the Works

The White House continues to work on a tax-cut plan in hope that Republican lawmakers will be in control of Congress after the Y 2020 elections, President Trump’s top economic aide Larry Kudlow said. “I am still running a process of Tax Cuts 2.0,” Mr. Kudlow said in a TV interview Wednesday. “We’re many months away.” The […]

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks will continue to rise this year on very little chance of a recession, and low inflation driving steady economic growth, with real GDP growing around 2.0%, and inflation remains below 2.0%. That is our outlook for Y 2020. We do not see a recession in this year’s US […]

‘Trump Power’ Economy to Be Strong in 2020, Become Even More Powerful

‘Trump Power’ Economy to Be Strong in 2020, Become Even More Powerful

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX By almost every measure the US economy did well in Y 2019 though growth was slower than Y 2018. For next year, contrary to the consensus view from most economists, economic growth will accelerate. And growth could increase even more after Y 2020. President Trump has set the stage for […]

Gold Prices on Pace to Mark Biggest Annual Gainer in 9 Yrs

Gold Prices on Pace to Mark Biggest Annual Gainer in 9 Yrs

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $XAG, $USD Gold prices look to end the year more than 15% higher, on track to post their biggest annual gainer in 9 years. “Gold has seen considerable safe haven buying from investors concerned over low and negative yields in the bond market and fearing a possible downturn in equities,” said the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]

US Consumer Spending on the Rise

US Consumer Spending on the Rise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Americans increased their spending in October at the fastest rate in 3 months even though income growth was essentially flat, its weakest showing in 13 months. The Commerce Department said Wednesday that consumer spending rose 0.3% last month, the best gainer since a 0.5% rise in July. An inflation gauge that is […]

Facts Do Not Square With Sensational Headlines…Tune Out the Noise

Facts Do Not Square With Sensational Headlines…Tune Out the Noise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Billionaire Ray Dalio said his macro hedge fund firm Bridgewater Associates does not have a net bet that the stock market will fall. A Wall Street Journal article published earlier Friday is “wrong,” Mr. Dalio wrote in a LinkedIn post. “I want to make clear that we don’t have any such […]

President Trump Will Continue to Defend the US Economy (Video)

President Trump Will Continue to Defend the US Economy (Video)

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 (+0.1%), DJIA (+0.1%), and NAS Comp (+0.1%) eked out incremental gains to close at record highs Monday. The Russell 2000 (-0.3%) closed in negative territory.  Before President Trump, China has intended to take over the world. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow proclaimed that President Trump will […]

Fed Will Keep Monetary “Accommodative”

Fed Will Keep Monetary “Accommodative”

Sluggish inflation gives the Federal Reserve the leeway to keep borrowing costs low and help draw more workers into the labor market, San Francisco Fed Bank President Mary Daly said Saturday. “We’re lucky right now,” Ms. Daly said at University of California, Berkeley’s Clausen Center’s conference on global economic issues. “We can keep the policy […]

Gold: Investment Strategy

Gold: Investment Strategy

$XAU, $GLD, $GOLD, $NEM, $USD Emerging markets have/are adding to gold holdings, undeterred by prices near their highest levels in more than 6 years, as countries such as Russia and China diversify their Fx reserves, a trend we believe that is likely to continue. Central bank buying is important to the supply/demand dynamic for the […]

“Hey Boneheads Cut the Interests Rates to Zero”

“Hey Boneheads Cut the Interests Rates to Zero”

In a series of Tweets early Wednesday, President Trump wrote that “boneheads” at the Fed should lower interest rates to Zero or below so that the US could decrease its borrowing costs. As a property developer, President Trump is thinking about negative rates from the perspective of a borrower. But, the Fed’s lukewarm appetite for negative […]

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, the S&P 500 closed unchanged, as energy, financials outperformed US consumers’ inflation expectations declined in August and workers grew more pessimistic about their job situation, data from the New York Federal Reserve showed Monday, supporting the case for further interest rate cuts. The New York Fed’s monthly survey of consumer […]

Gold Headed to $2,300 oz, Stocks Seen Much Higher Too

Gold Headed to $2,300 oz, Stocks Seen Much Higher Too

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $XAU, $GLD The US stock market finished mixed Thursday, as investors weighed the resiliency of the US consumer Vs growth concerns. The S&P 500 (+0.3%) and DJIA(+0.4%) finished higher, while the NAS Comp (-0.1%) and Russell 2000 (-0.4%) finished lower. The overall uncertainty from the US-China trade dispute is high […]

Tame Producer Inflation Supports Case for Another Fed Rate Cut in September

Tame Producer Inflation Supports Case for Another Fed Rate Cut in September

US producer prices increased moderately in July, lifted by a rebound in the cost of energy products, while underlying producer inflation retreated, which could allow the Fed to cut interest rates again next month. The benign inflation report from the Labor Department on Friday could boost expectations for a half-percentage-point cut at the Fed’s 17-18 Sept. policy […]

US Economic Growth Short of President Trump’s Goals

US Economic Growth Short of President Trump’s Goals

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump blames the Fed for putting the US economy at risk while data shows an economy in “reasonably good” shape, as the Chairman of the central bank recently said. But,”reasonably good” is not what President Trump promised to deliver during his Y 2016 campaign, and at this point he […]

Uncertainty is Good for Gold

Uncertainty is Good for Gold

$XAU, $XAG, $GLD, $GDX, $GOLD, $NEW, $FNV, $AEM, $AU, $RGLD, $KGC, $GFI, $GDX, $GDXJ Investors buy gold for several reasons, but the Key 1 is geopolitical uncertainty, it is a powerful force when it comes to gold demand. With China devaluing its RMB Yuan and halting purchases of US agricultural products in response to President Trump’s additional […]

ECB Vs Fed in ‘Undeclared’ Currency War…Tensions Rising

ECB Vs Fed in ‘Undeclared’ Currency War…Tensions Rising

FLASH: Fed policy makers reportedly are being forced to cut interest rates because of the European Central Bank’s much-lower policy rate. If losing demand to Europe weakens US growth and threatens to push inflation too low, US rates also must also fall. “The ECB’s policy rate, at minus 0.4%, is already nearly 3 percentage points […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Unch, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Lower Headlines Asian shares at 6-week lows on trade worry Gold prices hold steady ahead of Fed’s rate announcement Crude Oil gains for a 5th day running after US stockpile drop  .DXY held firm Wednesday, as a wait-and-see mood prevailed. […]

Gold After The Fed, There is Comfort in Conflict

Gold After The Fed, There is Comfort in Conflict

$GLD $XAU  FLASH: Gold Bugs are betting there is more to the precious Yellow metal’s rally than interest rates. Gold is on its way to a 3rd straight monthly gainer, trading near 6-year highs as central banks signal easier monetary policy. The Fed is expected to cut U.S. interest rates by a Quarter point Wednesday. […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Higher Headlines Asia stocks gain ahead of Fed, GBP pressured by BREXIT uncertainty, Crude Oil prices rise on expectations Fed will cut rates, Gold slips as USD climbs. Gold: Gold prices dipped Tuesday as USD rose to 2-month highs, while […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Lower Headlines Crude Oil falls on growth outlook concerns and positive news on Iran A Fed interest rate cut a certainty Asian shares drift lower, trade talks loom Gold rises as markets awaits Fed meeting Gold: Gold prices gained Monday […]

Gold Gained Friday as US Inflation Offset GDP Data

Gold Gained Friday as US Inflation Offset GDP Data

$GLD, $XAU Gold prices rose Friday, after slipping to more than 1-week lows in the prior session, as soft US inflation numbers offset better-than-expected Q-2 economic growth that kept bets alive for an interest rate cut next week. Spot gold was last seen up 0.4% at $1,419.10 oz Friday, but still on track for the […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down Headlines Crude Oil prices up as geopolitical tensions counter sluggish demand, Asian shares slide as ECB holds off easing, earnings mixed, Gold up on rate-cut bets; focus on US GDP data Gold: Gold prices steadied Friday after touching a […]

US Stock Indexes Pull Back from Record Highs

US Stock Indexes Pull Back from Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US stock market indexes ended Thursday near session lows after spending the day in the Red. The DJIA (-0.5%) and S&P 500 (-0.5%) posted comparable losses while the NAS Comp(-1.0%) under-performed during the session. The top-weighted technology sector (-0.8%) was among Thursday’s weakest, while most of the remaining cyclical […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Flat USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Headlines Asian shares tick higher, euro near 2-month lows before ECB decision Crude Oil advances on Gulf tensions, but demand concerns cap gainers Gold steadies ahead of ECB decision; firm USD caps appeal Fed to cut rates for […]

Ray Dalio’s Theory: The 10 Yr Bull Market in Gold

Ray Dalio’s Theory: The 10 Yr Bull Market in Gold

$XAU, $GLD The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) has rallied 37.5% in the past 3 years, while the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD) has lagged, gaining just 5.7% in that frame. Now comes Bridgewater Associates hedge fund manager Ray Dalio, who has recently said gold could be gearing up for a “Gold Bug” decade of returns. Paradigm Shift: in […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: It is expected the Fed will lower its target range of 2.25%-2.50% by 25 basis points at a meeting ending on 31 July, but expectations for a larger 50-bpts cut been lowered on mixed signals from FOMC policymakers. […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Off, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: Sterling was off Tuesday as investors worried Boris Johnson, the frontrunner to become the UK’s next Prime Minister, would trigger a “hard BREXIT” from the EU, seen as a risk for the British economy. Further, currency-market focus will […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down Note: Geopolitical fears were dominated by confrontation in the Crude Oil trade’s most important waterway escalating, with footage showing the Iranian military defying a British warship when it seized a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz Friday. Priced-in forecasts […]

Gold in Rally Mode, Investment Strategy

Gold in Rally Mode, Investment Strategy

$XAU, $GLD, $GOLD, $NEM, $USD FLASH: The prospects of the Fed cutting interest rates to near Zero this year has gold rallying to 6 year highs. Institutional investors like gold as a hedge against uncertain times, as gold has held value over centuries. The Big Q1: But does it make sense for individual investors? Here […]

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed’s Bullard: Rate Cut Will ‘Ratify’ What People Already Expect An interest rate cut may be necessary now, but that does not mean the Fed is on a path to dramatically lower rates, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday. Mr. Bullard, who argued unsuccessfully for such an […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Steady, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: Friday is options expiry in the US, volatile: maybe, maybe not. The Buck steadied Friday, but was still on the defensive after Federal Reserve officials bolstered expectations of an aggressive rate cut this month to address weakening price […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Off, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Notes: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Wednesday said the dollar was overvalued by 6% to 12%, based on near-term economic fundamentals. With the 1st US interest rate reduction in 10 yrs expected later this month, 2 Fed policymakers sketched […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Off, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: With the 1st US interest rate reduction in 10 yrs expected later this month, 2 Fed policymakers sketched out arguments Tuesday on how deep the cut should be, even as a 3rd said she needs more data before […]

Factory Output Up More Than Estimated, Autos Advance

Factory Output Up More Than Estimated, Autos Advance

$F, $GM, $FCAU, $TM FLASH: America is open for business. US manufacturing output accelerated in June, climbing for the 2nd month running, thanks in large part to increased production of motor vehicles and parts. The Federal Reserve said Tuesday manufacturing production rose 0.4% last month, above the 0.2% expected by analysts in a poll. The June numbers […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Unch, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Mixed Notes: Most Asian stock markets rose Monday, but gains were limited as investors awaited US retail sales data and corporate earnings to gauge the health of the world’s biggest economy ahead of a likely US rate cut later […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Mixed, USD Firm, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Notes: China’s economic growth slowed to 6.2% in Q-2, its weakest pace in 27 years, as demand at home and abroad faltered in the face of mounting US trade pressure. EU foreign ministers will seek to figure out how […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: Friday, China will release trade data for June, with analysts expecting exports to have fallen as weakening global demand and a sharp hike in US tariffs took a heavier toll on the world’s largest trading nation. OPEC Thursday […]

 Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

 Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: Tensions have been high in the Middle East after attacks on tankers and the downing of a US drone by Iran last month, following President Trump’s withdrawal from a multi-party agreement with Tehran to end its nuclear program. […]

Campaign to Reinstate the Gold Standard in US Gathering Momentum

Campaign to Reinstate the Gold Standard in US Gathering Momentum

$XAU, $GLD, $USD The once-fringe fantasy of a return to the gold standard is creeping back into the mainstream. It has long been dismissed as a fool’s errand, on par with abandoning the Federal Reserve and other trappings of the modern economy. Mainstream economists deride it almost without exception. Reintroducing the gold standard would “be a disaster […]

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, a Fed policymaker expressed skepticism that an interest rate cut is the right move until there are more signs the economy is moving to a truly weaker path. “I prefer to gather more information before considering a change in our monetary policy stance,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in […]

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

$XAU, $GLD, $USD Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being the Federal Reserve. Speaking at an event at the Chicago Fed last Tuesday, Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the Fed would likely cut […]

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

$EURUSD FLASH: Last week, Fed Chairman Powell said, “…we will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.” With those few words Chairman Powell took the strength out of the argument for a recession because the Fed is very powerful. And with the stock market rallying, President Trump threatening more tariffs on China, stocks are just […]

US Consumers See Inflation Falling

US Consumers See Inflation Falling

US consumers’ inflation expectations deteriorated to their weakest levels since late Y 2017 in May, while their views on jobs and family finances grew less certain, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey published Monday. The weakening in inflation expectations may factor into Fed policymakers’ decision whether to lower interest rates in […]

The US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever.

The US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever.

This month, the US economy has been growing for 10 years running, tying the record for the longest expansion ever. Many people, including journalists and policy makers, see this as a great achievement. “I see nothing to celebrate. On the contrary, I think they are measuring success the wrong way”, says Narayana Kocherlakota He says, […]

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Growing expectations for the Fed to cut rates to address slower growth and muted inflation; 2-yr yield drops 12 bpts to 1.83% . St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (FOMC Voter) said that slower economic growth could be sharper-than-expected due to the trade uncertainty. Mr. Bullard added that […]

US Consumer Confidence Up in May, Economic Optimism Best Since 2000

US Consumer Confidence Up in May, Economic Optimism Best Since 2000

US consumer confidence rose in May as households grew more upbeat about the labor market, suggesting the economy remained on solid ground despite signs that activity was slowing after being temporarily boosted by exports and a build-up of inventories. The surge in confidence reported by the Conference Board on Tuesday came despite an escalation in tensions in […]

Expect Gold to Rally if Fed Starts Rate Cut Talk

Expect Gold to Rally if Fed Starts Rate Cut Talk

$XAU, $GLD, $USD Last week’s price action in gold indicates that buyers know where the value is, but the lack of conviction may be holding them back. This is likely because of the strong USD. But, if you look at the price action on 23 May, you will see just how powerful of an influence […]

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