$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The latest fund manager survey from Bank of America showed the allocation to equities is at its lowest since September 2016 indicating that managed money missed the 2019 rally and will have to play catch up soon. The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% Tuesday, on Dovish expectations ahead of the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cyclical sectors outperformed, follow-through buying interest came in on no new catalysts. Boeing (NYSE:BA) and Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) extend losses on familiar story lines Patience is the FOMC’s focus now, signaling that it went too far last year with its 4 rate hikes, so no interest rate hikes likely soon. […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: President Trump said the US will probably know, 1 way or another, in “the next 3 or 4 weeks” about a possible trade deal with China, as S&P 500 marked a fresh closing high Friday. “If that gets done, it will be something that people will be talking about […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Financials, Information Technology Weak: Materials, Communication Services, Industrials Highlights: Relative strength in the S&P 500 financial and information technology sectors Shares of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) continue to outperform following positive analyst coverage Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) is under criminal investigation for some of its data deals General Electric (NYSE:GE) issues FY 2019 earnings warning; CEO offers […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Major averages recouped most of their losses and close near session highs The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is launching a review of the main set of rules governing stock trading, opening the door to the biggest potential changes in 15 yrs the head of the agency said Friday. […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Job creation and wage growth are still important things to watch for in the monthly NFP report for February that will be released Friday. The other partial indicators already suggest that the labor market will remain solid. The focus now will be on the labor-force participation rate because the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The Big A for our readers that ask What does Ivanka Trump do? But 1st The S&P 500 lost 0.7% Wednesday, pulling back for the 3rd session running on profit taking in shares of energy, healthcare, and semiconductor companies leading the retreat. The economic data, as follows: The ADP […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Next Fed rate hike several FMOC meetings ahead With inflation muted, but other risks to the US economy on the rise, the Fed’s patience on policy is nowhere close to running out, with 1 previously Kawkish central banker Tuesday signaling he could wait until at least June before touching […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stocks finished flat on high volume We expect that US stocks will continue to move North new highs despite an earnings slowdown, that according to the patterns that are set/setting up now. HeffX-LTN is going contrarian Vs the Bears who are warning investors that the earnings slowdown will […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Sidelined investors join this Bull market rally, as retail stocks outperform following earnings reports from Lowe’s ($LOW), Best Buy ($BBY), and TJX ($TJX) Investors came back into US stock funds during the week ended 20 February. It has been the best start to a year for the S&P 500 since Y 1987, breaking a 5-week […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stock markets pause on Powell’s testimony to Congress Markets opened lower and were cautious as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the Congress Tuesday. The Fed’s U-turn that took expectations for rate hikes this year to Zero has led to a drop in real borrowing costs and a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 advanced as much as 0.8% Monday after President Trump said he will extend the 1 March trade deadline, as negotiations with China have progressed favorably. The benchmark index retreated throughout the session as it tapped up against some mild overhead resistance, but finishing higher by 0.1% above […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: 9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher with information technology (+1.3%), communication services (+1.1%), and healthcare (+0.9%) leading the advance. On the other hand, the financials (-0.2%) and consumer staples (-0.3%) sectors finished in the Red. Today, Americans’ views of the US economy and optimism about its […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits fell last week, but the 4-wk MA rose to a more than 1-yr high, suggesting the labor market was slowing down. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 23,000 to a seasonally adjusted 216,000 for the week ended 16 February the Labor Department said […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: FOMC Mins as expected; Fed will maintain patience in rate hikes and stop reducing assets on its balance sheet later this year. The Takeaway The FOMC Minutes said the central bank is going to be patient in raising rates and is likely to stop reducing the assets on its […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Trump Policy Traction, FOMC Minutes Due Wednesday Tuesday, New York Fed President John Williams said he is comfortable with the level US interest rates are at now, and sees no need to raise them again unless growth or inflation shift to an unexpectedly higher gear. In an interview with […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The Pain Trade continues, on broad-based advance that had all 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher on the day. Almost 80% of S&P 500 companies having reported Q-4 earnings so far. Analysts now see a profit increase of 16.2% for the Quarter, according to Refinitiv data. President Trump’s policies […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed officials are getting their stories aligned on the US economy. Cleveland’s Loretta Mester says it’s in a “very good spot.” Or a “pretty good place,” as Kansas City’s Esther George has it, faithfully echoing Chairman Jerome Powell’s “the economy is good.” Their remarks, made Tuesday and Wednesday, aim […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed Chairman Jay Powell describes US economy as “good”, saying he does not see an elevated probability of a recession, stocks finish on their highs lead by the Financials Investors are prepare for the return of the divergence trade, with the US set to lead the rest of the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US-China trade talks resume in Beijing President Trump and China President Xi appear closer to a trade deal, according to Presidential counselor Kellyanne Conway. “The President wants a deal, and he wants it to be fair to American workers and American interests,” Ms. Conway said on TV early Monday. […]
$DIA. $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street stocks declined Thursday on concerns that the United States and China would not be able to reach a trade deal, thus increasing concerns about slowing global economic growth. President Trump said he did not plan to meet with Chinese President Xi before the 1 March deadline set by […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will enjoy the backdrop of a solid economy as he delivers his 2nd State of the Union address Tuesday evening. The President will point to the latest signs of US economic strength: Friday’s jobs report showed that employers added the most jobs in January in nearly a year. […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US Jobs Report for January provided reminder that US labor market remained strong despite growth worries, market volatility, and partial government shutdown. Plus, January ISM Manufacturing Index up higher than expected at 56.6 (consensus 53.6), business is good too. Foxconn Technology Group (2454:TW) said Friday that after its Chairman […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US President Trump to Meet with China’s President Xi to Seal US-China Trade Deal Thursday, President Trump said he will meet with Chinese President Xi soon to try to seal a comprehensive trade deal as the top US trade negotiator reported “substantial progress” in 2 days of high-level talks. President […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s 1st post-meeting press conference of Y 2019 left market expectations for a rate hike this year an Big Q, and raised the chances of a cut in Y 2020. The Fed’s tone Wednesday cast doubt on the prospects of interest rates heading higher at […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said the recent partial government shutdown inflicted “no permanent damage” to the economy. “I still think the economy is very strong,” the head of the National Economic Council that advises President Trump said at a White House briefing. “As I have said many times I […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow says the indicators for the USA show that America is the ‘hottest economy’ in the world. He predicted the next monthly unemployment report will likely shock naysayers. Mr. Kudlow said the economy will snap back from any “glitch” created by partial government shutdown, as that […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.7%) and the NAS Comp (+0.1%) experienced uneven post options expiry trading action finishing in the Green. The Russell 2000 (-0.2%) did, too, but it finished in the Red. Most S&P 500 sectors finished higher with consumer staples (+1.2%) and utilities […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Fake News: reports of canceled trading meeting with Chinese officials untrue, there was No meeting planed to cancel. “The big meeting that everyone’s moving towards will be Vice Premier Liu He is coming at the end of the month, as I think everybody knows. That will be a very important […]
$DIA, $USD President Trump has hammered the Fed’s policy for being too tied to the notion economic growth causes inflation. Savvy people in America are “very worried” the Fed is working against the pro-growth policies that President Trump put into effect beginning on his 1st day in office just 2 years ago. The Fed is […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GS In the US the richest 1%of households own 50% of all the stocks in the United States, a Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) executive declared Friday. Speaking publicly the investment bank’s Chief Economist, Daan Struyven said the number has risen sharply over the past 30 years. “The wealthiest 0.1% and 1% of […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Industrials, Materials, Financials, Consumer Discretionary Weak: Utilities, Real Estate China’s willingness to eliminate the US trade imbalance. According to a report Friday, China made an offer during trade negotiations earlier this month to boost the amount of US imports, such that the trade balance with the US would be […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US wholesale prices fell last month on a steep fall in gasoline prices suggesting that inflation will remain tame in the coming months. The Labor Department said that the producer price index, which tracks cost changes before they reach the consumer fell 0.2% in December from the prior month. The drop […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Trade tensions should not disturb your portfolio’s peace of mind. To help prevent your portfolio from becoming “trade war collateral,” consider diversifying your assets to minimize exposure. Assets like physical Gold and Silver are historically known to perform well during turmoil in such dust ups. Recently, Jim Cramer urged investors frightened […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stocks paused to refresh Friday after being up 10.4% since Christmas Eve, earnings season begins in earnest next week, Analysts have been very negative ahead of this coming reporting frame. Earnings reports start next week with results from the big banks. And the warnings have been the most dire in […]
$DIA, $SPY. $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX No recession in sight, No rate hikes ahead. Thursday, Federal Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank has the ability to be patient on policy given inflation is stable, allowing it to assesses whether the US economy will slow this year as some in financial markets worry.initial comments boosted […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 3.4% Friday, as Fed Chairman Powell signaled patience and flexibility on rates in light of stronger-than-expected jobs data. The DJIA (+3.3%), the NAS Comp (+4.3%), and the Russell 2000 (+3.8%) also marked strong gains to finish the week + 1.6%, 2.3%, and 3.2%, respectively. All 11 […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL The S&P 500 fell 2.5% Thursday, as a revenue warning from Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and weak manufacturing data fueled concerns about a slowdown in global economic growth, undermining the broad market. The DJIA lost 2.8%, the NAS Comp lost 3.0%, the Russell 2000 lost 1.8%. On the day, 9 of the 11 […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The world enters Y 2019 with some uncertainty about the prospects for global growth. The US is the bright spot and 1 of the most powerful job creators and drivers of international trade. If The Trump Administration and the new Congress are able to work together, there are areas where […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 fell 2.1% Friday on headline uncertainty surrounding politics and trade. As they continued to provide a justification to reduce risk. Friday’s decliner pushed the benchmark index to a new yearly low at 2408.12 and a weekly loss of 7.1%. All 11 S&P 500 sectors finished in the […]
Stock Market’s Negative Reaction to Fed is “Overblown” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday that the negative stock market reaction following the Fed’s rate hike this week was “completely overblown.” Secretary Mnuchin said the stock market overreacted, with computerized program trading taking over and driving stock prices down further. […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 retests its February low at 2532.69 for the 3rd session running US stocks declined Wednesday after the Fed’s dovish forecast of fewer interest-rate increases in Y 2019 fell short of investors’ hopes of a more dovish monetary policy. The DJIA fell as much as 500 pts at 1 […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The market is looking for a Dovish stance from the FOMC when it comes to its interest rate projections for Y 2019. Everything will come into view at 2:00p EST Wednesday Investors in pain from a difficult year hope the Fed will align with President Trump’s ‘demand’ for dovishness in […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, just 2 days before the FOMC is expected to raise fed funds rates for a 4th time this year, President Trump and his Top trade adviser ratcheted up their criticism of the Fed’s monetary tightening. “It is incredible that with a very strong dollar and virtually no inflation, the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SOY, $VXX China resumed buying US Soybean, bringing some relief to farmers in the US heartland as President Xi works toward a trade deal with his American counterpart. The giant Asian commodity importer bought 2-M tonnes of American Soybean (SOY) over the past 24 hrs, with shipments expected to occur sometime […]
$DJIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SOY, $VXX President Donald Trump, in an interview with Reuters, said trade talks were under way with China Wednesday. Traders said China made the 1st major purchase of US Soybean since Washington and Beijing agreed to a temporary trade truce earlier this month. Also, President Trump said he would intervene in […]
President Donald Trump wants to a trade deal that will be good for the United States, China, and global growth, White House Council of Economic Advisers Kevin Hassett said Monday. The stock market responded, bouncing off its lows. “If a country came to the US right now and offered Zero tariffs, Zero non-tariff barriers, full […]
Silver to Gold Ratio Points to Over-sized Profits Coming to Silver $SLV, $GLD, $DIA I last wrote an article on Friday November 9th as the Dow Jones closed with a value of -3.13% in the BEV chart below. Three Friday’s later and the Dow Jones closed today with a value of -4.81%. Not much of a […]
Monday’s Trade Relief Rally Saw Profit Taking Tuesday $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 fell 3.2% Tuesday on some concern on future economic growth, which was signaled by the drop in US Treasury yields. A technical test and breach of the S&P 500’s 200-Day MA at 2762.32 contributed to the selling. Monday’s trade-relief […]
America Leads, the Rest of the World Follows $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Saturday’s truce in the US-China trade dispute put investors in buy mode Monday, driving US stocks due North, extending the market’s gains on last week Key reversal confirmation. The broad rally followed huge US futures gains that triggered overseas markets as investors […]
World Wide Stocks Surge on US- China Trade Truce $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $SOY FLASH: President Donald Trump says on Twitter that China has agreed ‘to reduce and remove’ 40% tariffs on cars from the United States. Futures on the DJIA are currently up 488 points after Presidents Trump and Xi agreed to a 90-day halt […]
Wall Street Bets Yes, President Trump’s America First Policy Working $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Friday, US stocks rose as investors bet on progress in US-China trade meeting Saturday, and the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq posted their biggest weekly percentage gains in almost 7 years. DJIA saw its largest weekly advancer in 2 years, as investors […]
US September Crude Oil Production Hits 4th Month Running at Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX US Crude Oil production hit a new all-time high of 11.5-M BPD in September, according to the data announced Friday, the latest indicator of a wave of onshore US production that has weighed on global markets. US […]
Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 extended weekly gainer by 2.3% Wednesday after Fed Chairman Powell said he sees current interest rates “just below” Neutral. His dovish remarks at the NY Economic Club thus providing a rally point of of the Key reversal Monday […]
US Stocks Saw a Broad Based Rally Monday, Retail Led $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $VXX Investment guru Jim Cramer said he hates how the current market is treating investors by literally mauling anyone who ventures near volatile US stocks. “I have tremendous contempt for this market, because every time you try to make money […]
Energy, Retail and Tech Stocks Continue to Lead Market Due South $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $VXX Recently we have heard commentary about rising recession risk; widening corporate credit spreads; forecasting message of the sharp losses in cyclical sectors and former leadership stocks/sectors; lack of both gains and buy-the-dip success in November, which call into […]
The FAANGs Drove the S&P 500 (SPY) Due South Monday $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FAANG Group: Apple, Facebook Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Netflix Inc and Alphabet Inc shed between 3% and 4.8% on the day. Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 500 pointsm as a slump in Apple shares hammered the tech […]
Dow Jones’ Earnings are at Record Highs Vs the Price of Gold $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV The DJIA is seeing action, on Wednesday, the day after the mid-term elections it advanced by 2.13% from its prior day’s closing price, it was the 4th day of extreme volatility since early October. Everyone was happy about […]
See a 10% Rally in Stocks On a Trade Deal with China $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX A positive US-China statement or a tariff pause are rising possibilities China’s Bear market is driving the settlement agreement. Investors pained by the pullback in stocks are looking toward this month’s G-20 Summit for a breakthrough on trade. […]
Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 1.1% Thursday to snap a 5-session losing streak. US-China trade optimism and strength from tech stocks, Banks can handle the energy-linked loans they have extended just as long as Crude Oil prices don’t drop […]
Warren Buffett Putting Cash to Work $BRK.A, $BRK.B, $JPM, $ORCL, $TRV, $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A & BRK.B) Wednesday said it had taken stakes in JPMorgan Chase & Co., Oracle Corp. and Travelers Cos., as the conglomerate puts some of its sidelined cash to work. As of 30 September Berkshire […]
S&P 500 Falls 54.79 pts, Breaking 200-Day Moving Average on Tech Selloff $SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX A broad sell-off in technology companies drove US stocks sharply lower Monday, as Apple, Amazon, Goldman Sachs and other big names fell. Banks and consumer-focused companies and media and communications stocks also took heavy losses. Bond trading was […]
All Indicators Say, “S&P 500 Will Hit 3,000 by Year’s End” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Investment guru Byron Wien predicts that this Bull run, the longest in history, in the stock market is not over, and there is no recession in sight. Mr. Wien recently said in a TV interview that he is “not […]
US Stocks Finished Virtually Flat After Post-Election Spike $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX Stocks in the US drifted Thursday after the big rally Wednesday. The S&P 500 slipped 0.3% Thursday in the wake of the FOMC decision to leave the fed funds rate unchanged as expected. The benchmark index traded slightly below its flat line […]
S&P 500 Companies’ Profit Growth Highest Since 2010 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Still, investors are somewhat cautious with US Congressional midterm elections Tuesday. US earnings growth for S&P 500 companies in Q-3 is on track to be the highest since Y 2010, eclipsing the strong results from earlier this year, according to the data. […]
President Trump’s China Trade Tweet Drives the Market North $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks rose for a 3rd day running Thursday after President Trump said trade talks with China were “moving along nicely” boosted investors optimism. President Trump Tweeted that he had a “long and very good conversation” with China’s President Xi, adding […]
Democrats Do Not Have the Power to Sway Economy Even With Midterm Upset $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US President Donald Trump warned that if Democrats regain political power in the midterm Congressional elections, the US economy could implode, because: Democrats would push tax hikes and environmental restrictions that stifle growth. Undocumented immigrants would steal […]
US Stock Rise in Strong Rally, Chipmakers Lead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, the major US stock market indexes rose more than 1%, driven by strong gainers for chip and transport stocks, as investors took advantage of cheaper prices following the recent pullback. All 11 S&P 500 sectors ended in the Green a day […]
More Tariffs in Store for China if President Trump’s Meeting with President Xi Fails in November $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The United States is preparing to announce tariffs on all remaining Chinese imports by early December if talks next month between presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping fail to ease the trade dispute. The […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Earnings: Over 20% of S&P 500 companies have reported, 72% have beat The Street estimates Market is concerned about the Fed overreacting, as it always does. China’s economy is in decline Halloween Market Week: Tricks & Treats The US stock market’s technical indicators suggest […]
Trump Economy Driving Robust GDP to 3.5% in Q-3 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US economy grew at a robust annual rate of 3.5% in the July-September Quarter as the strongest rise i consumer spending in nearly 4 years helped offset a sharp drag from trade. The Commerce Department said Friday that Q-3 GDP, the […]
Sell Off Overdone, Strong Buying Fuels Rally $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, US stocks spiked on oversold technicals giving the NAS Comp its biggest daily percentage gainer since March, as Microsoft’s (NASDAQ:MSFT) upbeat earnings fueled strong buying in tech names and investors bought up oversold shares. Traders said investors bargain-hunted Thursday after the market’s […]
Buy the Dip: “Fed has the Market’s Back” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Investors should take advantage of this market pull back, the deepest in 3 years to position for a year-end rally as fears over Fed Hawkishness are likely overdone. While catalysts cited behind the Southside action ranged from peak earnings growth to trade […]
The US is in a ‘Great Economic Boom’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Americans’ evaluations of current US economic conditions and the economy’s trajectory are the most optimistic in nearly 20 years, Gallup reported. Currently, 54% of Americans rate economic conditions as “excellent” or “good,” and just 12% as “poor,” Gallup reported. Also, by 57% to […]
Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Jim Cramer says Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hike interest rates once more in December and then stop. “I just think he’s going to blink,” Mr. Cramer said on TV Monday “It’s going to be 1 and done in December. That’s […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Earnings: 20% of S&P 500 companies have reported, 70% have beat The Street estimates The S&P 500, DJIA and NAS Comp held their 200-Day SMA’s Friday Market is concerned about the Fed overreacting, as it always does. China’s decline is feared, may decline further, […]
US Stocks Test on Fed Rates and Global Growth Concerns $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 index closed just above its 200-Day MA, a Key indicator of long-term price trends. US stocks opened lower as Chinese stocks fell overnight, sparking concerns about the impact of trade tensions on China’s economy. Plus, concerns mounted […]
US Economy Now The World’s Most Competitive Again $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX America is First, Again! The last time the US topped the list was in Y 2008. US economy sits atop of the World Economic Forum’s annual global competitiveness survey for the 1st time since the Ys 2007-2009 financial crisis the Swiss body […]
DJIA + 547.87 On Strong Q-3 Earnings Reports $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 cut through its 200-Day MA, closing 2.2% higher and reducing its October loss to 3.6%. Tuesday, US stocks rose more than 2% after upbeat earnings reports from major companies, and solid economic data, as equities rebounded from last week’s […]
US Economy Expanding at 4% Growth Rate $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday the latest data showed that the US economy is expanding at a 4% annualized rate in Q-3, that according to the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model following the release of the latest data on retail sales. The GDPNow model estimate for real […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, earnings season starts in earnest For now traders are playing an oversold bounce. But, if this is a relief move, the later you enter, the worse risk/reward. So, be selective if you are adding more bounce plays. Also, look at some areas receiving […]
Looking at the US Home Mortgage Market $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Last week the Dow Jones on Tuesday and Wednesday closed at all-time highs, this week it pulled back. That makes 4 new BEV Zeros in the BEV chart below in the past ten trading days, and that’s something I can’t complain about. If you compare […]
US Economic Data Strong, Atlanta Fed Raises GDP View to 4.2% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX US stocks retreated Wednesday in a healthy Bull market pullback The US economy is expanding at a 4.2% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed on Wednesday, following the release of the latest data […]
“Fed Raising Rates Too Fast” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, President Donald Trump criticized the Fed saying it is going too fast in raising rates when inflation is minimal and government data points to a strong economy. “Well, I like to see low interest rates. The Fed is doing what it thinks is necessary […]
US Stocks Finished Flat to Unchanged on Volatile Trade $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Bond market was closed in observance of Columbus Day in the US Investors did not receive any US economic data Monday The S&P 500 tested its Key 50-Day MA The US stock market closed a volatile day of trading mixed. […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Columbus Day in the USA, Banks are Closed, Market is Open The market’s focus this week: Earnings Yes, it is earnings reporting season again, this frame always commands a great deal of attention because earnings drive stock prices over the long term. To that end, […]
A “Red Wave” in November Means More Tax Cuts for Americans $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX A “Red Wave” in the November midterm elections means “tax cuts 2.0” GOP voter enthusiasm is powered by support for Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh Financial stocks are rallying for a 2nd day running as 10-year T-Note yields top […]
DJIA Marks a Record Close $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, the DJIA marked a record closing high but the S&P 500 and NAS Comp finished in the Red. The Russell 2000 also struggled Tuesday, losing 1.0% to extend its weekly loss to 2.4%. The small-cap index has been weighed down this week by a […]
Wall Street Applauds New USMCA Trade Deal $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, Wall Street opened Q-4 on a positive note as a President Trump’s USMCA trade pact eased participants concerns. The DJIA finished strong, up 0.7%, but the NAS Comp closed 0.1% lower. The Russell 2000 also closed lower, off 1.4%. Canada and Mexico […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX The market’s focus this week: new money, earnings season, and the jobs report Friday. September was not a Southside month this year, solid but not huge. So many participants are expecting a selloff in October. It may happen, though it did not happen last year after a […]
Retail Investors Coming into Stock in Droves $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks delivered the best Quarterly run in almost 5 years, luring retail investors back into the longest Bull market on record just as Wall Street started flashing yellow lights. Individual investors drew down cash balances at brokerage accounts to record lows as […]
Short-Term Recession Risks for US Are Not High $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US economy does not face a large chance of a recession in the next 2 years and the Fed plans to keep gradually raising interest rates, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Thursday. Asked whether the narrowing gap between short-term and long-term […]
Fed Hikes, Removes ‘Dovish’ Language from Policy Statement $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The FOMC increased short-term interest rates Wednesday, as expected, raising the fed funds target range by 25 bpts to 2.00-2.25%. The move reflected an upbeat assessment of the economy that was identical to the central bank’s last policy statement 8 weeks ago, […]
“No Great ‘Potholes’ Seen Stopping President Trump Economic Growth Policies” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon expects robust economic growth “may very well continue” because he does not see any “great potholes” stopping it. Mr. Dimon said in a TV interview Monday hat he cannot tell whether the China […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX The market’s focus this week FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday to talk a rate hike and more trade issues with China, Canada, and the EU. The heavy pressure is on China now. Then there is The Trump Administration’s feelings toward social media and WH […]
The Trump Market, DJIA Marks Another Record High $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, the Industrials led DJIA to a new closing high Friday ahead of Monday’s major sector reshuffle, capping a week in which investors shrugged off trade dispute concerns. Declines in the FAANGs dragged on equity benchmarks, helping erase the session’s gains on […]
The Trump Effect: DJIA, S&P 500 Mark Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, Wall Street delivered another set of milestones as buying drove US stocks due North, driving the DJIA above the all-time high it closed at in January, marking the 100th record high for DIA since President Trump took the Oval Office […]
Wall Street Not Worried About President Trump’s Trade Policy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street finished higher Tuesday in a broad-based rally as investors brushed aside trade rhetoric between the United States and China showing no fear, only cheer. All 3 major U.S. indexes closed higher following Monday’s pause to refresh. Late Monday, US […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Again, lots more US economic data this week. We will see the Empire PMI Monday and the Philly Fed Thursday. Housing starts, Existing home sales, Leading indicators also this week. The the major US major stock market indexes continue to trend higher and in the face […]
The Trump Economy Is ‘Killing It’ Right Now $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow urges all Americans to give President Donald Trump’s negotiating strategy more time because the “entire world” will benefit if all goes if planned because he “is doing the Lord’s work.” As evidence, Mr. Kudlow offers the […]