Inflation Muted, Fed ‘Patient’ on Interest Rate Hikes

Inflation Muted, Fed ‘Patient’ on Interest Rate Hikes

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US wholesale prices fell last month on a steep fall in gasoline prices suggesting that inflation will remain tame in the coming months. The Labor Department said that the producer price index, which tracks cost changes before they reach the consumer fell 0.2% in December from the prior month. The drop […]

A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000

A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000

A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $MTAFF, $GLGDF, $RGLD, $FNV,$WPM You may recall in January 2016, the DJIA was trading at the 16,000 mark, when Yves Lamoureux, President of macroeconomic research firm Lamoureux & Co., said DIA would top 25,000 within 3-4 years. It did not take […]

Trump Stimulus Expectations Driving US and World Economies

Trump Stimulus Expectations Driving US and World Economies

Trump Stimulus Expectations Driving US and World Economies $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The world economy will grow steadily over the next 2 years, meaning investors should stay invested in equities, according to Barclays Capital Plc. Barclay’s analysts presented several major themes for the next 2 years Thursday, they are: President Donald Trump and Republicans in […]

Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead

Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead

Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The “Demons of Deflation” are in the dust-bin on a uptick in price pressures globally, prompting investors to seek protection in inflation-protected bonds. A year ago, it was deflation, falling prices that restrain consumer spending and economic growth that plagued investors and central banks, […]

American’s are Almost as Wealthy as Ever, it is Scary

American’s are Almost as Wealthy as Ever, it is Scary

American’s are Almost as Wealthy as Ever, it is Scary Americans are about as wealthy as they have ever been and that is worrying monetary officials.  They are concerned that the growing wealth could prove unsustainable because it has outstripped the growth of the economy since the Great Recession’s storied end in Y 2009. A […]

Barron’s Gold Mining Index (BGMI): A 96 Year Study

Barron’s Gold Mining Index (BGMI): A 96 Year Study

Barron’s Gold Mining Index (BGMI): A 96 Year Study $GLD, $SLV What does “real money” mean to you? To many of my readers, I suspect real money would be gold and silver coinage backing the paper money in circulation. But to politicians and economists, it means something completely different: “A billion here, a billion there, and […]

The Fed Policy Makers are Fighting for Their Lives

The Fed Policy Makers are Fighting for Their Lives

The Fed Policy Makers are Fighting for Their Lives Something interesting happened the Friday (Quad Witching) before Brexit; trading volume exploded on a decline in the Dow Jones.  In the BEV chart below I inserted the daily trading volume (mils) for the Dow Jones instead of the usual BEV values to highlight what happened. It […]

World’s Central Bankers are Fighting “the Tape”

World’s Central Bankers are Fighting “the Tape”

World’s Central Bankers are Fighting “the Tape” The world’s central bankers are fighting “the tape” by pumping massive amounts of liquidity into the global economic system in an effort to avert deflation. Notably, deflation is a natural force of nature during Peace Time, when globalization leads to free trade and heightens competition. During War Time, […]