President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX President Trump Tweeted: “Fed, Powell ‘Fail Again’”After FOMC Rate Cut The Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since July, and it was not enough for President Trump. President Trump assailed policy makers just mins after their decision Wednesday to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 bts. “Jay […]

Gold Remarks $1,500 Ahead of Key ECB and FOMC Meeting

Gold Remarks $1,500 Ahead of Key ECB and FOMC Meeting

$XAU, $GLD Gold steady ahead of ECB meeting Thursday and FOMC meeting next week Gold futures remarked Key $1,500 oz Wednesday, as traders weighed President Trump’s latest Tweet calling for the Fed to cut interest rates down to Zero, ahead of the FOMC’s meeting next week. Prices for the precious Yellow metal traded between modest […]

Gold’s Price, a Fundamental Forecast

Gold’s Price, a Fundamental Forecast

$XAU, $GLD, $USD, $XAUUSD Friday, Gold saw choppy trade. The price action suggests that traders have fully priced-in the latest round of global central bank rate cuts and are now waiting to see if those cuts are having an impact on the global economy. The price action also indicates that gold may be fairly priced […]

US Does Not Intend to Intervene on USD Yet

US Does Not Intend to Intervene on USD Yet

$USD US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said The Trump Administration does not intend to intervene in the USD market now, but signaled he prefers any future move be coordinated with the Fed and global allies. The Treasury Department has “no intention of intervention at this time. Situations could change in the future but right now […]

Gold Traders Kept ‘Powder Dry’ Ahead of Fed’s Jackson Hole Summit

Gold Traders Kept ‘Powder Dry’ Ahead of Fed’s Jackson Hole Summit

$XAU $GLD $USD Gold is an asset that will never produce anything, but that does not mean it will never produce a profit for investors. Gold prices moved lower Thursday and consolidated in a tight range as USD initially moved higher. This happened despite slightly better than expected EU PMI Flash numbers. The Jackson Hole […]

Chairman Powell Challenged at Jackson Hole

Chairman Powell Challenged at Jackson Hole

Fed Chairman Powell comes to this year’s meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, WY, wedged between discord within the FOMC over appropriate monetary policy and mounting market pressure for more interest rate cuts. In navigating that gap, Chairman Powell is unlikely to use his Keynote speech Friday at the Kansas City Fed’s annual economic […]

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 increased 0.8% on Wednesday in a broad-based advance. Upbeat results and reassuring guidance from Target and Lowe’s reinforced the notion that the US consumer is in good shape, while investors parsed the FOMC mins from the July meeting.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.9%, the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.9%, […]

The Pressure is on the Fed to Cut Rates

The Pressure is on the Fed to Cut Rates

Wednesday, President Trump continued his pressure the Fed and its Chairman to lower interest rates, saying its policies were hampering US growth and reducing the country’s ability to compete economically. “Doing great with China and other Trade Deals. The only problem we have is Jay Powell and the Fed. He’s like a golfer who can’t […]

Jackson Hole is the Perfect Place for Chairman Powell to Declare a Fed Rate Cut

Jackson Hole is the Perfect Place for Chairman Powell to Declare a Fed Rate Cut

Fed Chairman Powell opens the central bank’s annual Jackson Hole symposium Friday with a speech on the challenges for monetary policy. A deglobalization shock ignited by President Trump’s trade policy; super low interest rates, including $16.7-N in negative-yielding bonds; a never-ending presidential assault on the Fed; and a rising risk of a US and worldwide […]

President Trump Urges Fed Rate Cut of 100 Bpts, the Market is Giving Chairman Powell Little Choice

President Trump Urges Fed Rate Cut of 100 Bpts, the Market is Giving Chairman Powell Little Choice

Monday, President Trump stepped up his assault on the Fed, urging it to cut interest rates by a full percentage point to aid global growth while complaining the “dollar is so strong that it is sadly hurting other parts of the world.” “The Fed Rate, over a fairly short period of time, should be reduced […]

Tame Producer Inflation Supports Case for Another Fed Rate Cut in September

Tame Producer Inflation Supports Case for Another Fed Rate Cut in September

US producer prices increased moderately in July, lifted by a rebound in the cost of energy products, while underlying producer inflation retreated, which could allow the Fed to cut interest rates again next month. The benign inflation report from the Labor Department on Friday could boost expectations for a half-percentage-point cut at the Fed’s 17-18 Sept. policy […]

The Secret to Cutting a Steak

The Secret to Cutting a Steak

The Secret is to slice your steak against the grain. Maybe you have heard this before, but the Big Q is what does it mean? It all has to do with the direction of the meat’s muscle fibers. If you look closely at your steak or, any piece of meat, for that matter, you will notice lines that […]

Analysts See Fed Cutting Interest Rates in September

Analysts See Fed Cutting Interest Rates in September

$MS, $GS Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analysts said Monday that they now expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates in September and then again in October. “Trade’s ‘simmer’ has begun to boil, business sentiment and capex have softened further, global growth remains weak and inflation expectations have fallen,” while the gap between 3-month US3MT=RR and 10-year […]

The Fed is Under Pressure to Ease Further

The Fed is Under Pressure to Ease Further

$SPY Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell cut U.S. interest rates calling the move an insurance policy against the effects of “simmering” trade tensions, may need to buy more coverage after the United States late Monday designated China a currency manipulator. The move by US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin starts a formal process to address […]

ECB Vs Fed in ‘Undeclared’ Currency War…Tensions Rising

ECB Vs Fed in ‘Undeclared’ Currency War…Tensions Rising

FLASH: Fed policy makers reportedly are being forced to cut interest rates because of the European Central Bank’s much-lower policy rate. If losing demand to Europe weakens US growth and threatens to push inflation too low, US rates also must also fall. “The ECB’s policy rate, at minus 0.4%, is already nearly 3 percentage points […]

Fed Cuts Rates, Signals It “May” Not Need to Do More

Fed Cuts Rates, Signals It “May” Not Need to Do More

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The FOMC cut interest rates as widely expected Wednesday, but Chairman Powell said he did not view the move as the start of a lengthy series of rate cuts. Fed Chairman Powell cited global weakness, trade tensions and a desire to boost too-low inflation in explaining the central bank’s decision […]

Gold Gained Friday as US Inflation Offset GDP Data

Gold Gained Friday as US Inflation Offset GDP Data

$GLD, $XAU Gold prices rose Friday, after slipping to more than 1-week lows in the prior session, as soft US inflation numbers offset better-than-expected Q-2 economic growth that kept bets alive for an interest rate cut next week. Spot gold was last seen up 0.4% at $1,419.10 oz Friday, but still on track for the […]

Good News and Earnings are Driving This Market

Good News and Earnings are Driving This Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Wall Street Liked the Trade News and Earnings Reports Moving this Market S&P 500 closes above 3000, boosted by encouraging trade news and positive earnings, guidance from widely-held companies High-level trade talks will reportedly continue in China next week from Monday to Wednesday 10 of 11 S&P 500 sectors […]

US Stock Market’s Direction is Based on Fed

US Stock Market’s Direction is Based on Fed

$SPY The US stock market finished lower last week on relatively low volume and volatility. Perhaps it was the pre-conceived negative earnings expectations due to reports released before the results season started that fueled the lackluster price action. Perhaps it was options expiration. Uncertainty over the size of the expected Fed rate cut at the […]

Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

The Fed is widely expected to reduce interest rates late this month. That probably means its campaign to shrink its balance sheet is over, leaving the central bank with trillions of dollars more than before the Y 2008 financial crisis. Beginning a decade ago in a bid to fight the Great Recession, the Fed by […]

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed’s Bullard: Rate Cut Will ‘Ratify’ What People Already Expect An interest rate cut may be necessary now, but that does not mean the Fed is on a path to dramatically lower rates, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday. Mr. Bullard, who argued unsuccessfully for such an […]

Stocks Finished Flat on Mixed Economic Data

Stocks Finished Flat on Mixed Economic Data

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The gauge of equities finished flat to unchanged Tuesday, as US Treasury yields moved higher on a stronger-than-anticipated report on US retail sales raised the possibility the Fed might adopt a less Dovish stance. The S&P 500 lost 0.3% Tuesday, led lower by shares of energy and technology companies, while […]

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, a Fed policymaker expressed skepticism that an interest rate cut is the right move until there are more signs the economy is moving to a truly weaker path. “I prefer to gather more information before considering a change in our monetary policy stance,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in […]

S&P Marks Record Closing High, Wall Street Bets on Fed Rate Cut

S&P Marks Record Closing High, Wall Street Bets on Fed Rate Cut

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market in stock is the longest on record. The S&P 500 Index marked a record closing high Thursday, buoyed by Wall Street’s expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates as soon as July to keep the US-China trade dispute from stalling economic growth. The Fed left […]

Market Technicals Signaling Fed to Cut Rates Soon

Market Technicals Signaling Fed to Cut Rates Soon

FLASH: The market is leading the Fed Funds rate lower, signaling a rate cut soon. “We have tracked the Fed’s interest rates decisions for years,” writes Steven Hochberg, Elliot Wave theorist. In December, he wrote an article titled “Interest Rates Win Again as Fed Follows the Market,” where he observed that although most pundits believe that central […]

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

$XAU, $GLD, $USD Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being the Federal Reserve. Speaking at an event at the Chicago Fed last Tuesday, Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the Fed would likely cut […]

US Economy Growing Despite Jobs Slowdown

US Economy Growing Despite Jobs Slowdown

Under President Trump the US economy is continuing to grow, despite a  jobs report that showed job growth had slowed down sharply in May while wages rose less than expected. “We have had extraordinary job growth over the past couple of years, record job growth,” VP Mike Pence’s Chief of Staff Marc Short told reporters. “Unemployment is at a […]

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

$DIA,$SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The technology sector was the biggest boost to the S&P with a 3.3% advance, led by gains in Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Wall Street’s 3 major indexes rallied Tuesday to clock their biggest one-day gains in five months after Fed Chairman Powell left the door open for a […]

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Growing expectations for the Fed to cut rates to address slower growth and muted inflation; 2-yr yield drops 12 bpts to 1.83% . St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (FOMC Voter) said that slower economic growth could be sharper-than-expected due to the trade uncertainty. Mr. Bullard added that […]

US Economy Continues to Expand

US Economy Continues to Expand

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This economic expansion is set to become longest in US history, according to the latest leading-indicators data. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US increased 0.2% in April to 112.1, following a 0.3% increase in March, and a 0.2% increase in February. “The US LEI rose […]

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged, Investors Bet Rate Cut Coming

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged, Investors Bet Rate Cut Coming

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Global equities declined Wednesday, capping a 3-day winning streak after the Fed held rates steady as expected, but comments from Fed Chairman Powell cast doubt on whether the central bank’s next move would be a rate cut, as expected. The Fed left its Key interest rate unchanged Wednesday and […]

Fed Must Cut Interest Rates Despite Strong 3.2% GDP Growth

Fed Must Cut Interest Rates Despite Strong 3.2% GDP Growth

FLASH: White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow says the Fed should still cut interest rates despite strong economic growth in Q-1. The government said GDP, expanded by 3.2% in Q-1 of this year, which the veteran financial guru and former Ronald Reagan adviser called “a blow out number.” “The inflation rate continues to slip lower […]

Fed Mins ‘Dovish’, No Interest Rate Increases This Year and Into 2020

Fed Mins ‘Dovish’, No Interest Rate Increases This Year and Into 2020

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The majority of Fed officials last month believed that economic conditions would likely warrant keeping its Dovish monetary policy unchanged for the rest of this year. Several officials said their view could shift in either direction based on incoming data, according to minutes of the meeting released Wednesday. Weaker growth […]

US Economy Looks ‘Very Good’ in Here, Stocks Break Out on Volume

US Economy Looks ‘Very Good’ in Here, Stocks Break Out on Volume

$DIA, $SPY,$QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 marks its Best Quarter since 2009 Friday the US stock market liked what it heard: The US and China held “constructive” trade talks in Beijing this week, according to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and the White House. Trade talks will continue next week in Washington with China’s Vice […]

China Musts: Align with US on Trade and Stimulate Sinking Economy

China Musts: Align with US on Trade and Stimulate Sinking Economy

China will step up fiscal spending this year to support its economy, focusing on further cuts in taxes and fees for small firms, finance ministry officials said Wednesday. Mounting US trade tariff pressure on the world’s 2nd-biggest economy pushed growth last year to its lowest since Y 1990 even as Beijing stepped up stimulus measures […]

Falling Crude Oil Prices Great for US Consumers and Emerging Markets

Falling Crude Oil Prices Great for US Consumers and Emerging Markets

Falling Crude Oil Prices Great for US Consumers and Emerging Markets $USO, $OIL, $UGA, $USD US Holiday shoppers should enjoy more spending power thanks to the recent dive in Crude Oil prices. While this fall in Crude Oil prices does not yet match the Ys 2014-2016 fall to $26 bbl, the current decline should soon […]

President Trump Asks His Cabinet for 5% Cut in Next Year’s Budget

President Trump Asks His Cabinet for 5% Cut in Next Year’s Budget

President Trump Asks His Cabinet for 5% Cut in Next Year’s Budget Dubbing it the “nickel plan,” President Donald Trump announced Wednesday that he’s asking every Cabinet Secretary to cut their next-year’s budgets by 5%. “Get rid of the fat. Get rid of the waste,” President Trump told members of his Cabinet during a meeting […]

President Trump is “Guiding Hottest Economy in World”

President Trump is “Guiding Hottest Economy in World”

President Trump is “Guiding Hottest Economy in World” The US National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said America’s economy is leading the rest of the world by returning to a basic approach of cutting taxes and burdensome regulation to allow businesses to freely flourish with government oppression. “The U.S. is the hottest economy in the […]

More Tax Cut Legislation on ‘Fast Track’

More Tax Cut Legislation on ‘Fast Track’

More Tax Cut Legislation on ‘Fast Track’ House Republicans unveiled a Y 2019 budget proposal Tuesday to send a message to their core supporters that repealing Barack Obamacare, cutting taxes and partially privatizing Medicare remain high on their agenda. The budget, which claims to balance by Y  2027 through $8-T in spending cuts, seeks to […]

US Economy Can Handle Trump Budget Deficits

US Economy Can Handle Trump Budget Deficits

US Economy Can Handle Trump Budget Deficits The US economy can handle the trillion-dollar deficits that are forecast to result from President Trump’s budget proposal released Monday. “The deficit is going to be 5.5% of GDP for FY 2019. Over 10 years, it’s going to average about 3.5% ,” economist Larry Kudlow said pointing out […]

Alrosa Finds Giant Gem Quality Pink Diamond

Alrosa Finds Giant Gem Quality Pink Diamond

Alrosa Finds Giant Gem Quality Pink Diamond MCX:ALRS, $BID Russia’s Alrosa (MCX:ALRS), the world’s #1 diamond producer by output in carats, has unearthed 27.85-carat Pink precious stone the company believes could be the most expensive it has ever found. Alrosa is trying to decide on whether to sell this Pink stone as a rough diamond, or cut […]

Tax Reform: Mr. President, “Keep it simple”

Tax Reform: Mr. President, “Keep it simple”

Tax Reform: Mr. President, “Keep it simple” One of the most enduring lessons from the American healthcare fiasco is that to win a political battle it is best to keep the message simple. If there are too many moving parts to a plan, if Americans don’t understand what the politicians are doing, or if there […]

A 5 to 10% Pullback in the Market will be Bullish

A 5 to 10% Pullback in the Market will be Bullish

A 5 to 10% Pullback in the Market will be Bullish And Low Inflation in the US is Like a Tax Cut for the Economy Economist Larry Kudlow, a former adviser to President Ronald Reagan, said he is Bullish stocks because profits are rising, inflation is low and consumer confidence is high. “I’m very Bullish […]

‘Draining the Swamp’, President Trump to Revamp State

‘Draining the Swamp’, President Trump to Revamp State

‘Draining the Swamp’, President Trump to Revamp State President Donald Trump has plans to revamp the State Department “My suspicion is that within the White House, particularly amongst the nationalist faction… that this seems to actually be a concerted effort to diminish the role of the State Department in U.S. foreign policy and hamper its […]

The Trump Tax Cut Signals “the War against American Business is Over”

The Trump Tax Cut Signals “the War against American Business is Over”

The Trump Tax Cut Signals “the War against American Business is Over” US President Donald Trump’s proposed tax cuts will boost incentives for Americans to work, invest and save, good on Donald Trump. “The War against business is over,” Larry Kudlow said in an interview Wednesday. “The biggest single missing ingredient in tax policy over […]

Monday, President Donald Trump Vowed to Cut Regulations & Taxes

Monday, President Donald Trump Vowed to Cut Regulations & Taxes

Monday, President Donald Trump Vowed to Cut Regulations & Taxes $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Monday, US President Donald Trump met with a dozen American manufacturers at the White House, pledging to slash regulations and cut corporate taxes, but warning them he would impose taxes on imports if they move production outside the country. President Trump, […]

China Slashes Crude Oil Refinery Output on Sluggish Prices

China Slashes Crude Oil Refinery Output on Sluggish Prices

China Slashes Crude Oil Refinery Output on Sluggish Prices $OIL, $SHI, $PTR China’s Crude Oil output fell 9.9% Y-Y in August, the biggest monthly fall since Y 2003 as refineries slashed production amid sluggish global Crude Oil prices, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed Monday. Imports have trended upward after private refineries were […]