Traders and investors have been asking what is the “inverted yield curve”, this unusual bond market phenom came on briefly last week for the 1st time in over 12 years and shook Wall Street with talk that an economic downturn was imminent. Following a tweet from President Trump referencing the “CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE!”, the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX This week’s trade has been headlined by the yield-curve inversion theory, where the yield of shorter-dated debt rises above its longer-term counterpart. On Wednesday, the yield 10-yr T-Note rate briefly fell below the 2-year T-Note a condition that has sometimes been a recession indicator. The degree to which investors have crowded […]
US producer prices increased moderately in July, lifted by a rebound in the cost of energy products, while underlying producer inflation retreated, which could allow the Fed to cut interest rates again next month. The benign inflation report from the Labor Department on Friday could boost expectations for a half-percentage-point cut at the Fed’s 17-18 Sept. policy […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump targeted Fed policy as the reason for this recent market turmoil. In raising interest rates 4X last year “the Federal Reserve acted far too quickly, and now is very, very late,” in reversing itself and cutting borrowing costs, President Trump tweeted. “Too bad, so much to gain on […]
$BAC An inverted Treasury yield curve is no longer a reliable signal of recession, and what matters more is the level of the curve, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) economists said in a note Friday. The Fed is flirting with inversion probably because policy makers recognize its waning predictive power in a low-yield global environment, the […]
President Trump Drives Debt Sales to Near-Recession Levels as Economy Booms US President Donald Trump is boosting long-term US debt sales to the highest since Y 2010, matching the pace when the country was digging itself out of the worst recession since World War II, even as the economy is booming. To cope with the […]
Wall Street On Track For Banner Year! $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Despite the persistence of geopolitical and economic risks, the backdrop is constructive There are more catalysts in the market and more participation. Wall Street trading desks’ revenue is on track for the best year since 2011, Q-2 earnings reports from big US banks […]
Fed Policymakers Say “Not to worry” No Recession Ahead As the gap between Short and Long-term borrowing costs hovers near its lowest in 10+years, speculation has risen over whether the yield curve is signaling that a recession is around the corner. Not to worry, 2 Federal Reserve policymakers said Friday Growth prospects look strong, which […]
Trump Victory Augurs US Banks Enhanced Profitably $XLF US President Elect Donald Trump has greatly enhanced the outlook for US bank profitability, as he is laying the foundation for a steeper yield curve and financial deregulation. Recognizing this, investors are acting with record 1-day inflows of more than $2.1-B into the Financial Select Sector exchange […]
