Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) pressure is coming from renewed concerns over a U.S.-China trade deal

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) pressure is coming from renewed concerns over a U.S.-China trade deal

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) pressure is coming from renewed concerns over a U.S.-China trade deal The Australian Dollar is trading lower on Wednesday. The pressure is coming from renewed concerns over a U.S.-China trade deal, a stronger U.S. Dollar and dovish Reserve Bank minutes. Traders are worried that negotiations between the two economic powerhouses have […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Continues To Grind

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Continues To Grind

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Continues To Grind The Australian dollar has initially tried to rally during the trading session on Monday, only to turn around and show weakness again. Ultimately, this is a market that looks very likely to continue to see a lot of noise around it as the Australian dollar is so sensitive […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trading range is tight as most of the major players have taken to the sidelines

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trading range is tight as most of the major players have taken to the sidelines

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trading range is tight as most of the major players have taken to the sidelines The Australian Dollar is trading slightly lower on Monday. There has been no follow-through to the upside following Friday’s strong rebound rally, following the prior session’s steep sell-off. The trading range is tight as most of […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weak employment data drove up the chances of another rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weak employment data drove up the chances of another rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weak employment data drove up the chances of another rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia The Australian Dollar closed lower last week with most of the loss occurring on November 14  after the Australian 10-year government bond yield slumped to over a 1-week low after the country’s employment report […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) shown signs of erratic behavior

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) shown signs of erratic behavior

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) shown signs of erratic behavior The Australian dollar has shown signs of erratic behavior over the last 24 hours but this should not be a huge surprise considering that we continue to have mixed messages coming out of the trade war between the United States and China. However, part of the resiliency that […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Uptrend Move Still Intact

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Uptrend Move Still Intact

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Uptrend Move Still Intact On Oct 31 AUD/USD rose to a multi-month high at 0.6929. Later, buyers tried to rally the price further however, they have not been successful in overtaking this level. Similarly, NZD/USD rallied at the start of this week to 0.6460 – its highest level in over two […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) momentum trending lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) momentum trending lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) momentum trending lower The Australian Dollar is trading higher on Tuesday, recovering from early session weakness, after Reserve Bank of Australia policymakers decided to hold policy steady at 0.75%, as expected, while upgrading forward-guidance. The final paragraph of the RBA’s monetary policy statement is steering Aussie Dollar prices higher. In it, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now testing monthly uptrend support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now testing monthly uptrend support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now testing monthly uptrend support The Australian Dollar has is down more-than 0.3% against the US Dollar since the start of the week with Aussie now testing monthly uptrend support. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the AUD/USD price charts. In my latest Australian Dollar Price […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) this week features the RBA rate decision and retail sales

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) this week features the RBA rate decision and retail sales

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) this week features the RBA rate decision and retail sales AUD/USD sparkled last week, jumping 1.3 percent. This was the pair’s best week since early September. This week features the RBA rate decision and retail sales. Here is an outlook at the highlights and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. Australian CPI came in […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could be on the cusp of a bearish reversal

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could be on the cusp of a bearish reversal

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could be on the cusp of a bearish reversal The Australian Dollar has enjoyed an impressive rally throughout October with both AUD/USD and AUD/JPY climbing roughly 2%. The technical outlook for AUD price action turns less sanguine, however, as the Aussie pivots lower after touching a major level of confluent resistance. […]

The Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) and New Zealand dollars trading higher on the back of risk appetite

The Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) and New Zealand dollars trading higher on the back of risk appetite

The Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) and New Zealand dollars trading higher on the back of risk appetite The Australian and New Zealand dollars traded higher on the back of risk appetite. Data from Australia was also good with price pressures rising slightly in the third quarter. On a quarterly basis, CPI rose 0.5%, which was in […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Advances On Weak US Consumer Confidence & Despite A Dovish Dr Lowe

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Advances On Weak US Consumer Confidence & Despite A Dovish Dr Lowe

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Advances On Weak US Consumer Confidence & Despite A Dovish Dr Lowe Australian CPI is released each quarter, magnifying the impact of each release. The indicator posted a gain of 0.6% in the second quarter, but is expected to tick lower to 0.5% in Q3. A reading which misses the forecast […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) resistance at 6833

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) resistance at 6833

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) resistance at 6833 Aussie is approaching near-term uptrend support at 6801/09. Initial resistance at 6833 backed by 6854- breach there is needed to mark resumption. A downside break threatens a larger correction with such a scenario 6777. Technical Indicators Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. The projected upper bound is: 0.69. The projected lower bound […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) this week features CPI and Chinese manufacturing PMIs

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) this week features CPI and Chinese manufacturing PMIs

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) this week features CPI and Chinese manufacturing PMIs AUD/USD climbed to 6-week highs early last week, but was unable to consolidate and lost ground last week. This week features CPI and Chinese manufacturing PMIs. Here is an outlook at the highlights and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. There were no major Australian […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Looks as if we are going to continue to fall

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Looks as if we are going to continue to fall

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Looks as if we are going to continue to fall The Australian dollar initially try to rally during the training session on Thursday but then felt to break down below the bottom of the hammer that had formed during the previous day. That being said, it looks as if we are […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) domestic fundamentals to dominate over the next year

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) domestic fundamentals to dominate over the next year

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) domestic fundamentals to dominate over the next year The Australian Dollar was softer across the board Wednesday as the U.S. greenback stabilised and optimism about progress in the Brexit process ebbed, leading one trader to tip more losses in the short-term, but institutional views on the outlook for the Aussie do […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) In the Green

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) In the Green

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) In the Green Last week, Aussie and Kiwi Dollar corrected higher against US Dollar. On Friday, AUD/USD closed the weekly candlestick with a 0.9% gain. Meanwhile, NZD/USD ended the weekly session with nearly 0.8% gain. Alongside this, the relative Strength Index (RSI) crossed above 50 reflecting the end of the downtrend […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) enjoys fourth day of gains amid risk-on mood in global markets

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) enjoys fourth day of gains amid risk-on mood in global markets

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) enjoys fourth day of gains amid risk-on mood in global markets The Australian Dollar climbed for a fourth consecutive session Monday as an upbeat mood in global markets continued to lift risk assets but analysts are divided over the outlook, with some telling clients the antipodean unit’s rally could soon fizzle out […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Could Wilt if Brexit Delayed, Growth Risks Hang

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Could Wilt if Brexit Delayed, Growth Risks Hang

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Could Wilt if Brexit Delayed, Growth Risks Hang The Australian Dollar spent most of last week rallying against major currencies such as the US Dollar and Japanese Yen but underperformed against the British Pound. Domestically, it could thank a drop in Australian unemployment which almost entirely took off bets of a November RBA rate cut. Meanwhile, hopes of a Brexit deal […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) launches higher

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) launches higher

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) launches higher The Australian dollar launched higher during the trading session on Thursday, breaking above the 50 day EMA in a relatively strong sign for the Aussie. However, at the end of the day we still have significant headwinds above and from a fundamental standpoint. The Australian dollar has rallied rather significantly during […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Sellers may come back

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Sellers may come back

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Sellers may come back Last week, US Dollar softened slightly against Australian and New Zealand Dollars. On Friday, AUD/USD closed in the green with a 0.3% gain. Meanwhile, NZD/USD closed with nearly 0.4% gain. However, since Monday sellers resumed pressing the price to the downside, hinting to a possible continuation of bearish price action. The relative […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Pulls Back To Fair Value

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Pulls Back To Fair Value

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Pulls Back To Fair Value The Australian dollar has pulled back to fair value during the trading session on Monday as we continue to see a lot of noise when it comes to the US/China trade talks, essentially going nowhere as expected. Unfortunate for Australia, the Australian dollar is highly sensitive […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) upward momentum builds

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) upward momentum builds

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) upward momentum builds AUD/USD briefly eclipsed its downward sloping trendline after jumping above its 50-day SMA early during Friday’s trading session. I noted earlier that the Australian Dollar hinged on US-China trade talks and progress made by the US and China this week toward reaching a trade deal (deemed a phase 1 trade agreement by […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tumble amid risk aversion

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tumble amid risk aversion

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tumble amid risk aversion Risk aversion is kicking in at the onset of Thursday’s Asia Pacific trading session. The sentiment-linked Australian and New Zealand Dollars are falling alongside S&P 500 and Nikkei 225 futures. Meanwhile, the anti-risk Japanese Yen and similarly-behaving Swiss Franc are outperforming against their major counterparts. The souring in market mood can be traced […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) extends the decline amid waning hopes for an imminent US-China trade deal

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) extends the decline amid waning hopes for an imminent US-China trade deal

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) extends the decline amid waning hopes for an imminent US-China trade deal The recent rebound in AUD/USD continues to unravel as China signaled it would retaliate against the Trump administration for blacklisting 8 tech companies, with China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman, Geng Shuang, urging the US to “immediately correct its mistake, withdraw the relevant decision and stop interfering […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stand to come under pressure if market sentiment falters in response to US-China trade talks

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stand to come under pressure if market sentiment falters in response to US-China trade talks

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stand to come under pressure if market sentiment falters in response to US-China trade talks US-China trade relations have been at a standstill since mid-September when it seemed Sino-American tensions were thawing amid “gestures of good will” from both parties. With a lack of adverse updates on the trade war between Washington and […]

Weak Construction Report Weighing on Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X)

Weak Construction Report Weighing on Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X)

Weak Construction Report Weighing on Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) The week has started on a down note, as Australia’s AIG Construction Index dropped to 42.6 in September, down from 44.6 a month earlier. The index has been mired in contraction territory (below the 50-level) for 13 successive months, as the construction sector continues to struggle. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA remains busy, as policymakers lowered rates for the third time since June

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA remains busy, as policymakers lowered rates for the third time since June

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA remains busy, as policymakers lowered rates for the third time since June The RBA remains busy, as policymakers lowered rates for the third time since June. The Aussie lost ground after the move, but recovered late in the week. Building Approvals declined 1.1%, marking a third successive decline. Retail sales […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Weakness Continues After Release of Services PMI and Trade Balance Figures

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Weakness Continues After Release of Services PMI and Trade Balance Figures

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Weakness Continues After Release of Services PMI and Trade Balance Figures AUD/USD is recovering after trading weaker early on Thursday following the release of trade balance and services PMI figures. At the time of writing, AUD/USD is trading at around 0.6719. According to data released by Markit earlier today, the Australian […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) testing fresh decade lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) testing fresh decade lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) testing fresh decade lows It’s been a rough year of 2019 for the Australian Dollar, and this extends a down-trend that’s been in-effect in AUD/USD since early-2018. Coming into the New Year, AUD/USD showed a ‘flash crash’ to slalom down to a low of .6744; but as risk aversion took a hiatus on the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) finding itself under pressure

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) finding itself under pressure

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) finding itself under pressure The Australian Dollar is finding itself under pressure against the US Dollar as it attempts to push through the March 2009 low again. This is ahead of the October Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate announcement, which could produce monetary-policy-based volatility in the currency as markets widely anticipate a cut. Will support hold? On […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA is expected to cut rates for a third time this year

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA is expected to cut rates for a third time this year

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA is expected to cut rates for a third time this year The RBA will kick off the fourth quarter of the year with its October interest rate decision slated for Tuesday at 4:30 GMT and brings Australian Dollar currency pairs into focus. The previous RBA monetary policy statement noted that […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) faces losses over coming days

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) faces losses over coming days

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) faces losses over coming days The Australian Dollar crept higher against many rivals in the morning session Thursday but is being tipped as vulnerable to fresh losses over the coming days, with strategists at Westpac saying the market is unprepared for a likely Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate cut next week.  Reserve Bank of Australia Governor […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Sellers Drive into Support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Sellers Drive into Support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Sellers Drive into Support The late-Q3 impasse in the US Dollar continues to hold as the Greenback remains in a range despite a number of big drivers showing over the last couple of weeks. The European Central Bank rate decision and announcement of stimulus was unable to do it, as was the FOMC rate […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Trading Lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Trading Lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Trading Lower Looking at the daily chart, we notice on Sep 19 AUD/USD declined to a lower trading zone 0.6826 – 0.6904 eyeing a test of the low end of it. Thus, a close below the low end could see further bearish move towards 0.6631. However, the weekly support area and […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weakness beyond 6815 would suggest a larger correction is underway

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weakness beyond 6815 would suggest a larger correction is underway

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weakness beyond 6815 would suggest a larger correction is underway The Australian Dollar is down nearly 2% off the monthly highs against the US Dollar with the decline testing the first major daily support zone early in the week. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the AUD/USD charts. In my last Australian Dollar […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Slides after Mixed Jobs Report

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Slides after Mixed Jobs Report

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Slides after Mixed Jobs Report AUD/USD recorded sharp losses last week, with a decline of 1.7%. It was the Aussie’s worst week since mid-July. There are only two events in the upcoming week. Here is an outlook at the highlights and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. The Australian dollar continued to post […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) crushed after jobs data shows unemployment rising

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) crushed after jobs data shows unemployment rising

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) crushed after jobs data shows unemployment rising The Australian Dollar was crushed Thursday in the wake of an August jobs report that showed the unemployment rate rising, which is tipped by Wesptac to incite further interest rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and a return to a decade-long low by the antipodean […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) downward pressure waiting for the Fed

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) downward pressure waiting for the Fed

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) downward pressure waiting for the Fed Continued attempts for the Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate to recover from its weekly lows have been limited, as the pair still trended just slightly above those lows at the time of writing on Wednesday afternoon. Investors remained hesitant to buy the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebounds off confluence support ahead of FOMC

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebounds off confluence support ahead of FOMC

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebounds off confluence support ahead of FOMC The Australian Dollar is virtually unchanged against the US Dollar since the start of the week and heading into tomorrow FOMC interest rate decision, the focus is on a break of the objective weekly opening-range for guidance. These are the updated targets and invalidation levels that matter on the AUD/USD price chart.  […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) focus remained on the Middle East

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) focus remained on the Middle East

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) focus remained on the Middle East The Australian Dollar remained focused like most markets on rising crude prices following last weekend’s drone strike on crucial Saudi infrastructure and failed to move much on news that both Chinese industrial production and retail sales had missed forecasts. August’s industrial production rose by 4.4% on the year. That […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Investors focus on the RBA minutes and employment reports

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Investors focus on the RBA minutes and employment reports

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Investors focus on the RBA minutes and employment reports The Australian dollar continued to post gains last week, despite disappointing confidence numbers. NAB business confidence slowed to 1 point, in August marking a 4-month low. There was no relief from Westpac consumer sentiment, which fell by 1.7% in July, its third […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Investors Eye Confidence Reports

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Investors Eye Confidence Reports

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Investors Eye Confidence Reports NAB Business Confidence will be released today, followed by Westpac Consumer Sentiment on Wednesday. As well, Chinese CPI, which will be published on Tuesday, could affect the pair. There were plenty of Australian events last week, and the Aussie responded with sharp gains of 1.6%, its strongest […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders continue to alleviate the grossly oversold trading conditions

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders continue to alleviate the grossly oversold trading conditions

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders continue to alleviate the grossly oversold trading conditions The short-covering rally in the Australian Dollar continued for a fourth session on Friday as traders continue to alleviate the grossly oversold trading conditions. Traders started easing up on the short-side of the market early last week after the release of the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) neutral candle forming

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) neutral candle forming

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) neutral candle forming The Australian dollar has gone back and forth during the trading session on Thursday, in an obvious neutral candle. With that neutral candle forming, it shows that we are at least trying to find some type a bottom. The 0.68 level is large and looming on the longer-term charts […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) needs to find support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) needs to find support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) needs to find support The Australian dollar initially tried to rally during the trading session on Wednesday, slamming into the 0.69 level. This is an area that obviously will attract a lot of attention, but I think the 0.6850 level underneath is going to continue to be support, extending down to the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) selling pressure is in reaction to weaker-than-expected domestic economic data

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) selling pressure is in reaction to weaker-than-expected domestic economic data

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) selling pressure is in reaction to weaker-than-expected domestic economic data The Australian Dollar is edging lower against the U.S. Dollar on Tuesday. Some of the selling pressure is in reaction to weaker-than-expected domestic economic data released earlier in the session. Australian Building Approvals came in at -1.2%, below the 0.2% forecast. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now looks like it is going to make a serious play to break down below the 0.69 handle

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now looks like it is going to make a serious play to break down below the 0.69 handle

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now looks like it is going to make a serious play to break down below the 0.69 handle The Australian dollar has tried to rally during the trading session on Monday but gave back most of the gains early in trading and now looks like it is going to make a serious […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) focus will be on Australian CPI and retail sales

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) focus will be on Australian CPI and retail sales

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) focus will be on Australian CPI and retail sales In the U.S., durable goods orders rebounded nicely in June. The headline reading gained 2.0%, crushing the estimate of 0.8%. Core durable goods orders jumped 1.2%, easily beating the estimate of 0.2%. The week wrapped up with Advance GDP for Q2, which […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) near-term downtrend pauses on rising support ahead of RBA speech

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) near-term downtrend pauses on rising support ahead of RBA speech

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) near-term downtrend pauses on rising support ahead of RBA speech The past 24 hours were a choppy session, with varied performance in FX and equities ahead of key economic event risks such as the ECB and US GDP. Markets had to contend with mixed US earnings and data. While the S&P 500 ended the day 0.47% […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rejected by key moving-average, enters into retreat

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rejected by key moving-average, enters into retreat

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rejected by key moving-average, enters into retreat The Australian Dollar was on its back foot Wednesday after being repelled from a key technical resistance barrier and as investors bet the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut its interest rate again sooner rather than later, but multiple analysts are saying that further losses […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) snaps back to .7000 big figure

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) snaps back to .7000 big figure

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) snaps back to .7000 big figure On the side of USD-weakness, AUD/USD may remain of interest. As USD-weakness was pricing in aggressively around those comments from John Williams last week, AUD/USD flew up to fresh three-month-highs. As USD-strength has come back after the ‘clarification’ of those comments, AUD/USD has retraced around 50% of […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) brace yourself for a potential two-sided trade

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) brace yourself for a potential two-sided trade

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) brace yourself for a potential two-sided trade The Australian Dollar was primarily underpinned last week by expectations of lower U.S. interest rates. Early in the week, the Aussie dipped a little after minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) monetary policy meeting in July showed the central bank was ready […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) December falling resistance may keep the downtrend intact

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) December falling resistance may keep the downtrend intact

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) December falling resistance may keep the downtrend intact Versus the Australian Dollar, the Greenback is at a potential turning point. AUD/USD finds itself testing falling resistance from December after the psychological barrier between 0.70482 and 0.7022 was taken out. Though I am still awaiting technical confirmation to argue if the latter could translate into […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) faces significant resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) faces significant resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) faces significant resistance The Australian dollar rallied a bit during the trading session on Thursday but still faces significant resistance just above. With that being the case it looks as if we are about to take on a serious level in the market that could change things going forward. The Australian […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) feeling pressure from dovish Reserve Bank of Australia minutes of it July monetary policy meeting

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) feeling pressure from dovish Reserve Bank of Australia minutes of it July monetary policy meeting

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) feeling pressure from dovish Reserve Bank of Australia minutes of it July monetary policy meeting The Minutes released earlier today from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s last meeting on interest rates on July 2 said the central bank will cut interest rates again, “if needed.” “Lower interest rates would provide more […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Rises as Fed’s Dovish Signals Continue

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Rises as Fed’s Dovish Signals Continue

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Rises as Fed’s Dovish Signals Continue Another month of sharp decline in Australian investment lending was not enough to prevent the Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate recovering ground this morning. Even though lending saw a -1.7% contraction in May, defying forecasts of modest 0.5% growth, the Australian Dollar […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lack of progress in the US-China trade talks seemed to cap attempted recovery

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lack of progress in the US-China trade talks seemed to cap attempted recovery

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lack of progress in the US-China trade talks seemed to cap attempted recovery The AUD/USD pair quickly reversed an early European session dip to fresh 2-1/2 week lows and is currently placed at the top end of its daily trading range, around the 0.6925-30 region. The pair stalled its recent downward […]

CBA eyes Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation above key level this week

CBA eyes Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation above key level this week

CBA eyes Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation above key level this week The Australian Dollar was on the defensive at the beginning of the new week but is tipped by analysts at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) to prevail in its ongoing scrap for a key level over the coming days.  Australia’s Dollar ceded ground to a […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market fails to continue going higher without some type of catalyst

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market fails to continue going higher without some type of catalyst

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market fails to continue going higher without some type of catalyst The Australian dollar has gone back and forth during the trading session on Thursday as Americans were away for Independence Day celebrations. That being said, we are at significant resistance so it’s not a huge surprise to see the market fail […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) broke out of its Asian session consolidative trading range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) broke out of its Asian session consolidative trading range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) broke out of its Asian session consolidative trading range The AUD/USD pair finally broke out of its Asian session consolidative trading range and spiked to fresh session tops, around the 0.7015 region in the last hour. The pair built on the previous session’s post-RBA bounce from 50-day SMA support and continued […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to see the market struggle with the 0.70 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to see the market struggle with the 0.70 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to see the market struggle with the 0.70 level After the RBA chose not to cut rates overnight, the Australian dollar strengthened significantly. However, we are starting to struggle at the 0.70 level again, so it’s very likely that we’ve got some choppiness ahead of us. The 0.7060 level above continues to […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing extreme negativity

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing extreme negativity

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing extreme negativity The Australian dollar initially gapped higher but then turned right back around to form a very negative candle. This is an ugly little, as the 0.70 level seems to have resisted the market. Beyond that, we have had the meeting between the Americans and the Chinese, and perhaps the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA is expected to cut rates this week on Tuesday

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA is expected to cut rates this week on Tuesday

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA is expected to cut rates this week on Tuesday Although the RBA is expected to cut rates this week on Tuesday, comments last week from RBA Governor Philip Lowe indicated a somewhat dovish tone moving forward. Lowe essentially said that to expect a further interest rate cut was “no unrealistic”. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 10% undervalued Vs USD after 2018-2019 falls

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 10% undervalued Vs USD after 2018-2019 falls

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 10% undervalued Vs USD after 2018-2019 falls The Australian Dollar is undervalued by a double-digit percentage although correcting the mismatch between market prices and the intrinsic value of the Antipodean unit could be a long and drawn out process, according to new analysis from Commonwealth Bank of Australia. Australia’s currency is down almost 1% […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Benefits from Trade Hopes and Central Bank Speculation

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Benefits from Trade Hopes and Central Bank Speculation

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Benefits from Trade Hopes and Central Bank Speculation Despite slightly dampened Federal Reserve interest rate cut bets, the Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate has continued to advance this week so far. The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to rebound from its recent lows due to numerous factors. Since hitting […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can continue to go higher with people knowing that the RBA is very likely to cut rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can continue to go higher with people knowing that the RBA is very likely to cut rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can continue to go higher with people knowing that the RBA is very likely to cut rates The Australian dollar has rallied during trading on Monday, reaching the 50 day EMA before pulling back slightly at the end of the session. At this point, the question is whether or not the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) pops on RBA comments

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) pops on RBA comments

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) pops on RBA comments The Australian Dollar experienced a little lift to kick-off the trading week. A short-term phenomenon, for sure, the local unit climbed following comments made by RBA Governor Philip Lowe at a panel discussion yesterday morning, that “… it’s legitimate to ask how effective more [monetary policy] easing […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) highlights this week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) highlights this week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) highlights this week The RBA minutes were dovish, which was not a surprise, coming after the RBA cut rates from 1.50% to 1.25%. Policymakers said that it was “more likely than not” that further policy easing would be appropriate. On the housing front, the House Price Index plunged 3.0% in Q1, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) businesses have seen a pick-up in activity this month

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) businesses have seen a pick-up in activity this month

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) businesses have seen a pick-up in activity this month Australian businesses have seen a pick-up in activity this month with the service sector enjoying the fastest pace of growth in seven months, a survey showed on Friday. The CBA-Markit purchasing management index (PMI) for services and manufacturing climbed to 53.1 in […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) bounce from five-month lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) bounce from five-month lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) bounce from five-month lows AUDUSD folded down to a fresh five-month-low last week as USD-strength had come rushing back. After the resistance inflection at the .7000 big figure earlier this month, sellers have been back in control of the pair; and this can keep the door open for further short-side, particularly […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) June Economic Sentiment data shocked market

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) June Economic Sentiment data shocked market

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) June Economic Sentiment data shocked market The slump rally that had begun on June 9 got slightly diverted in today’s trading session. The pivotal point for the reversal was 0.6835 levels. The pair had started the day near 0.6855 levels and continued the downtrend. The early slip in the AUD/USD pair […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) hit notable support level after recent declines

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) hit notable support level after recent declines

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) hit notable support level after recent declines AUD/USD has continued its declines, with the pair hitting the lowest level in five months. The outlook for the day will depend on the reaction to this $0.6865 support level. The hourly chart shows the move back towards trendline resistance, raising the likeliness of […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders focus on RBA interest rate cut

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders focus on RBA interest rate cut

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders focus on RBA interest rate cut On the back of the recent RBA interest rate cut, there are mounting calls in Australia, to continue to cut with some expecting the cash rate to drop to 0.5%. At least that is the expectation of a few of the major banks both […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) releasing employment change and the unemployment rate

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) releasing employment change and the unemployment rate

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) releasing employment change and the unemployment rate AUD/USD is slightly lower in the Wednesday session. In North American trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6950, down 0.17% on the day. On the release front, Australian Westpac Consumer Sentiment declined 0.6% in June, after a gain of 0.6% in the May release. In […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) holds key resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) holds key resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) holds key resistance On the long-side of the US Dollar, AUDUSD may retain some interest. I had looked at the pair in this week’s FX Setups as one of the more attractive backdrops for a return of USD strength, and the resistance zone investigated has thus far held the highs fairly well. Current […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA and FOMC appear to be at the crossroads

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA and FOMC appear to be at the crossroads

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA and FOMC appear to be at the crossroads Two opposing central banks began to collide this week as both the RBA and FOMC appear to be at the crossroads. The RBA made the first big step in many years and cut the cash rate by 25bp to 1.25%. Shortly thereafter, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) releases AIG Construction Index and Home Loans

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) releases AIG Construction Index and Home Loans

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) releases AIG Construction Index and Home Loans AUD/USD has posted slight gains in the Thursday session, erasing most of the losses seen on Wednesday. In North American trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6985, up 0.23% on the day. In Australia, the trade surplus narrowed to A$4.87 billion in April, down from […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) psychologically significant price

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) psychologically significant price

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) psychologically significant price The Australian dollar went back and forth during the trading session on Wednesday, as the 0.70 level is crucial on longer-term charts. Ultimately, it’s likely that we will see a bit of pullback pressure in this area, because we have had a move towards the 50 day EMA, which […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound following the currency market flash-crash has been capped by the 200-Day SMA (0.7127)

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound following the currency market flash-crash has been capped by the 200-Day SMA (0.7127)

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound following the currency market flash-crash has been capped by the 200-Day SMA (0.7127) Keep in mind, the AUD/USD rebound following the currency market flash-crash has been capped by the 200-Day SMA (0.7127), with the exchange rate marking another failed attempt to break/close above the moving average in April. In turn, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) releases GDP and the RBA is expected to cut rates to 1.25%

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) releases GDP and the RBA is expected to cut rates to 1.25%

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) releases GDP and the RBA is expected to cut rates to 1.25% AUD/USD has moved higher in the Monday session. In North American trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6957, up 0.30% on the day. Earlier in the day, the pair touched 0.6966, its highest level since mid-May. On the release front, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) more downside could be difficult and bounce possible

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) more downside could be difficult and bounce possible

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) more downside could be difficult and bounce possible The Pound has been under pressure against the Australian Dollar of late but the GBP/AUD exchange rate is now approaching solid areas of support while much of the price action this week will depend on the RBA interest rate decision. The Pound lost […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sentiment is still negative

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sentiment is still negative

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sentiment is still negative AUD/USD has been quite trendy in recent weeks as global trade tensions increase and risk assets such as the Aussie keep tumbling. Although, we saw a reversal higher towards the end of last week after the soft US manufacturing and services reports. But the sentiment is still […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investor indecision and impending volatility

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investor indecision and impending volatility

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investor indecision and impending volatility The Australian Dollar is edging lower on Wednesday with the currency posting a tight trading range for a third straight session. The inside trading range suggests investor indecision and impending volatility. Perhaps capping gains are a flare up of concerns over an escalation of the trade […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) door open for bullish short-term trend scenarios

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) door open for bullish short-term trend scenarios

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) door open for bullish short-term trend scenarios I had charted this setup around last week’s open, largely looking for AUDUSD to grasp on to support after gapping-higher to start the week. A dovish RBA rate decision shortly after helped to push prices back down to support, quickly filling that gap; but […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) light trading expected

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) light trading expected

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) light trading expected AUD/USD has posted slight losses in the Monday session. In North American trade, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6916, down 0.16% on the day. U.S markets are closed in the U.S. for the Memorial Day holiday, and there are no U.S. or Australian events on the calendar. On Tuesday, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors making the necessary adjustments to the possibility of a Fed rate hike

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors making the necessary adjustments to the possibility of a Fed rate hike

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors making the necessary adjustments to the possibility of a Fed rate hike Fed Fund futures are currently pricing in 50% chance of a cut in September and a full 25 basis-point cut by December. Traders are also looking for another rate cut for next year. As the trade war drags […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can’t find a way out of the darkness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can’t find a way out of the darkness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can’t find a way out of the darkness The Australian dollar can’t find a way out of the darkness. The AUD has been falling since January 2019 and it seems that the situation only worsens. Let’s see what factors will affect the currency in the middle term. On the daily chart of AUD/USD, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) indicators pointed lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) indicators pointed lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) indicators pointed lower AUD/USD has posted small losses on Wednesday. Currently, the pair is trading at 0.6875, down 0.12% on the day. On the release front, Australian indicators pointed lower. The MI Leading Index dropped 0.1%, while the Construction Index declined 1.9%, much weaker than the estimate of a 0.1% gain. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support underneath at the 0.68 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support underneath at the 0.68 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support underneath at the 0.68 level The Australian dollar fell hard during the trading session on Tuesday, breaking down to the gap, showing extreme negativity. Quite frankly at this point I would be hesitant to buy this market, at least after what we have seen over the last 24 hours or so. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA minutes and Lowe speech threaten AUD’s gains

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA minutes and Lowe speech threaten AUD’s gains

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA minutes and Lowe speech threaten AUD’s gains The Australian Dollar was riding high at the top of the G10 league table Monday following a surprise win for the coalition government in Sunday’s general election, although analysts are saying that gains for the Antipodean currency could prove short-lived. Australia’s Liberal Party […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rise in the unemployment rate in April and China dashing hopes the trade spat would be ended soon

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rise in the unemployment rate in April and China dashing hopes the trade spat would be ended soon

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rise in the unemployment rate in April and China dashing hopes the trade spat would be ended soon Australia’s dollar jumped at the market open after the nation’s center-right government clung to power in a surprise election victory at the weekend. The Aussie was indicated 0.8 percent stronger in early trading at 69.26 […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now the most important domestic data release when it comes to the outlook for RBA policy rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now the most important domestic data release when it comes to the outlook for RBA policy rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now the most important domestic data release when it comes to the outlook for RBA policy rates In what’s fast becoming a familiar theme, the Aussie weakened against all major crosses except the British pound during the session, failing to garner any support despite a further modest improvement in investor risk […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured despite a modest improvement in investor risk appetite

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured despite a modest improvement in investor risk appetite

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured despite a modest improvement in investor risk appetite The Australian dollar remains pressured with traders paying scant regard to a modest rebound in stocks and commodities on Tuesday. With the exception of the Japanese yen and British pound, the movements in the AUD elsewhere were negligible despite renewed confidence […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could weaken further

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could weaken further

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could weaken further Vastly improved downward momentum suggests AUD could weaken further but 0.6910 could be just out of reach for now. The anticipated weakness in AUD exceeded our expectation as it not only cracked 0.6970 but also the strong level of 0.6950 (overnight low of 0.6941). The vastly improved downward […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) falling back into key support level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) falling back into key support level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) falling back into key support level AUD/USD has been in consolidation mode over the past fortnight, with the pair exhibiting lower highs and largely flatlining lows during that time. We are seeing a return to that $0.6962 support level this morning, with the reaction to that level likely to prove key to […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) prices are stalling

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) prices are stalling

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) prices are stalling China remains gripped in a slowdown, which is bad news for Australia, as the Asian giant is China’s largest trading partner. Chinese manufacturing PMI dropped to 50.1 in April, pointing to stagnation. Building approvals swung wildly, falling 15.5% in March, after a gain of 19.1% a month earlier. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) very sensitive to the Chinese economic situation

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) very sensitive to the Chinese economic situation

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) very sensitive to the Chinese economic situation The Australian dollar has fallen a bit during the trading session on Thursday, as we continue to see the 0.70 level as an area of interest. Beyond that, there is a significant amount of support extending all the way down to the 0.68 level. This […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) psychologically important level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) psychologically important level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) psychologically important level The Australian dollar went back and forth during the trading session on Wednesday, as we continue to see a lot of back-and-forth trading, and choppiness to say the least. The Australian dollar of course is highly sensitive to the Chinese situation, which is currently being driven by the US/China […]

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