Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can’t find a way out of the darkness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can’t find a way out of the darkness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) can’t find a way out of the darkness The Australian dollar can’t find a way out of the darkness. The AUD has been falling since January 2019 and it seems that the situation only worsens. Let’s see what factors will affect the currency in the middle term. On the daily chart of AUD/USD, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) indicators pointed lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) indicators pointed lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) indicators pointed lower AUD/USD has posted small losses on Wednesday. Currently, the pair is trading at 0.6875, down 0.12% on the day. On the release front, Australian indicators pointed lower. The MI Leading Index dropped 0.1%, while the Construction Index declined 1.9%, much weaker than the estimate of a 0.1% gain. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support underneath at the 0.68 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support underneath at the 0.68 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support underneath at the 0.68 level The Australian dollar fell hard during the trading session on Tuesday, breaking down to the gap, showing extreme negativity. Quite frankly at this point I would be hesitant to buy this market, at least after what we have seen over the last 24 hours or so. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA minutes and Lowe speech threaten AUD’s gains

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA minutes and Lowe speech threaten AUD’s gains

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA minutes and Lowe speech threaten AUD’s gains The Australian Dollar was riding high at the top of the G10 league table Monday following a surprise win for the coalition government in Sunday’s general election, although analysts are saying that gains for the Antipodean currency could prove short-lived. Australia’s Liberal Party […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rise in the unemployment rate in April and China dashing hopes the trade spat would be ended soon

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rise in the unemployment rate in April and China dashing hopes the trade spat would be ended soon

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rise in the unemployment rate in April and China dashing hopes the trade spat would be ended soon Australia’s dollar jumped at the market open after the nation’s center-right government clung to power in a surprise election victory at the weekend. The Aussie was indicated 0.8 percent stronger in early trading at 69.26 […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now the most important domestic data release when it comes to the outlook for RBA policy rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now the most important domestic data release when it comes to the outlook for RBA policy rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) now the most important domestic data release when it comes to the outlook for RBA policy rates In what’s fast becoming a familiar theme, the Aussie weakened against all major crosses except the British pound during the session, failing to garner any support despite a further modest improvement in investor risk […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured despite a modest improvement in investor risk appetite

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured despite a modest improvement in investor risk appetite

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured despite a modest improvement in investor risk appetite The Australian dollar remains pressured with traders paying scant regard to a modest rebound in stocks and commodities on Tuesday. With the exception of the Japanese yen and British pound, the movements in the AUD elsewhere were negligible despite renewed confidence […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could weaken further

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could weaken further

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could weaken further Vastly improved downward momentum suggests AUD could weaken further but 0.6910 could be just out of reach for now. The anticipated weakness in AUD exceeded our expectation as it not only cracked 0.6970 but also the strong level of 0.6950 (overnight low of 0.6941). The vastly improved downward […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) falling back into key support level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) falling back into key support level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) falling back into key support level AUD/USD has been in consolidation mode over the past fortnight, with the pair exhibiting lower highs and largely flatlining lows during that time. We are seeing a return to that $0.6962 support level this morning, with the reaction to that level likely to prove key to […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) prices are stalling

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) prices are stalling

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) prices are stalling China remains gripped in a slowdown, which is bad news for Australia, as the Asian giant is China’s largest trading partner. Chinese manufacturing PMI dropped to 50.1 in April, pointing to stagnation. Building approvals swung wildly, falling 15.5% in March, after a gain of 19.1% a month earlier. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) very sensitive to the Chinese economic situation

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) very sensitive to the Chinese economic situation

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) very sensitive to the Chinese economic situation The Australian dollar has fallen a bit during the trading session on Thursday, as we continue to see the 0.70 level as an area of interest. Beyond that, there is a significant amount of support extending all the way down to the 0.68 level. This […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) psychologically important level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) psychologically important level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) psychologically important level The Australian dollar went back and forth during the trading session on Wednesday, as we continue to see a lot of back-and-forth trading, and choppiness to say the least. The Australian dollar of course is highly sensitive to the Chinese situation, which is currently being driven by the US/China […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sellers struggle to sustain momentum after touching 4-month lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sellers struggle to sustain momentum after touching 4-month lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sellers struggle to sustain momentum after touching 4-month lows The Australian Dollar turned lower anew after a brief corrective upswing against its US counterpart, as expected. Sellers have struggled to gain ground beyond reversing the relief rally from April lows however. A drop to four-month lows failed to find lasting follow-through, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh selling towards early 2016 levels

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh selling towards early 2016 levels

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh selling towards early 2016 levels The dimmed prospects of the US-China trade deal drags the AUD/USD pair to the intra-day low of 0.6965 during the early Asian session on Monday. The pair trades below 0.6980 confluence comprising 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of December – January plunge and the low of the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebounds after sharp decline

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebounds after sharp decline

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebounds after sharp decline AUD/USD saw a sharp decline yesterday, bringing the pair into the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement support level. We are currently seeing a rebound from that support level and thus there is a good chance we will see further upside over the short term. A break through $0.707 would be […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders could also be reacting to optimistic news over U.S.-China trade negotiations

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders could also be reacting to optimistic news over U.S.-China trade negotiations

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders could also be reacting to optimistic news over U.S.-China trade negotiations Australian traders could also be reacting to optimistic news over U.S.-China trade negotiations. According to a New York Times report, trade talks between the U.S. and China are now in the final stages, said U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Near Critical Support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Near Critical Support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Near Critical Support The major event for the week was the release of the quarterly Consumer Price Index report and the quarterly Trimmed Mean CPI report. Australian’s headline inflation rate came in flat for the March quarter against expectations of a 0.2 percent increase. The annual rate of 1.3 percent was […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weak consumer inflation report

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weak consumer inflation report

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weak consumer inflation report Sparking the sell-off in the AUD/USD on Wednesday was a weak consumer inflation report. The consumer price index (CPI) showed that core inflation at 1.4 percent had drifted to its lowest level in at least 16 years. Furthermore, inflation has been stuck below the RBA’s 2-3 percent […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Support at 0.70

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Support at 0.70

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Support at 0.70 The Australian dollar fell significantly during the trading session on Tuesday, slicing through the 50 day EMA. Beyond that, we are testing the 0.71 handle, but at the end of the day I’m a buyer of the Aussie dollar. I think that we will find support underneath, given enough […]

Mixed-to-Better News Can’t Save the Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X)

Mixed-to-Better News Can’t Save the Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X)

Mixed-to-Better News Can’t Save the Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) The Australian Dollar reacted to mixed economic news by posting a choppy, two-sided trade before setting lower for the week. The Aussie edged lower shortly after the Reserve Bank released the minutes of its April meeting that indicated a dovish tone in the policy review. The […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) advancing after a government report showed China’s economy grew more than expected

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) advancing after a government report showed China’s economy grew more than expected

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) advancing after a government report showed China’s economy grew more than expected The Australian Dollar is advancing on Wednesday after a government report showed China’s economy grew more than expected. The Aussie is benefitting because it often acts as a proxy for the Chinese economy. The news helped reverse some of […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) strength could extend to 0.7210

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) strength could extend to 0.7210

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) strength could extend to 0.7210 We highlighted last Thursday (11 Apr, spot at 0.7170) that a “break of 0.7190 would suggest AUD is ready to tackle the Feb’s peak of 0.7210”. AUD opened on a weak note on Friday (12 Apr) before staging a robust rally that hit a high of […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market continues to look bullish

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market continues to look bullish

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market continues to look bullish The Australian dollar did very little during the day on Monday, but that’s not a huge surprise considering how bullish the move on Friday was. Overall, the market continues to look bullish in general, but we should also keep in mind that there are external factors […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) markets will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) markets will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) markets will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes AUD/USD showed volatility and gained about 1.0% last week. The markets will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes, Australian employment data and Chinese GDP. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) drifting higher

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) drifting higher

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) drifting higher The Australian dollar rose against most major currency pairs on Monday, helped by firmer commodity prices and broad based US dollar weakness. After finishing last week at .7105, the AUD/USD rose to as high as .7131 during the session before eventually closing at .7126. Modest gains were also seen […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains range-bound, dull and directionless

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains range-bound, dull and directionless

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains range-bound, dull and directionless Not even the release of US non-farm payrolls data for March could wake the Aussie dollar from its slumber on Friday, initially rising in the wake of the report before giving back ground towards the close. “March US payrolls growth beat expectations, but market reaction was […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) likely to continue to trade rangebound

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) likely to continue to trade rangebound

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) likely to continue to trade rangebound Friday’s close fell inside a 50% level at .7079 and a resistance zone at .7150 to .7153. Trader reaction to these levels will set the tone for the week. Trading inside .7079 to .7153 will indicate a neutral market. The AUD/USD is likely to continue […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) may drift a little bit lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) may drift a little bit lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) may drift a little bit lower The Australian dollar broke down a bit slightly during the trading session on Thursday, but quite frankly we are in a reasonable range to follow, so at this point we may drift a little bit lower but it should end up being a buying opportunity for […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Reserve Bank turns ‘dovish’ on economy

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Reserve Bank turns ‘dovish’ on economy

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Reserve Bank turns ‘dovish’ on economy It was buying 70.69 US cents at 7:15am (AEDT), a significant drop from yesterday’s 71.11 US cents. The dollar also experienced steep falls to 53.83 British pence (-0.6 pc), 63.09 euro cents (-0.5 pc), and 78.72 Japanese yen (-0.6pc). Currency traders sold the Australian dollar […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) we continue to see a lot of noise in this pair

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) we continue to see a lot of noise in this pair

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) we continue to see a lot of noise in this pair The Australian dollar fell significantly during the trading session on Tuesday, as we continue to reach down towards the 0.7050 level. Underneath there, the 0.70 level is the beginning of massive support that should continue to have a major influence on […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) massive amount of support below at the 0.70 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) massive amount of support below at the 0.70 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) massive amount of support below at the 0.70 level The Australian dollar gapped higher at the open on Monday, breaking above the 50 day EMA in the process. Over the longer-term, we continue to see buyers in this market on short-term pullbacks, as there is a massive amount of support below at […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA will be under pressure to indicate a similar shift in monetary policy

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA will be under pressure to indicate a similar shift in monetary policy

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA will be under pressure to indicate a similar shift in monetary policy The Australian and New Zealand Dollars finished mixed last week with the Aussie clawing back from early weakness and the Kiwi closing off its lows after a dovish signal from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) fueled […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) plunging the previous session in reaction to the steep sell-off in the New Zealand Dollar

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) plunging the previous session in reaction to the steep sell-off in the New Zealand Dollar

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) plunging the previous session in reaction to the steep sell-off in the New Zealand Dollar The Australian Dollar is trading slightly higher on Thursday after plunging the previous session in reaction to the steep sell-off in the New Zealand Dollar. Sellers hit the Kiwi hard after the Reserve Bank of New […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) plenty of support at the 0.70 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) plenty of support at the 0.70 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) plenty of support at the 0.70 level The Australian dollar rolled over just a bit during the beginning of the Wednesday session, breaking through the 50 day EMA. Looking at the Australian dollar, we can see that there is plenty of support at the 0.70 level, an area that continues to be […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 0.70 level underneath offering significant support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 0.70 level underneath offering significant support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 0.70 level underneath offering significant support The Australian dollar has rallied slightly during the trading session on Tuesday as we are now above the 50 day EMA. However, we have broken above that EMA more than once so I don’t think of this as a major event. This simply shows that we […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market looks set to continue to rally

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market looks set to continue to rally

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market looks set to continue to rally The Australian dollar has initially pulled back on Monday but found enough buying pressure underneath the turn things around and rally significantly. By doing so, the market looks as if it continues to see the same attitude overall, simply buying dips as they occur. That […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing signs of weakness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing signs of weakness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing signs of weakness The Australian dollar initially rallied during the trading session on Thursday, showing signs of bullish pressure. However, we still have a lot of drama when it comes to the US/China situation, and therefore it’s likely that this pair will struggle as the Australian dollar will continue to be […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Job vacancies fall

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Job vacancies fall

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Job vacancies fall Australia’s Westpac leading index came in flat in February, falling from an upwardly-revised +0.1% reading in January, despite firmer commodity prices. In addition, skilled vacancies in February fell 0.9% m/m, escalating January’s revised 0.5% decline. The Australian jobs markets has been one of the more robust parts of […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) housing data disappointed Aussie buyers

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) housing data disappointed Aussie buyers

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) housing data disappointed Aussie buyers RBA’s pessimism and soft housing market data couldn’t disappoint Aussie buyers as risk sentiment remains strong. 0.7130/35 comprising 50-day SMA acts as immediate resistance contrast to 0.7050 support. The Australian Dollar (AUD) is taking the bids around 0.7100 versus the US Dollar (USD) during early Tuesday. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Fed Decisions Put Aussie in Spotlight

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Fed Decisions Put Aussie in Spotlight

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Fed Decisions Put Aussie in Spotlight The Australian and New Zealand Dollars finished higher last week on relatively low volatility. In the absence of major economic releases and central bank activity, traders had to rely on outside influences such as Brexit, U.S.-China trade relations and Chinese stimulus measures. Mixed U.S. economic […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) bias remains neutral this week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) bias remains neutral this week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) bias remains neutral this week AUD/USD stayed in consolidation above 0.7003 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 0.7121 minor resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7003 will resume the fall […]

Growth and interest rate differentials to weigh on Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) in time

Growth and interest rate differentials to weigh on Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) in time

Growth and interest rate differentials to weigh on Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) in time It has been an eventful month for the Australian economy, with GDP and other key data surprising to the downside, and interest rate expectations shifting. Regardless, at USD0.7094, the Australian dollar is unchanged from USD0.7093 when our February Market Outlook went […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continue to hover over a major support level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continue to hover over a major support level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continue to hover over a major support level The Australian dollar has pulled back just a bit during the trading session on Wednesday, as we continue to hover above the crucial 0.70 level, an area that extends all the way down to the 0.68 level on the monthly chart as a major […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market now looking ahead to consumer confidence snapshot

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market now looking ahead to consumer confidence snapshot

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market now looking ahead to consumer confidence snapshot The Australian Dollar slipped on Tuesday following yet more weak economic data, headlined by weaker business confidence. The index for that from National Australia Bank came in at 2 for February, below January’s 4. It was also the lowest print since the start […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) gains are likely to be limited over the near-term

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) gains are likely to be limited over the near-term

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) gains are likely to be limited over the near-term The Australian Dollar is trading lower on Monday. There has been to follow-through to the upside following Friday’s potentially bullish closing price reversal bottom. Friday’s volatile price action was fueled by short-covering related to the mixed U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report. We could […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stays above key 70 level, but barely

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stays above key 70 level, but barely

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stays above key 70 level, but barely The Australian dollar had an uneventful week, as AUD/USD continues to hover just above the round number of 70. There are only three events in the upcoming week.Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. The RBA […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market now sees 100% chance of RBA rate cut in 2019

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market now sees 100% chance of RBA rate cut in 2019

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market now sees 100% chance of RBA rate cut in 2019 The Australian Dollar recovered off earlier lows Thursday after official data revealed a sharp increase in the January trade surplus, which offered support to the Aussie even after other figures showed household spending growth was underwhelming early in the New […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains tilted to the downside as the flash-crash rebound stalls

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains tilted to the downside as the flash-crash rebound stalls

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains tilted to the downside as the flash-crash rebound stalls Australia’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report may produce a bearish reaction in AUD/USD as the growth rate is expected to increase 2.6% after expanding 2.8% per annum during the three-months through September. Evidence of a slowing economy may push the Reserve Bank […]

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting may keep Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) under pressure

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting may keep Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) under pressure

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting may keep Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) under pressure Recent comments from Governor Philip Lowe suggest the RBA will adopt a more dovish tone in 2019 as ‘available data suggest that the underlying trend in consumption is softer than it earlier looked to be,’ and the central bank may show a greater […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders will looking for comments on the direction of interest rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders will looking for comments on the direction of interest rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) traders will looking for comments on the direction of interest rates The Australian and New Zealand Dollars finished sharply lower last week. The selling pressure was driven by a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and weaker-than-expected domestic data. Comments were mixed over U.S.-China trade relations. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) to be determined by trader reaction to the main 50% level at .7079

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) to be determined by trader reaction to the main 50% level at .7079

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) to be determined by trader reaction to the main 50% level at .7079 The Australian Dollar finished lower last week, pressured by a surge in U.S. Treasury yields. However, losses were dampened by the hope of a trade deal between the United States and China. Better-than-expected U.S. Gross Domestic Product data […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) has sold off sharply

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) has sold off sharply

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) has sold off sharply A new report from three major financial institutions is suggesting that the Aussie economy could have more headwinds ahead, led by significant job losses. The reports from AMP, KPMG and UBS all point to major job losses in both the retail sector and construction. The reports point […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support near the 0.7050 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support near the 0.7050 level

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support near the 0.7050 level The Australian dollar has pulled back a bit during the trading session on Wednesday, testing the 50 day EMA. Quite frankly, if we can break down below the hammers from the previous two sessions, we could break down a bit further, something that I’m actually hoping to […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) slips and risk markets soften as rally from Trump’s truce fades

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) slips and risk markets soften as rally from Trump’s truce fades

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) slips and risk markets soften as rally from Trump’s truce fades The Australian Dollar slipped from recent highs Tuesday as risk-assets softened in the wake of a strong run at the beginning of the new week and as markets renew their focus on domestic drivers of the currency.   Construction output figures […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) extends the rebound

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) extends the rebound

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) extends the rebound AUD/USD extends the rebound from late last week as the U.S. and China, Australia’s largest trading partner, appear to be on track to reach a trade deal, but the exchange rate may face range-bound conditions ahead of the next Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting on March 5 as […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Tumbles as Westpac Calls for Two Rate Cuts

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Tumbles as Westpac Calls for Two Rate Cuts

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Tumbles as Westpac Calls for Two Rate Cuts The week started with the minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy meeting showing that the central bank saw “significant uncertainties” in the economy as property values took a nosedive. This opened the door to future rate cuts. Earlier in the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) struggles going forward

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) struggles going forward

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) struggles going forward The Australian dollar initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday, but then rolled over at the 0.72 handle. By doing so, it looks very likely that we are going to continue to see struggles going forward, as the market has seen this area be the beginning […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) significant support at the 0.7050

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) significant support at the 0.7050

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) significant support at the 0.7050 The Australian dollar has pulled back a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, reaching down towards the 0.71 handle. At this point, there is significant support at the 0.7050 level that extends down to at least the 0.70 level. On the monthly chart, I see massive […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rates stabilized near previous support in the 0.7050 area

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rates stabilized near previous support in the 0.7050 area

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rates stabilized near previous support in the 0.7050 area AUD/USD is one of the best pairs to watch to gauge sentiment toward global trade. After a swooning on dovish RBA comments earlier this month, rates stabilized near previous support in the 0.7050 area. The pair has rallied 100 pips since then, and […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh risk appetite on optimistic tone from trade talks

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh risk appetite on optimistic tone from trade talks

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh risk appetite on optimistic tone from trade talks The Aussie extends recovery off 0.7054 base, boosted by fresh risk appetite on optimistic tone from trade talks. Fresh extension higher cracked 0.7146 (Fibo 38.2% of 0.7295/0.7054) the lower boundary of strong resistance zone between 0.7146 and 0.7162 (consisting of Fibo barrier […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes and employment data

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes and employment data

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes and employment data The Australian dollar made considerable gains last week, after suffering sharp losses a week earlier. In the upcoming week, investors will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes and employment data. Here is an outlook for the highlights […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lifted by fresh hopes of U.S.-China breakthrough

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lifted by fresh hopes of U.S.-China breakthrough

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lifted by fresh hopes of U.S.-China breakthrough The Australian Dollar rose Thursday as markets cheered fresh signs the White House could be willing to extend trade negotiations with China past a March 01 deadline, although new forecasts from UBS and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) suggest things are already about as good as they’ll get […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market sentiment has been boosted over the past 24 hours by some more encouraging news on US-China trade negotiations

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market sentiment has been boosted over the past 24 hours by some more encouraging news on US-China trade negotiations

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market sentiment has been boosted over the past 24 hours by some more encouraging news on US-China trade negotiations The Australian dollar rebounded from six-week lows on Tuesday as the rally in the greenback fizzled. Optimism towards a potential trade deal between the US and China, so often seen whenever high-level […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rises after U.S. shutdown averted, White House talks Xi meeting

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rises after U.S. shutdown averted, White House talks Xi meeting

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rises after U.S. shutdown averted, White House talks Xi meeting The Australian Dollar rose Tuesday as investors cheered an agreement struck overnight in Washington that will avert a second 2019 government shutdown, which has buoyed so-called risk assets including the Antipodean currency. President Donald Trump has secured partial funding for his proposed […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured following a dovish shift from the RBA last week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured following a dovish shift from the RBA last week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured following a dovish shift from the RBA last week The Australian dollar remains pressured following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) dovish shift last week. After starting the week at .7250, the AUD/USD ended it at .7088, representing a decline of 2.2%. It was the largest weekly decline in […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retail sales dip

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retail sales dip

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retail sales dip The Australian dollar had its worst week since October, falling 2.2 percent. The Aussie has declined 2.5% in February, erasing most of the gains seen in January. We’ll get a look at business and consumer confidence, both of which are struggling. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA adopted a neutral bias on the outlook for Australia’s cash rate

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA adopted a neutral bias on the outlook for Australia’s cash rate

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA adopted a neutral bias on the outlook for Australia’s cash rate The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a sledgehammer to the Australian dollar on Wednesday, leaving it on track to log its largest percentage decline in over two years. The damage can be seen in the scoreboard below as […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Australian central bank governor says future rate cut is possible

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Australian central bank governor says future rate cut is possible

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Australian central bank governor says future rate cut is possible Philip Lowe told the National Press Club in Sydney on Wednesday, that the chance of the rate cut is more likely than it used to be, changing the RBA’s tone slightly. ‘Looking forward there are scenario where the outlook in the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) helped by a lift in US bond yields

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) helped by a lift in US bond yields

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) helped by a lift in US bond yields The main them of Monday’s session was broad based US dollar strength, helped by a lift in US bond yields despite another weak reading on US factory orders in November. “AUD/USD eased modestly in line with the stronger USD,” said Joseph Capurso, Senior […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Jobs and Housing Markets Falter Ahead of Key RBA Interest Rate Decision

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Jobs and Housing Markets Falter Ahead of Key RBA Interest Rate Decision

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Jobs and Housing Markets Falter Ahead of Key RBA Interest Rate Decision The Australian Dollar fell into the new week Monday after surveys showed the jobs and housing markets struggling early in the New Year, just hours before the latest interest rate guidance is due from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Fresh […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA might well be forced to step in soon and actually cut official interest rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA might well be forced to step in soon and actually cut official interest rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA might well be forced to step in soon and actually cut official interest rates The AUD/USD might have seen a bit of a resurgence in the last week or so, but there are rumblings that the RBA might well be forced to step in soon and actually cut official interest […]

Federal Reserve keeps rates steady, Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) shoots up

Federal Reserve keeps rates steady, Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) shoots up

Federal Reserve keeps rates steady, Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) shoots up The US Federal Reserve’s January monetary policy statement was dovish and this provided further impetus to the Aussie dollar after release of the CPI data. The key words are as follows: ‘In light of global economic and financial developments and muted inflation pressures, the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) at key resistance breakout zone

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) at key resistance breakout zone

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) at key resistance breakout zone AUD/USD has been pushing upwards, with the pair rising into trendline resistance. The creation of a higher low this week provides half the bullish story, with a break through the $0.7204 resistance level providing confirmation of that bullish outlook. Look at the $0.7204-$0.7235 zone of resistance, where […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing little reaction to the NAB Business Confidence report

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing little reaction to the NAB Business Confidence report

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing little reaction to the NAB Business Confidence report The Australian Dollar is trading slightly higher early Tuesday, recovering from earlier weakness. Traders are showing little reaction to the NAB Business Confidence report which came in unchanged from the previous month at 3. There has also been little reaction to renewed […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fails to hang onto gains

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fails to hang onto gains

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fails to hang onto gains The Australian dollar initially tried to rally for the Monday session, but we have turned around near the 0.72 level, which of course is a major round figure as of late and is the beginning of significant resistance extending to the 0.7250 level. Beyond that, the 200 […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing signs of further weakness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing signs of further weakness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing signs of further weakness The Australian dollar initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday, and even pierced the 50 day EMA. By doing so, we rolled over and broke down below the 0.71 level during the day, showing signs of further weakness. However we have bounced just a […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) keeps on declining

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) keeps on declining

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) keeps on declining AUD/USD continued its downward move yesterday, providing further evidence that global risk appetite is waning. A rally off the lows yesterday is faltering at $0.714, creating a lower high. Further declines target $0.712 and then $0.709. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. The projected upper bound is: 0.72. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Weak Global Economic Forecasts Weighing on Aussie

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Weak Global Economic Forecasts Weighing on Aussie

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Weak Global Economic Forecasts Weighing on Aussie The Australian and New Zealand Dollars are trading lower on Tuesday in reaction to concerns over data showing China’s economy slowed sharply in 2018 and weakening global growth. The lack of fresh developments over U.S.-China trade relations could also be weighing on the Aussie […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) at risk of another break lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) at risk of another break lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) at risk of another break lower AUD/USD has been on the rise throughout the beginning of 2019, although the past week has seen the pair drift lower in what could be a topping pattern. The wider trend in AUD/USD is bearish, and thus until we break through the $7393 level, there is […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tone changed from short-term bullish to short-term bearish

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tone changed from short-term bullish to short-term bearish

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tone changed from short-term bullish to short-term bearish The tone changed from short-term bullish to short-term bearish last week when U.S. Treasury yields started to rise. This helped make the U.S. Dollar a more attractive investment. Yields are being boosted by increased demand for risky assets tied to the optimism over […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) finds support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) finds support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) finds support The Australian dollar initially pulled back a bit during the trading session on Thursday, dipping slightly below the 50 day EMA. However, we bounced slightly, and I think this is indicative of what we are going to see, a slow and gentle grind lower. This isn’t necessarily an indictment on […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Westpac Consumer Sentiment shows deterioration in sentiment

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Westpac Consumer Sentiment shows deterioration in sentiment

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Westpac Consumer Sentiment shows deterioration in sentiment The Australian Dollar took a steep fall in the Westpac Consumer Sentiment index in its stride Wednesday but selling the Antipodean currency is still a “top ten” investment idea for the 2019 year, according to analysts at DBS Bank who see the Reserve Bank of Australia having to delay any […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stalls ahead of resistance below 0.73

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stalls ahead of resistance below 0.73

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stalls ahead of resistance below 0.73 The Australian Dollar mounted a spirited recovery after briefly spiking to a ten-year low against its US counterpart. The advance has paused to consolidate below minor resistance at 0.7247. A daily close above this barrier opens the door for a test of the December swing […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh concerns about the global economy

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh concerns about the global economy

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh concerns about the global economy The Australian dollar eased on Monday as fresh concerns about the global economy resurfaced. The main theme of the session was a weak Chinese trade report for December with imports and exports suffering the largest year-ended decline since the second half of 2016, raising renewed concern about […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) main trend is down

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) main trend is down

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) main trend is down The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. However, momentum is trending higher. The main trend will change to up on a trade through .7247. The minor trend is up. This move triggered the shift in momentum to up. The main range is .7394 […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) advances on rivals after China notes trade war “progress”

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) advances on rivals after China notes trade war “progress”

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) advances on rivals after China notes trade war “progress” The Australian Dollar was rose broadly Thursday in response to claims the U.S. and China are moving close toward a deal that will end the “trade war” between the two, which came ahead of retail sales figures for November. Chinese officials said […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rises broadly even after disappointing November trade data

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rises broadly even after disappointing November trade data

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rises broadly even after disappointing November trade data The Australian Dollar advanced against most rivals Tuesday even after official data revealed a steep fall in the nation’s trade surplus for November, and is likely to remain on its front foot over the coming weeks according to Westpac. Australia’s goods trade surplus fell from […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) records lower than expected November trade surplus of $1.9 billion

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) records lower than expected November trade surplus of $1.9 billion

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) records lower than expected November trade surplus of $1.9 billion The Australian Bureau of Statistics figures reveal Australia’s November trade surplus of $1.9 billion was lower than expected.Australia exported $1.9 billion more than last month, down from a $2 billion surplus in October. According to ABS figures, in trend terms, the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) recovery seen in the Aussie dollar

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) recovery seen in the Aussie dollar

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) recovery seen in the Aussie dollar After plunging to as low as .6730 on Thursday, the lowest level since early 2009, the AUD/USD surged on Friday, helped by a raft of positive headlines that sparked short-covering from traders. “If ever there was a case of a currency going from zero to […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) short term bottom is in place

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) short term bottom is in place

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) short term bottom is in place AUD/USD spiked lower to 0.6722 last week but recovered strongly since then. The strength of the rebound suggests a short term bottom is in place. Intraday bias remains on the upside this week for further rebound. On the downside, break of 0.7015 minor support will […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 2019 Outlook Negative

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 2019 Outlook Negative

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 2019 Australia is about to feel the bite from decades of socialism. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper bound is: 0.76. The projected lower bound is: 0.59. The projected closing price is: 0.70. Candlesticks A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) waiting for next breakdown

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) waiting for next breakdown

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) waiting for next breakdown AUD/USD has been trading within a relatively flat range over the past two trading days, in what looks like a very similar pattern to those seen in recent weeks. On prior occasions these sideways consolidation patterns provide a precursor to another downside sell-off. Thus, the expectation is that […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sensitive to the US/China trade relations

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sensitive to the US/China trade relations

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sensitive to the US/China trade relations Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 0.72. The projected upper bound is: 0.72. The projected lower bound is: 0.69. The projected closing price is: 0.71. Candlesticks A black body occurred (because prices closed lower […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) solid jobs growth in November, higher unemployment rate

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) solid jobs growth in November, higher unemployment rate

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) solid jobs growth in November, higher unemployment rate The Australian Dollar was a notable underperformer Thursday after solid labour market statistics proved unable to arrest a decline sparked by the ongoing concerns about the housing and global financial markets. The Aussie is a proxy for global investor sentiment so when markets […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains under pressure

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains under pressure

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains under pressure The Australian dollar fell against most of the major crosses again on Tuesday, weighed down by another plunge in crude oil prices. The US Federal Reserve will announce its December interest rate decision today. Markets are 70% priced for a 25 basis point hike. China’s three-day Central Economic […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to show a more modest increase in jobs in November

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to show a more modest increase in jobs in November

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to show a more modest increase in jobs in November Australia publishes its jobs report for November on Thursday, 00:30 GMT. The Land Down Under enjoyed a robust rate of jobs growth in October: no less then 32.8K positions were added to the economy, exceeding what had been expected and […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors will be interested in how the Fed views future rate hikes

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors will be interested in how the Fed views future rate hikes

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors will be interested in how the Fed views future rate hikes The Australian and New Zealand Dollars finished lower last week on renewed concerns about China’s economy. For much of the week, investors were in consolidation mode as positive news emanated from the on-going trade talks between the United States […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) global trade war continues to weigh on risk appetite

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) global trade war continues to weigh on risk appetite

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) global trade war continues to weigh on risk appetite The Australian dollar sagged late in the week, as it fell to an 8-week low on Friday. Australia releases key employment indicators. In the U.S, the Fed is expected to raise rates, and we’ll get a look at U.S Final GDP for the third […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) still under pressure but a break of 0.7130 would come as a surprise

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) still under pressure but a break of 0.7130 would come as a surprise

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) still under pressure but a break of 0.7130 would come as a surprise AUD traded within a relatively narrow range between 0.7185 and 0.7225 yesterday and registered an ‘inside day’. The price action offers no fresh clue and we continue to hold the view the recent sharp decline in AUD is […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) higher on Wednesday in response to Trump’s comments on Huawei

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) higher on Wednesday in response to Trump’s comments on Huawei

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) higher on Wednesday in response to Trump’s comments on Huawei Huawei CFO has been granted bail by Justice William Ehrcke on Tuesday. Meng Wanzhou will be subject to monitoring, a curfew and other strict conditions to adhere to bail conditions. President Donald Trump said he would intervene in the Huawei case […]

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