Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) wedge breakdown points to further downside

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) wedge breakdown points to further downside

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) wedge breakdown points to further downside AUD/USD looks to have broken down from its recent rising wedge pattern, with the break below $0.7112 providing a signal of potential impending downside from here. An impressive fall in unemployment helped the pair rebound overnight, yet this has simply found resistance on the ascending trendline. […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) upside unlikely to last

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) upside unlikely to last

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) upside unlikely to last AUD/USD has been gaining ground over the past week, with a rising wedge coming into play. That is a bearish pattern, pointing towards a possible breakdown before long. Given the wider downtrend in play, such a breakdown would be consistent with the primary long-term trend. Thus, watch for […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support at 0.7100

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support at 0.7100

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support at 0.7100 ASX Downside: To be fair, there are some considerable headwinds for Australian investors that may preclude them from behaving in the same fashion as their US or even European counterparts. The banks look ugly now – less so the hard numbers, but more from the superficial perspective that their […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound could provide selling opportunity

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound could provide selling opportunity

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound could provide selling opportunity AUD/USD is regaining ground, following the failure to create a new low below $0.7044. The peak of $0.7131 remains a key level to overcome if the pair is going to regain further ground. However, such upside would look likely to provide yet another selling opportunity from either […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tiptoes higher

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tiptoes higher

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tiptoes higher AUD/USD’s march lower seen over the past few months has stalled over the previous week, but the recovery has been modest at best. The first upside level to watch is $0.716, followed by the still-intact downtrend line from January, which suggests resistance around $0.72. Overall, the bias in prices is: […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risk aversion realized

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risk aversion realized

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risk aversion realized The trade is so far doing ok as risk aversion realized. But we’ve overestimated the strength in Dollar. Still, the price actions from 0.7040 to 0.7130 are corrective looking, which reinforces our bearish view. For now, we’ll keep the stop at 0.7185, slightly above 50% retracement of 0.7314 […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) starts to reverse lower yet again

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) starts to reverse lower yet again

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) starts to reverse lower yet again AUD/USD has been attempting to regain some ground following on from the consistent decline of recent weeks. However, the recovery is looking like it could come under pressure should this bearish engulfing pattern complete. Such a bearish closed candle would provide greater confidence that we are […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) growing dissent within the Federal Reserve

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) growing dissent within the Federal Reserve

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) growing dissent within the Federal Reserve AUD/USD extends the rebound from earlier this week as there appears to be a growing dissent within the Federal Reserve, and recent price action raises the risk for a large recovery as the exchange rate initiates a series of higher highs & lows. Even though […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) downturn continues following key breakdown

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) downturn continues following key breakdown

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) downturn continues following key breakdown AUD/USD has been gradually slowing in its decline, following on from a break below the key $0.7085 support level. That slowdown highlights the possibility of a rebound to begin retracing this recent decline from $0.7315. However, for now it looks likely we will see further downside, with […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) down to new 2018 lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) down to new 2018 lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) down to new 2018 lows ANZ Job Advertisements: Monday, 00:30. This gauge of Australian employment precedes the official jobs report released by the government. The number of job advertisements dropped by 0.6% in August and we may see a bounce in September. NAB Business Confidence: Tuesday, 00:30. The National Australia Bank’s […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lurches lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lurches lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lurches lower The downtrend continues here for AUD/USD, a lower high at $0.73 having worked out beautifully for the bears. The price is currently testing the $0.7484 low from mid-September, and further declines below this bring $0.6973 and then $0.6828 into play. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) big miss in building approvals

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) big miss in building approvals

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) big miss in building approvals For those that don’t follow the Australian economy closely, we’ve seen a big housing boom. That is now well and truly over and there are many calling for a crash. Real estate is a big part of the Australian economy and wealth in general. Tighter lending […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) reversing lower off SMA resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) reversing lower off SMA resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) reversing lower off SMA resistance AUD/USD is declining yet again, with the price having respected the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart time and time again. This latest move adds greater credence to the sell-off that started at the 76.4% retracement of $0.7312. The wider downtrend remains intact, and […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) drifting lower after recent retracement

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) drifting lower after recent retracement

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) drifting lower after recent retracement AUD/USD has been turning lower from the 76.4% retracement, with the pair looking likely to continue towards the downside. The Friday rally into the $0.7236 swing low, alongside the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart, provided another turn lower. As such, watch out for […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retreats from recent highs

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retreats from recent highs

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retreats from recent highs The Australian Dollar outlook remains “mildly bearish” amid a deteriorated environment for so-called risk assets, according to analysts at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ), who say the Antipodean will remain at the mercy of global market sentiment during the weeks ahead. With the Reserve Bank of Australia sitting […]

Australian: USD/AUD (AUD=X) turning lower from trendline resistance

Australian: USD/AUD (AUD=X) turning lower from trendline resistance

Australian: USD/AUD (AUD=X) turning lower from trendline resistance AUD/USD is turning lower once more this morning, following yet another rebound into trendline resistance. There is a strong chance that we will see another move lower from here to continue the wider bearish trend. However, a break below $0.7236 would provide us with a greater degree of confidence […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) global relief rally saw traders pour back into riskier assets

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) global relief rally saw traders pour back into riskier assets

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) global relief rally saw traders pour back into riskier assets The Australian Dollar lived up to its reputation as the risk-proxy of choice for traders during this trade war, selling off to as low as 0.7150 in the lead-up to US President Trump’s announcement of the latest round of US tariffs […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) gaps lower from trendline resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) gaps lower from trendline resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) gaps lower from trendline resistance AUD/USD has started the week in bearish fashion, with the price gapping lower after hitting trendline resistance on Friday morning. With the price having moved into the four-hour simple moving average (SMA), alongside the swing low from Thursday, a break below that $0.7254 level will dictate the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risks to its outlook from U.S.-China trade tensions

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risks to its outlook from U.S.-China trade tensions

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risks to its outlook from U.S.-China trade tensions The Australian Dollar, a proxy of China-related trades as well as gauge of risk sentiment, climbed to a three-week high last week. It also produced its biggest weekly advance in 14 months. Additionally, S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on triple-A rated Australia […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) breaking through some relatively difficult resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) breaking through some relatively difficult resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) breaking through some relatively difficult resistance The Australian dollar has rallied again during the day on Wednesday, breaking through some relatively difficult resistance at the 0.7250 line. Perhaps it is the idea that the Chinese are starting to soften their stance a bit, or maybe it’s just a simple reflexive bounce […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) received a boost from an increase in risk appetite

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) received a boost from an increase in risk appetite

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) received a boost from an increase in risk appetite The Australian Dollar received a boost from an increase in risk appetite last week, on the back of what were at the time easing trade war tensions and better than expected employment figures. While the global growth outlooked has soured with the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rallies despite macro backdrop

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rallies despite macro backdrop

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rallies despite macro backdrop AUD/USD continues to demonstrate notable strength despite getting no help from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the fresh round of trade wars that broke out last night. It is still in a firm downtrend, but a rebound towards $0.73 now looks possible. A close back below […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) re-testing recent lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) re-testing recent lows

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) re-testing recent lows Rising US bond yields looks likely to underpin US Dollar strength in the medium to long term. The greenback fell over the course of last week’s trade, primarily due to rallies in the Pound and Euro on the back of easing Brexit fears, along with upbeat assessments from […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trade truce is probably temporary

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trade truce is probably temporary

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trade truce is probably temporary Australia enjoyed a gain of 44K jobs in August, nearly triple the expectations. Another boost to the Aussie came from the trade war front. The US has not imposed new tariffs on China and negotiations have resumed. Do the talks have a fair chance? This is […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) hits Fibonacci resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) hits Fibonacci resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) hits Fibonacci resistance AUD/USD has managed to rebound sharply over the past 24 hours, breaking out of a period of sideways consolidation and into a retracement. This points towards a good bearish selling opportunity coming into the fray, given the deep retracement we have seen. The almost perfect respect of the 76.4% […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation unlikely to last

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation unlikely to last

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) consolidation unlikely to last AUD/USD has been consolidating this week, following on from a sharp drop towards the end of last week. Despite the fact that we are trading sideways, there is a good chance we will see another leg lower before long. That being said, given the size of that prior […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Business Confidence Falls

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Business Confidence Falls

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Business Confidence Falls Business confidence in Australia fell to a two-year low, according to the NAB Business Confidence Index released this morning. The index reached 4 in August, considerably lower than last month’s reading of 7 and hit one of the lowest values since October 2016. Nevertheless, NAB’s index that measures […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) The Little Aussie Battler

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) The Little Aussie Battler

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) The Little Aussie Battler After gradually selling-off throughout the week, of course due to the increased fears about global growth and emerging markets, the AUD/USD broke through support at 0.7160 late on Friday, as interest rate traders boosted their bets on further interest rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve after US Non-Farm […]

Australian Dollar: Economic and political fears continue to weigh down the Australian Dollar USD/AUD (AUD=X)

Australian Dollar: Economic and political fears continue to weigh down the Australian Dollar USD/AUD (AUD=X)

Australian Dollar: Economic and political fears continue to weigh down the Australian Dollar USD/AUD (AUD=X)  The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to fall considerable amounts with very little relief in sight. Since the high of the calendar year of 0.81356 made on January 18th 2018, AUD/USD has dropped -1,036 pips, creating a staggering -12.74% loss against […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) country’s lenders raised their mortgage rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) country’s lenders raised their mortgage rates

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) country’s lenders raised their mortgage rates The Australian Dollar slumped Thursday after more of the country’s lenders raised their mortgage rates, potentially scuppering the Reserve Bank of Australia from its own interest rate rise further down the line, leading traders to dump the currency even after a solid set of July […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound fails to hold

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound fails to hold

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound fails to hold AUD/USD managed to rebound overnight, following an impressive set of gross domestic product (GDP) numbers. However, the trend is clearly defined here, and we immediately saw the pair turn lower from the 76.4% retracement. With the price breaking below the $0.7157 level, this would have been a successful […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Target 0.7000

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Target 0.7000

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Target 0.7000 The Australian Dollar suffered a horror week, falling in late-week trade to around 0.7176, to register lows not witnessed since January 2017. The local unit has faced an uphill battle recently, as interest rate traders progressively reduce bets of an interest rate hike from the RBA any time before […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) starts the week in bullish fashion

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) starts the week in bullish fashion

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) starts the week in bullish fashion AUD/USD is kicking off the week with a sharp move higher, despite a poor retail sales number overnight. The drop below $0.7238 and $0.7202 last week points towards the wider bearish picture remaining in play. However, given the size of the drop last week, it […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Focus on Economic Data

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Focus on Economic Data

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Focus on Economic Data For the Aussie Dollar, economic data is on the heavier side, with key stats including July retail sales and 2nd quarter company profit figures on Monday, 2nd quarter GDP numbers on Wednesday, July trade figures on Thursday and home loan figures on Friday. While GDP, trade and retail sales […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to weaken following breakdown

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to weaken following breakdown

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to weaken following breakdown AUD/USD has been moving lower following a fall below the $0.7307 swing low earlier in the week. The pair has a clearly defined downtrend, which should remain unless we see a rally through the $0.7362 mark. On the flip side, with higher lows and lower highs […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) turns lower from SMA resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) turns lower from SMA resistance

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) turns lower from SMA resistance AUD/USD has started to weaken once again following a rally into the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) resistance on the four-hour chart. The wider context shows a market that is clearly trending lower, and as such it makes sense to look out for another period of […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to trade sideways

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to trade sideways

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to trade sideways There is not much to add to yesterday’s update. As indicated, despite the relatively strong bounce last Friday, AUD does not appear to be ready to extend its advance in a significant manner. In other words, we expect AUD to trade sideways for now, likely within a […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) below 0.73 handle to see further weakness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) below 0.73 handle to see further weakness

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) below 0.73 handle to see further weakness Based on the current price at .7345, the direction of the AUD/USD into the close is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the 50% at .7327 and the 61.8% level at .7357. Holding inside .7382 and .7238 will suggest investor indecision and […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Prices May Stall this Week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Prices May Stall this Week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Prices May Stall this Week Friday’s trade saw a significant rally higher in the AUD/USD exchange rates pair. The Australian dollar had continued a massive move lower the previous day (23-08-2018) that began at the 0.7370 value area on the 22nd down to the 0.7239; depending on the data feed this […]

Australia: USD/AUD (AUD=X) heavily sold-off amid ongoing Australian political turmoil

Australia: USD/AUD (AUD=X) heavily sold-off amid ongoing Australian political turmoil

Australia: USD/AUD (AUD=X) heavily sold-off amid ongoing Australian political turmoil The Australian Dollar was the worst performing G10 currency Thursday as Asian markets went into “risk off” mode ahead of US-China trade talks in Washington and as pressure mounts on Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull to either resign or allow another confidence ballot. “The start of […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) as moved into a consolidation phase

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) as moved into a consolidation phase

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) as moved into a consolidation phase We highlighted yesterday (20 Aug, spot at 0.7310) that the odds for further AUD weakness have diminished and the subsequent break of the 0.7330 ‘stop-loss’ was not exactly unexpected. The outlook for AUD has shifted to neutral now and we view the current price action […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Analysts divided as some forecast stability

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Analysts divided as some forecast stability

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Analysts divided as some forecast stability The Australian Dollar edged higher from August’s two-year lows Tuesday as investors rotated back into “risk assets” after President Trump criticised the Federal Reserve for its tightening of US monetary policy, which has been a source of pressure on other currencies this year. Australian Dollar to US […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) resistance at 7336

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) resistance at 7336

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) resistance at 7336 Price is extending sideways grind along 1H 200-SMA resistance. Break above could see upside till 21-EMA. Price is currently holding above 5-DMA and break below will see test of Wedge base at 0.72. Violation at Wedge base to see resumption of weakness. Next major bear target lies at […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) flat for the week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) flat for the week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) flat for the week We had expected the level at 0.7207 might act as support, as it had acted previously as both support and resistance. Note how these “flipping” levels can work well. The H1 chart below shows the how the price returned to hit and reject the level during the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Bounces From Confluent Fibonacci Support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Bounces From Confluent Fibonacci Support

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Bounces From Confluent Fibonacci Support With the current recovery, a temporary low is in place at 0.7201 in AUD/USD. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. Upside should be limited by 0.7346 support turned resistance for fall resumption. On the downside, below 0.7201 will extend the larger decline from […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fallen against the greenback for the sixth straight session

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fallen against the greenback for the sixth straight session

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fallen against the greenback for the sixth straight session We turned bearish AUD on Monday (13 Aug, spot at 0.7285) with an immediate ‘target’ of 0.7220 and were of the view that the “odds for further extension to 0.7160 are relatively high”. There is no change to our view as AUD […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rate has risen today following a surprise increase in Australian business confidence

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rate has risen today following a surprise increase in Australian business confidence

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rate has risen today following a surprise increase in Australian business confidence The Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate has risen today following a surprise increase in Australian business confidence. The unexpected rise for NAB’s July business confidence reading has pushed the AUD/USD exchange rate to an interbank level […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) hits 20-month low as Turkish crisis rattles markets

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) hits 20-month low as Turkish crisis rattles markets

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) hits 20-month low as Turkish crisis rattles markets The Australian dollar fell to an 18-month low against the US dollar on Monday, as worries about an impending financial crisis in Turkey prompted selling in the currency with strategists warning of more downside ahead. The Australian dollar fell 1 per cent at […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) May Find Support From Rates Despite Trade Wars

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) May Find Support From Rates Despite Trade Wars

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) May Find Support From Rates Despite Trade Wars Australian Dollar has been trading in an extremely persistent range, now taking on the shape of a triangle. Given the trend and trend-line resistance a downside break is the likely path. A drop below 0.73 will have a pair of swing lows in […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risk appetite is improving

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risk appetite is improving

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risk appetite is improving The Australian Dollar is primed for a recovery against the US Dollar over coming months. Global risk appetite is improving. Our Global Risk Indicator appears to be moving back into positive territory for now after getting mired in the negative since early February – and within the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) holding above 0.7400

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) holding above 0.7400

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) holding above 0.7400 AUD/USD has moved up to the 21-hr SMA at 0.7418 and pierced it making a high if 0.7434 for the day so far while the Yuan has stabilised making for a positive climate for the proxy trade through the Aussie. AUD/USD has otherwise been capped below the 0.7440 […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Rises after RBA Signals it is On Course for 2019 Rate Rise

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Rises after RBA Signals it is On Course for 2019 Rate Rise

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Rises after RBA Signals it is On Course for 2019 Rate Rise The Australian Dollar (AUD) has firmed against the US Dollar (USD) today, rising to a level of $0.74 on the interbank exchange rate. This is the best level of AUD/USD trading in a week and comes from growing risk […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lacks any catalyst to pursue a sustained move higher

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lacks any catalyst to pursue a sustained move higher

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lacks any catalyst to pursue a sustained move higher The Australian Dollar edged higher on Monday as traders took up positions ahead of the latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision but analyst commentary suggests the announcement is unlikely to provide the Antipodean unit with impetus for further gains. AUD recovered most […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) confined to its narrow trading range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) confined to its narrow trading range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) confined to its narrow trading range Yesterday, the AUD / USD pair was almost unmoved after the release of the FOMC statement. The Federal Reserve left interest rate unchanged at 2.00% as anticipated. The Fed also did not make any substantial changes to its statement, leaving the AUD/USD confined to its […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trending closely to its worst 2018 levels

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trending closely to its worst 2018 levels

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trending closely to its worst 2018 levels AUD traded within a tight 27 pips range yesterday, the narrowest 1-day range so far this year. The quiet consolidation offers no fresh clue and we continue to hold a neutral stance. We previously held the view that the downside is more ‘sticky’ but […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) heats up today with major releases coming

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) heats up today with major releases coming

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) heats up today with major releases coming – AUD rises as building approvals surge eases housing concerns. – Building approvals rise by 6.4% in June, sidelining fears of collapse. – But housing market activity may still slow further during months ahead. After a slow start to the week, the economic events […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trading in a fairly narrow range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trading in a fairly narrow range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trading in a fairly narrow range  The Australian dollar remains choppy and range-bound, managing to eke out modest gains on Friday against the greenback and most of the major crosses. While the Australian dollar has been trading in a narrow range for quite some time, China’s slowdown is likely to weigh […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) largely unchanged to start the trading week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) largely unchanged to start the trading week

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) largely unchanged to start the trading week The Australian dollar dropped in the range as Australian inflation missed expectations. What’s next? Australia’s trade balance and retail sales stand out. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. Australia’s quarterly inflation report showed an increase of […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Heffx Buy Rating

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Heffx Buy Rating

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Heffx Buy Rating The Australian dollar popped higher in late trade on Wednesday, reversing earlier losses to close at a two-week high. A reduction in trade tensions between the United States and European Union was behind the Aussie’s late surge. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper bound […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) falls broadly after seventh consecutive inflation disappointment

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) falls broadly after seventh consecutive inflation disappointment

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) falls broadly after seventh consecutive inflation disappointment The Australian dollar fell against the US dollar after the country’s statistics office released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for the second quarter. The data showed that the CPI rose by 0.4% in the quarter. This was lower than the expected 0.5%. It […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Consolidating

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Consolidating

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Consolidating The Australian dollar was subdued on Tuesday as the country’s central bank expressed concern about the impact of high household debt on the economy. The Australian dollar was at 73.86 US cents at 0832 AEST, down from 74.31 US cents on Tuesday. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trading in a tight range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trading in a tight range

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trading in a tight range The Australian dollar is currently selling off against all major currencies. The Aussie is currently the weakest against the Japanese yen. Last week, the Australian dollar ended flat against the US dollar. As Chinese growth decelerates and US-China trade tensions rise, the Australian dollar remains in […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to open lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to open lower

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to open lower The week ahead is all about prices Another big week ahead, U.S earnings, 2nd quarter GDP numbers, Trade wars and ECB monetary policy all in focus. For the Aussie Dollar, following last week’s impressive employment numbers, focus shifts to 2nd quarter inflation figures, with consumer inflation figures due […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) is the stand out performer overnight

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) is the stand out performer overnight

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) is the stand out performer overnight Bids in the dollar sees the pair surrender its gains from the employment report. It was a short-lived run for buyers as the upbeat Aussie employment report saw price jump to a high of 0.7441 but ultimately failed to move any higher with the 23.6 […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) uncertainty over the outlook for international trade

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) uncertainty over the outlook for international trade

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) uncertainty over the outlook for international trade The Australian Dollar reversed earlier losses during noon trading Wednesday and marched higher ahead of the June employment report, which traders will watch closely for clues about the condition of Australia’s labour market. In late-morning trades, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index is adding 49.30 […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) China to dictate what direction the Australian dollar will move

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) China to dictate what direction the Australian dollar will move

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) China to dictate what direction the Australian dollar will move The Aussie underperformed in the weeks of broad US dollar strength following the FOMC and ECB mid-June meetings but so far in July it has been near the middle of the G10 pack. Weighing on AUD have been a pullback in […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) bulls hang in there while bears look for a test below 0.7400 ahead of RBA minutes

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) bulls hang in there while bears look for a test below 0.7400 ahead of RBA minutes

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) bulls hang in there while bears look for a test below 0.7400 ahead of RBA minutes Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper bound is: 0.75. The projected lower bound is: 0.73. The projected closing price is: 0.74. Candlesticks A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Focus on RBA’s Meeting Minutes

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Focus on RBA’s Meeting Minutes

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Focus on RBA’s Meeting Minutes The Aussie found support in equities, settling against its American rival at 0.7423, as Wall Street closed the week with solid gains, offsetting the sour tone of base metals amid concerns related to the escalating trade war between the US and China. The pair, however, has […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risks a visit of 0.7300

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risks a visit of 0.7300

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risks a visit of 0.7300 The Aussie Dollar could slip back to the 0.7300 handle in the next weeks. Key Quotes 24-hour view: “While we expected a lower AUD yesterday, the rapid decline that took out the strong 0.7380 support was not exactly anticipated. The pressure is still clearly on the downside but […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) will Resist Further Downside Pressure

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) will Resist Further Downside Pressure

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) will Resist Further Downside Pressure Forecasts from analysts at the world’s largest FX dealer, Citibank, suggest the Aussie is likely to resist further downside pressure during the months ahead. The findings are published here as the Australian Dollar suffers a bout of selling owing to another salvo in the global trade […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Draws Support from Fading Trade War Chatter

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Draws Support from Fading Trade War Chatter

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Draws Support from Fading Trade War Chatter – Aussie is dependent on open trade for its commodities – Fading risks of war have supported AUD’s recent recovery – Yet monetary policy and technical risks overshadow bullish talk A global trade war would hurt commodity-export-dependent Australia and the fallout would weaken the […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Will the Rally Last?

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Will the Rally Last?

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Will the Rally Last? Movements in the Aussie look set to be determined by sentiment and technicals given a quiet economic calendar. There’s few releases of note in Asia with German trade and current account figures, Eurozone investor sentiment and US consumer credit the only real highlights in the second half […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) sits near the lower end of its daily trading range

USD/AUD (AUD=X) sits near the lower end of its daily trading range

USD/AUD (AUD=X) sits near the lower end of its daily trading range Dollar softer amid lingering trade war fears China central bank to keep yuan stable, helping cool-off market Canada dollar gains on manufacturing data, higher oil prices Mexico peso jumps on soothing words from president-elect U.S. holiday seen thinning trade Major currencies marked time […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Ready for a Bounce to Channel Top?

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Ready for a Bounce to Channel Top?

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Ready for a Bounce to Channel Top? AUD/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: BEARS BE WARNED The Australian Dollar is struggling to get a daily close below 2017 support Positive RSI divergence warns that the pair may turn higher in the near-term A bounce would place the upper line of a descending channel as resistance The Australian Dollar has made […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) retreats farther away from 0.74 mark

USD/AUD (AUD=X) retreats farther away from 0.74 mark

USD/AUD (AUD=X) retreats farther away from 0.74 mark The AUD/USD pair came under some renewed selling pressure at the start of a new trading week and eroded a part of Friday’s strong up-move. The pair struggled to sustain/build on its momentum further beyond the 0.7400 handle and now seems to have stalled last week’s goodish recovery move […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) tied to Chinese data and risk sentiment

USD/AUD (AUD=X) tied to Chinese data and risk sentiment

USD/AUD (AUD=X) tied to Chinese data and risk sentiment Chinese manufacturing growth slowed, could hit the AUD. AUD/USD strong resistance at 0.7440, upward chances increase beyond it. The AUD/USD pair edged sharply higher on Friday and settled at 0.7407, anyway down weekly basis. The Aussie found support on a broadly weaker dollar, hit by profit-taking […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) bulls attempting a minor correction

USD/AUD (AUD=X) bulls attempting a minor correction

USD/AUD (AUD=X) bulls attempting a minor correction AUD/USD is making a minor recovery and testing the hid point of the .73 handle from lows of 0.7329 as the downtrend deteriorates a touch away from the support of the descending channel and yesterday’s lows (lowest levels since Jan 2017). AUD/USD has been in a tailspin of dollar […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) shows potential decline

USD/AUD (AUD=X) shows potential decline

USD/AUD (AUD=X) shows potential decline Bears dominated the AUD/USD currency pair on Tuesday. This downside momentum began after the rate hit a resistance cluster formed by the 55– hour simple moving average and the weekly pivot point near the 0.7415 mark. Given that the pair has revealed new downtrend channel, it is likely that the journey south […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) bewildered by Trump trade confusion

USD/AUD (AUD=X) bewildered by Trump trade confusion

USD/AUD (AUD=X) bewildered by Trump trade confusion The Australian and New Zealand dollars flatlined on Tuesday as White House officials sowed confusion about their trade intentions toward China, leaving the market in a holding pattern for now. The Aussie dollar was steady at $0.7411, after drawing bids around $0.7397 overnight. It had retreated from a […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) US Dollar falls to 2-week low vs yen on renewed trade tensions

USD/AUD (AUD=X) US Dollar falls to 2-week low vs yen on renewed trade tensions

USD/AUD (AUD=X) US Dollar falls to 2-week low vs yen on renewed trade tensions Dollar/yen sags after on latest round of trade tensions US plans to limit Chinese investments in US tech firms -WSJ Lira trims gains after rallying on Turkey president vote win Commodity-linked currencies slip as oil rally runs out of steam The […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) bulls waking up after fresh 2018 low at 0.7345

USD/AUD (AUD=X) bulls waking up after fresh 2018 low at 0.7345

USD/AUD (AUD=X) bulls waking up after fresh 2018 low at 0.7345 AUD/USD reached a new 2018 low at 0.7345 this Thursday as the market almost reached the May 9, 2017 swing low at 0.7327. AUD bulls are now trading above the hourly 50-period simple moving average as they are trying to form a double bottom with Tuesday’s […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) could slip back to 0.7330/0.7300

USD/AUD (AUD=X) could slip back to 0.7330/0.7300

USD/AUD (AUD=X) could slip back to 0.7330/0.7300 The Aussie Dollar could drop to the 0.7330/0.7300 band vs. the greenback in the next weeks. Key Quotes 24-hour view: “AUD hit a fresh 2018 low of 0.7347 before rebounding quickly. The combination of oversold condition and waning momentum suggests low risk of a break below 0.7345/50. While a […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Charts Highlight Nearby Price Support

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Charts Highlight Nearby Price Support

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Charts Highlight Nearby Price Support The Australian Dollar has plummeted more than 9% off the yearly highs (nearly 6% year-to-date) with the decline now approaching initial support targets of interest. While the immediate risk remains lower in the Aussie, we’re on the lookout for near-term exhaustion in price. These are the updated targets & invalidations […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to slide

USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to slide

USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to slide The Australian dollar remains under pressure, undermined by renewed trade tensions between the United States and China. The AUD/USD currently sits at a 6-week low after falling 2.1% last week. The economic data calendar is quiet today, although the ECB’s annual central banking forum from Sintra, Portugal, gets underway. Chinese […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) hits new lows as commodities break

USD/AUD (AUD=X) hits new lows as commodities break

USD/AUD (AUD=X) hits new lows as commodities break The Australian dollar has slipped a little further against its US counterpart as the spat between the US and China over trade hurts commodities and commodity currencies, including the Aussie. At 0635 AEST on Monday, the Australian dollar was worth 74.46 US cents, down from 74.57 US […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) breaks below 0.7500 level, worst daily decline since mid-March

USD/AUD (AUD=X) breaks below 0.7500 level, worst daily decline since mid-March

USD/AUD (AUD=X) breaks below 0.7500 level, worst daily decline since mid-March AUD/USD broke below 0.7500 and is continuing the free fall. The next likely support is located at 0.7476 May 29 swing low and at 0.7412 May’s low. AUD/USD is probably en route to its worst daily decline since mid-March, this Thursday. However, if the Aussie […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Looks For Traction From Stronger Employment Growth, Lower Unemployment

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Looks For Traction From Stronger Employment Growth, Lower Unemployment

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Looks For Traction From Stronger Employment Growth, Lower Unemployment The Australian Dollar rose against a majority of developed world currencies Wednesday, recovering from an overnight slump, as traders took up positions ahead of the latest volley of labour market data from down under that is due for release at 02:30 am London time […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Target 0.7920

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Target 0.7920

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Target 0.7920 The Australian dollar is back under pressure as the region’s trade balance surplus slips to A$977M from a revised A$1731M in March, and the lackluster development may keep the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on the sidelines at the next meeting in July as officials express ‘concerns about the direction of international trade […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Bearish Trend

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Bearish Trend

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Bearish Trend Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper bound is: 0.77. The projected lower bound is: 0.74. The projected closing price is: 0.75. Candlesticks A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Heffx Daily Technical Outlook

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Heffx Daily Technical Outlook

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Heffx Daily Technical Outlook Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper bound is: 0.77. The projected lower bound is: 0.75. The projected closing price is: 0.76. Candlesticks A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened). During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and […]

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Continuation of a Bearish Trend

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Continuation of a Bearish Trend

USD/AUD (AUD=X) Continuation of a Bearish Trend Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper bound is: 0.76. The projected lower bound is: 0.74. The projected closing price is: 0.75. Candlesticks A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened). During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles […]