Singapore: STI Index (.STI) ride out any volatility in 2019 while positioning for a market recovery
In a year beset by trade conflicts, weakening growth in China and Brexit uncertainties, Singapore’s Straits Times Index lost 9.8 per cent, but still outperformed the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index in 2018.
Singapore stocks are poised to extend gains for a fourth straight session on Wednesday, with the Straits Times Index up 1.04 per cent or 32.35 points to 3,155.29 as at 1.05pm.
Advancers outnumbered decliners 229 to 116, as 1.03 billion shares worth S$560.7 million changed hands.
The index’s top gainers included Jardine Matheson Holdings, rising 2 per cent to US$69.25, and Jardine Cycle & Carriage, also up 2.6 per cent to S$37.07. But the standout was Venture Corp, which advanced 4.5 per cent to S$14.94.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 3,252.30.
The projected lower bound is: 3,070.90.
The projected closing price is: 3,161.60.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 21 black candles for a net of 7 white candles.
A rising window occurred (where the top of the previous shadow is below the bottom of the current shadow). This usually implies a continuation of a bullish trend. There have been 10 rising windows in the last 50 candles–this makes the current rising window even more bullish.
Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 98.4244. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a buy 11 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 62.05. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 48 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 225.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
STRAITS TIMES closed up 35.130 at 3,158.070. Volume was 22% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 22% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 3,067.29 3,074.87 3,256.76
Volatility: 19 19 16
Volume: 169,773,184 201,906,704 232,128,144
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
STRAITS TIMES gapped up today (bullish) on normal volume. Possibility of a Runaway Gap which usually signifies a continuation of the trend. Four types of price gaps exist – Common, Breakaway, Runaway, and Exhaustion. Gaps acts as support/resistance.
STRAITS TIMES is currently 3.0% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .STI at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on .STI and have had this outlook for the last 0 periods.
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