Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) very likely to continue to grind to the upside

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) very likely to continue to grind to the upside

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) very likely to continue to grind to the upside

Silver markets rallied significantly during the trading session on Tuesday, as we start to make a move towards the $16.00 level. At this point, I think short-term pullbacks will be nice buying opportunities, as the US dollar is starting to soften. We have a nice uptrend line underneath that I had talked about previously, and it has held. So far, we have made a “higher lows”, meaning that we are looking very likely to continue to grind to the upside.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.

The projected upper bound is: 16.43.

The projected lower bound is: 15.65.

The projected closing price is: 16.04.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 2 black candles for a net of 5 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 30 white candles and 19 black candles for a net of 11 white candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 89.8833. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 12 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 63.28. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 13 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 167.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAG= closed up 0.030 at 16.010. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 21% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
15.994 16.084 15.940 16.010 7,434

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 15.77 15.46 15.20
Volatility: 12 16 19
Volume: 743 149 37

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

PREC.M.XAG= is currently 5.3% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAG= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 6 periods. The security price has set a new 14-period high while our momentum oscillator has not. This is a bearish divergence.

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