Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) traders will closely monitor movements in the U.S. dollar
This week precious metal traders will closely monitor movements in the U.S. dollar, one of the biggest drivers for gold, ahead of a U.S. jobs report that could underline the Federal Reserve’s case for patience when it comes to future interest rate hikes.
Markets expect the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for February to show 180,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 3.9%, but wage data will be particularly closely watched at a time when inflation remains low.
Other U.S. economic data reports on tap this week include figures on new home sales and the Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing index on Tuesday, an update on private sector hiring on Wednesday and housing starts on Friday.
The dollar rose on Friday, hitting 10-week highs against the yen as market sentiment was boosted by a more upbeat outlook on some major world economies and the prospect of a trade deal between the U.S. and China.
Silver dropped 2.52% to $15.20 per ounce after hitting $15.14, a low last seen on Jan. 22. The metal was down 4.5% so far for the week, its biggest decline since the week of Feb. 2, 2018.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
The projected upper bound is: 15.65.
The projected lower bound is: 14.77.
The projected closing price is: 15.21.
A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “high,” it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or price resistance level), the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Similarly, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 21 black candles for a net of 7 white candles.
Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 12.0450. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 35.19. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 20 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -213.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAG= closed down -0.400 at 15.203. Volume was -0% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 19% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
15.580 15.633 15.120 15.203 0
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 15.79 15.61 15.18
Volatility: 20 18 19
Volume: 0 0 0
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAG= is currently 0.2% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAG= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 0 periods.
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