Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) Prices Sink as US Market sees Recovery
July silver futures prices closed near the session low and hit a 5.5-month low today. The silver bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and gained fresh power today. A three-month-old downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart.
Silver bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $15.00 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the November low of $14.175. First resistance is seen at $14.75 and then at this week’s high of $14.865. Next support is seen at $14.50 and then at $14.35.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 15.07.
The projected upper bound is: 14.73.
The projected lower bound is: 14.02.
The projected closing price is: 14.37.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 3 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 21 black candles for a net of 6 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 28.4680. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 34 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 29.84. This is where it usually bottoms. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 75 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -234.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAG= closed down -0.165 at 14.390. Volume was -0% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 23% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
14.520 14.552 14.350 14.390 0
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 14.74 15.05 14.91
Volatility: 11 15 19
Volume: 0 0 0
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAG= is currently 3.5% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAG= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 55 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that XAG= is currently in an oversold condition.
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