Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) Prices Pausing In Their Uptrends
Gold and silver prices are near steady in early-afternoon U.S. trading Tuesday. A rebound in the U.S. dollar index this week is limiting buying interest in the precious metals markets. However, the bulls can correctly argue gold and silver are just seeing normal, and even healthy, downside corrections and pauses amid their price uptrends. April gold futures were last down $0.10 an ounce at $1,319.20. March Comex silver was last down $0.041 at $15.845 an ounce.
Chinese markets and some other Asian markets are closed this week for the Lunar New Year holiday, which is making for quieter trading in world markets most of this week.
President Trump had dinner with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin at the White House Monday evening, to discuss the U.S. economy—the first time Powell and Trump had a face-to-face conversation since Powell became the Fed chair. Trump had considered firing Powell just a few months ago. Then Powell and the Fed shifted their tenor on U.S. monetary policy to a more dovish stance.
The U.S. highlight of the day will be President Trump’s State of the Union speech in the evening. Many market watchers will want to know what the president says about U.S.-China trade relations. The trade talks appear to be progressing ahead of the early-March deadline for a deal being reached.
March silver futures prices closed nearer the session low today. The silver bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage amid a seven-week-old price uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $16.50 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the January low of $15.195. First resistance is seen at $16.00 and then at last week’s high of $16.20. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $15.685 and then at $15.50.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 15.33.
The projected upper bound is: 16.24.
The projected lower bound is: 15.45.
The projected closing price is: 15.84.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 22 black candles for a net of 6 white candles.
Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 42.6550. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 59.80. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 54. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAG= closed down -0.052 at 15.810. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 14% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
15.864 15.925 15.770 15.810 9,352
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 15.77 15.16 15.24
Volatility: 19 17 19
Volume: 935 187 47
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAG= is currently 3.8% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAG= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 41 periods.
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