Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) pressured by a strong U.S. dollar index

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) pressured by a strong U.S. dollar index

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) pressured by a strong U.S. dollar index

Gold and silver futures prices are moderately lower in early U.S. trading Friday, pressured by a strong U.S. dollar index that pushed to a nearly two-year high overnight. February gold futures were last down $5.60 an ounce at $1,241.80. March Comex silver was down $0.185 at $14.67 an ounce.

The key outside markets are in a bearish posture for the precious metals early today, as the U.S. dollar index solidly higher and hit a nearly two-year high, on some safe-haven buying heading into the weekend. Meantime, Nymex crude oil prices are slightly down and trading around $52.50 a barrel.

March silver futures bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, a choppy three-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the October high of $15.055 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the November low of $13.985. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $14.90 and then at $15.00. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $14.565 and then at last week’s low of $14.28.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 14.70.

The projected upper bound is: 15.01.

The projected lower bound is: 14.12.

The projected closing price is: 14.57.

Candlesticks

A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “high,” it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or price resistance level), the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Similarly, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 28 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 72.1529. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 12 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 53.53. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 72 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 65. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAG= closed down -0.193 at 14.566. Volume was -0% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 19% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
14.759 14.759 14.460 14.566 0

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 14.56 14.45 15.44
Volatility: 16 19 20
Volume: 0 0 0

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

PREC.M.XAG= is currently 5.6% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAG= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 5 periods.

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