Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) headed lower
Silver has reversed directions on Tuesday and posted slight losses. Currently, silver is trading at $18.34, down $0.28 or 1.56% the day.
Silver Rally Fizzles Out
Silver has been on an excellent run, climbing 6 percent since February 12. However, the rally has stopped on Tuesday, as silver prices are down 1.5 percent. Silver appears to have been overbought, as investors were only too happy to get their hands on precious metals, such as gold and silver. These safe-haven assets have benefited from growing alarm over the coronavirus, which has sapped risk appetite. This trend was clearly apparent on Monday. Silver touched a daily high of 18.90, its highest level since September 2, while gold prices touched a daily high of 1689.38, its highest level since 2013. Despite the pullback in silver on Tuesday, the trend for silver remains upwards, and I expect a rebound sometime during the week.
Silver Technical Analysis
After an impressive rally, silver has retraced and is again putting pressure on the symbolic 18.00 level. Below, the 50-day EMA is currently situated at 17.84, followed by support at 17.50. Next is the 200-EMA, at 17.11.
On the upside, 18.60 is an immediate resistance line, followed by 19.20. Above, the lofty level of 20.00 has held in resistance since September 2016.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 17.76.
The projected upper bound is: 18.79.
The projected lower bound is: 17.55.
The projected closing price is: 18.17.
A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “high,” it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or price resistance level), the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Similarly, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 30 white candles and 19 black candles for a net of 11 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 57.2389. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 54.21. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 34 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 68. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAG= closed down -0.474 at 18.149. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 22% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
18.622 18.650 18.120 18.149 46,966
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 18.07 17.84 16.97
Volatility: 24 22 25
Volume: 4,697 939 235
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAG= is currently 6.9% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAG= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 3 periods.
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