Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) gain amid nervous marketplace

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) gain amid nervous marketplace

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) gain amid nervous marketplace

Gold and silver prices are firmer in midday U.S. trading Tuesday. There are several geopolitical matters at work that have traders and investors worldwide in a bit of a risk-averse mood. December gold futures were last up $2.70 an ounce at 1,507.20. December Comex silver prices were last up $0.19 at $17.735 an ounce.

Global stock market remain a bit wobbly, what with geopolitical issues lingering not far from the front burner of the marketplace, and which could flare up at any time. These include the U.S.-China trade war, U.S.-Iran tensions, Brexit, Hong Kong civil unrest and the Democrats working to impeach Trump. Reports overnight said German Chancellor Merkel told U.K. Prime Minister Johnson that the U.K’s Brexit deal won’t work for the European Union.

And as the U.S.-China trade talks get under way this week, the U.S. has just blacklisted 28 Chinese entities due to those firm purportedly repressing Muslims in China. Ideas are mixed on the outcome of this latest round of meetings between the world’s two largest economies. The Chinese may think they can leverage President Trump’s political problems in the U.S. to their advantage. However, Trump has “doubled-down” and said the U.S. will get a good and complete trade deal with China, or none at all.

Nymex crude oil prices are down and trading around $52.00 a barrel today. The other key “outside market” sees the U.S. dollar index higher in midday. The bearish posture of these two markets for the precious metals did limit the upside in the metals today.

Technical Indicators

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

The projected upper bound is: 18.75.

The projected lower bound is: 16.75.

The projected closing price is: 17.75.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 74.0471. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 50.52. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 23 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -26. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 21 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAG= closed up 0.295 at 17.730. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 4% narrower than normal.

Open     High      Low     Close     Volume___
17.443 17.802 17.240 17.730 36,985
Technical Outlook 
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 17.53 17.60 15.87
Volatility: 35 35 23
Volume: 3,699 740 185

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

PREC.M.XAG= is currently 11.7% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAG= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 8 periods.

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