Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) continue to suffer from a lack of turbulence on the geopolitical front

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) continue to suffer from a lack of turbulence on the geopolitical front

Silver 1 OZ 999 NY (XAG=X) continue to suffer from a lack of turbulence on the geopolitical front

Gold and silver prices are moderately lower in early U.S. trading Monday. The safe-haven metals continue to suffer from a lack of turbulence on the geopolitical front that would provide some demand for them. June gold futures were last down $4.80 an ounce at $1,290.30. May Comex silver was last down $0.088 at $14.875 an ounce.

Asian and European stock indexes were steady to mixed in quieter dealings overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward narrowly mixed openings when the New York day session begins. There are presently no major geopolitical issues in the world marketplace to rattle the markets and trader and investor attitudes remains generally upbeat, as evidenced by most world stock markets trending sideways to higher at present.

Focus of traders and investors this week will be on U.S. corporate earnings reports. Big bank reports issued last Friday were surprisingly upbeat.

U.S.-China trade talks will continue this week, with most market watchers thinking good progress has been made on the matter and both sides are close to a final agreement.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 15.30.

The projected upper bound is: 15.37.

The projected lower bound is: 14.57.

The projected closing price is: 14.97.


A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 22 black candles for a net of 5 white candles.

A long lower shadow occurred. This is typically a bullish signal (particularly when it occurs near a low price level, at a support level, or when the security is oversold).

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 22.6710. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 39.63. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 51 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -150.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 8 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAG= closed up 0.036 at 14.986. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 27% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
14.969 15.030 14.810 14.986 14,021

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 15.10 15.42 15.00
Volatility: 12 17 19
Volume: 1,402 280 70

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


PREC.M.XAG= is currently 0.1% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAG= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAG= and have had this outlook for the last 31 periods.

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