$XAU #Gold #Commodities #FX #Trading #Markets #Metastock
Gold prices are climbing back to $US1,900 per ounce on a weaker US dollar but reports of progress in developing a COVID-19 vaccine is sapping further gains for the yellow metal.
In Wednesday trade, gold was sitting at $US1,881 per ounce ($2,578/oz), and its price has bounced off the $US1,865/oz support line several times since September.
The yellow metal found support around the $US1,850-$1,860/oz region, but it has since struggled to break back above $US1,900/oz.
Gold needed to push through $US1,900/oz to consolidate its gains.
The US economic calendar is data-dry and hence, the bright metal will likely remain at the mercy of the US dollar dynamics.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
The projected upper bound is: 1,930.71.
The projected lower bound is: 1,804.07.
The projected closing price is: 1,867.39.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 33.2080. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 43.91. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 72 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -82. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed down -2.318 at 1,869.092. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 29% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume 1,871.060 1,873.678 1,867.600 1,869.092 3,847
Technical Outlook Short Term: Neutral Intermediate Term: Bearish Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period Close: 1,882.60 1,900.97 1,792.56 Volatility: 29 21 24 Volume: 385 77 19
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 4.3% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods.
Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAU= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 2 periods.
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