Shanghai: SSE Composite Index (.SSEC) shares climb on China stimulus move
Asian shares climbed Monday, as investors embraced a move by China that could help lower borrowing rates for companies, and signals that trade talks between Washington and Beijing could be improving.
On Saturday, the People’s Bank of China unveiled a key interest rate reform aimed at lowering real interest rates for companies as the country faces a slowing economy. Last week’s data showed China’s economy slowed more sharply than expected in the third quarter.
While Trump on Sunday suggested no quick end to the trade war with China, some investors were encouraged after Trump said he spoke with Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook, who warned the president that tariffs could hurt his tech company by giving rivals like South Korea’s Samsung Electronics 005930, -0.68% an edge. Trump said Cook made a “very compelling argument, so I’m thinking about it.”
Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 NIK, +0.71% closed up 0.7%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng HSI, +2.17% gained 2.3% after a massive but peaceful pro-democracy march, while the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP, +2.10% added 3%. South Korea’s Kospi 180721, +0.66% was 0.7% higher, and benchmark indexes in Taiwan Y9999, +0.65% , Singapore STI, +0.43% and Indonesia JAKIDX, +0.16% all rose. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 XJO, +0.97% closed up 0.9%.
Wall Street stocks and other investments had heaved and dropped all week, hitting a crescendo on Wednesday when a fairly reliable warning signal of recession flipped on in the U.S. Treasury market.
Investors are hoping that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates to shore up economic growth. The central bank lowered interest rates by a quarter-point at its last meeting. It was the first time it lowered rates in a decade.
“With global economic engines still clattering and in desperate need of some high-grade Central Bank stimulus, investors are still pinning their hopes on central bank policy,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at Valour Markets in Singapore.
Investors are also worried about Trump’s shocking announcement on Aug. 1 that he planned to extend tariffs across virtually all Chinese imports, many of them consumer products that were exempt from early rounds of tariffs. The tariffs have been delayed, but ultimately will raise costs for U.S. companies bringing goods in from China.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 2,898.91.
The projected upper bound is: 2,971.91.
The projected lower bound is: 2,795.52.
The projected closing price is: 2,883.72.
A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.
Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 89.1847. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a buy 7 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 52.97. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 7 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 65. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 6 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
SSE COMPOSITE closed up 59.272 at 2,883.096. Volume was 1% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 1% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 2,805.94 2,914.25 2,833.69
Volatility: 20 19 25
Volume: 16,090,161,152 17,734,576,128 22,758,447,104
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
SSE COMPOSITE is currently 1.7% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .SSEC at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .SSEC and have had this outlook for the last 24 periods. Our momentum oscillator has set a new 14-period high while the security price has not. This is a bullish divergence.