Shanghai: SSE Composite Index (.SSEC) exports grow despite US tariffs, but imports slump most in nearly 3 years
Shanghai stocks closed higher on Monday, snapping a six-session losing streak, as worries over trade tensions eased after an agreement between the United States and Mexico to avert a tariff war, and as weak data boosted stimulus hopes.
The blue-chip CSI300 index rose 1.3%, to 3,610.74, while the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.9% to 2,852.13.
The United States and Mexico struck a deal on Friday, with Mexico agreeing to rapidly expand a controversial asylum programme and deploy security forces to stem the flow of illegal Central American migrants.
A highly anticipated late June meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping has some parallels with their Buenos Aires summit last December that postponed a tariff hike, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Saturday.
The A-share market could continue to be favoured by foreign money, if negative factors affecting stock valuations are eliminated and (the Sino-U.S.) trade dispute is resolved to some extent, as markets with low valuations would be more attractive to foreign money amid signals of easing by global central banks, Fortune Securities noted in report.
China’s exports unexpectedly returned to growth in May despite higher U.S. tariffs, but imports fell the most in nearly three years in a further sign of weak domestic demand that could prompt Beijing to step up stimulus measures.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 2,947.13.
The projected upper bound is: 2,982.81.
The projected lower bound is: 2,713.81.
The projected closing price is: 2,848.31.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 24 white candles and 26 black candles for a net of 2 black candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 16.6491. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 15 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 39.55. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 20 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -108.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
SSE COMPOSITE closed up 24.332 at 2,852.130. Volume was 45% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 64% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 2,881.52 3,029.44 2,779.67
Volatility: 14 28 27
Volume: 19,495,981,056 28,379,912,192 21,420,824,576
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
SSE COMPOSITE is currently 2.6% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .SSEC at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .SSEC and have had this outlook for the last 28 periods.
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