New Zealand Dollar: NZD/USD (NZD=X) support at 0.6330
After posting losses for three straight sessions, NZD/USD is flat in Thursday trade. In the European session, the pair is trading at 0.6367, up 0.04% on the day. There are no New Zealand events for the remainder of the week.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
NZD/USD has moved lower this week, but has taken a breather on Thursday. In the Asian session, the pair tested support at 0.6360 for the first time since October 30. Below, there is support at 0.6330, which was last tested in mid-October. Traders should keep track of the 50-EMA, which remains very close to the pair’s current level.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
The projected upper bound is: 0.64.
The projected lower bound is: 0.63.
The projected closing price is: 0.64.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 16.2464. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a buy 7 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 50.43. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 34 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -58. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 4 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX NZD= closed up 0.000 at 0.637. Volume was 99% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 29% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
0.636 0.637 0.636 0.637 191
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 0.64 0.63 0.66
Volatility: 5 8 9
Volume: 28,985 30,407 36,380
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX NZD= is currently 3.2% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of NZD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on NZD= and have had this outlook for the last 20 periods.
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