New Zealand Dollar: NZD/USD (NZD=X) Could Still Edge Lower
During Friday’s trading session, the New Zealand Dollar depreciated about 47 basis points against the US Dollar. The 50– hour simple moving average pressured the currency pair lower during the previous session.
Everything being equal, it seems that the exchange rate will continue to edge lower in the descending channel pattern within this session. Bearish traders might aim at the weekly S1 at 0.6211.
However, given that the currency exchange rate is trading near the upper boundary of a descending channel pattern, a breakout might occur within the following trading session.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
The projected upper bound is: 0.64.
The projected lower bound is: 0.62.
The projected closing price is: 0.63.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 21 white candles and 29 black candles for a net of 8 black candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 24.0332. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 36.11. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -94. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX NZD= closed up 0.000 at 0.629. Volume was 99% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 14% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
0.629 0.630 0.629 0.629 177
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 0.63 0.65 0.66
Volatility: 7 8 9
Volume: 24,682 31,955 38,555
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX NZD= is currently 5.4% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of NZD= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on NZD= and have had this outlook for the last 1 periods.