NASDAQ Composite (.IXIC) Sets Record
Tech traders who spent the last few days worrying about what Netflix Inc.’s earnings would hold should’ve been thinking about something else: Jay Powell’s congressional testimony.
After starting the day in the red after Netflix bombed on subscriber growth, the Nasdaq Composite Index rebounded before noon and closed at a record, along with Amazon.com Inc., Facebook Inc. and Google parent Alphabet Inc. The index’s jump coincided with Federal Reserve chairman Powell’s comments suggesting the pace of interest rate increases could be slowed down if needed.
Nasdaq Composite (IXIC – 7,855.12) topped out at a record intraday high of 7,867.15, before settling up 49.4 points, or 0.6%.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 8,031.44.
The projected lower bound is: 7,704.61.
The projected closing price is: 7,868.03.
A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 32 white candles and 18 black candles for a net of 14 white candles.
An engulfing bullish line occurred (where a white candle’s real body completely contains the previous black candle’s real body). The engulfing bullish pattern is bullish during a downtrend. It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bears to the bulls.
If the engulfing bullish pattern occurs during an uptrend (which appears to be the case with NASDAQ COMPOSITE), it may be a last engulfing top which indicates a top. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes below the top of the current (white) candle’s real body.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 85.4916. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 64.88. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 17 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 90. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 6 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
NASDAQ COMPOSITE closed up 49.399 at 7,855.118. Volume was 23% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 1% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 7,732.02 7,567.43 7,152.13
Volatility: 15 14 19
Volume: 419,726,272 522,739,360 510,774,176
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
NASDAQ COMPOSITE is currently 9.8% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .IXIC at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on .IXIC and have had this outlook for the last 4 periods.