Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Stopped-out of USD/JPY short
USD/JPY is right at the tip of a tightening ascending wedge, implicating it is very near making a sizable breakout. Standing right at the end of the pattern is a well-defined (clean connecting points) trend-line extending down from 2015.
The pattern implies a breakout to the upside with the higher lowers, but we can’t rule out a turn lower in line with trend resistance. Preferably, if USD/JPY is to break to the top-side, given the duration of the trend-line, it confirms with a weekly close above.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 113.06.
The projected lower bound is: 110.87.
The projected closing price is: 111.96.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 83.5054. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 7 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 68.97. This is not a topping or bottoming area. However, the RSI just crossed below 70 from a topping formation. This is a bearish sign. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 205.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 6 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 8 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX JPY= closed down -0.090 at 111.910. Volume was 97% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 13% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
112.000 112.040 111.910 111.910 3,173
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 110.94 110.11 110.12
Volatility: 6 6 8
Volume: 93,314 99,041 105,573
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX JPY= is currently 1.6% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of JPY= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on JPY= and have had this outlook for the last 17 periods.
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