Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) returns to resistance
In a milder version of the above in EUR/USD, US Dollar strength has pushed USDJPY back up to a resistance zone that’s been in-play for over a month. The big question is whether this can hold or whether US Dollar bulls pose a continued forward-push. A break-above the 108.80 swing-high from June opens the door for deeper resistance tests, around the 109.00 level and then a bit-higher, taken from the 109.67-110.00 zone that was last in-play in late May.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
The projected upper bound is: 109.92.
The projected lower bound is: 107.74.
The projected closing price is: 108.83.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 2 black candles for a net of 5 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 26 black candles for a net of 4 black candles.
Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 90.8615. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 57.57. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 164.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 7 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX JPY= closed up 0.170 at 108.880. Volume was 57% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 11% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
108.710 108.960 108.660 108.880 38,003
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 108.14 108.97 110.85
Volatility: 6 6 7
Volume: 82,000 88,918 98,907
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX JPY= is currently 1.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of JPY= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on JPY= and have had this outlook for the last 1 periods.
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