Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Rally Revives

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Rally Revives

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Rally Revives

Dollar bulls are taking charge of USD/JPY once again this morning, pushing the price back to the highs of the week.

The USD/JPY made a bearish bounce after reaching the -27.2% Fibonacci target at 113.23 and price is now challenging the support trend line (green). A new bullish breakout could indicate a continuation towards the -61.8% Fibonacci target whereas a bearish push could indicate the end of the bullish wave Y and the start of a bearish price swing.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 110.60.

The projected upper bound is: 113.62.

The projected lower bound is: 111.40.

The projected closing price is: 112.51.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 50.2887. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 66.48. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 59. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 14 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX JPY= closed unchanged at 112.450. Volume was 93% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 51% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
112.440 112.480 112.370 112.450 7,509

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 112.16 110.51 110.12
Volatility: 7 6 8
Volume: 94,081 102,145 105,953

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX JPY= is currently 2.1% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume into JPY= (mildly bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on JPY= and have had this outlook for the last 23 periods.

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