Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pushes down from resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pushes down from resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pushes down from resistance

Also on the side of USD-weakness, USDJPY has pushed-lower from a key zone of resistance while filling this week’s opening gap. This keeps the door open for further bearish potential in the pair. Prices are finding a bit of short-term support at the 107.50 level that was looked at yesterday; and a breech below that exposes the 107.00 area of support for short-term breakout targets, after which the prospect of fresh lower-lows comes into play.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

The projected upper bound is: 108.83.

The projected lower bound is: 106.72.

The projected closing price is: 107.77.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 5 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 19 white candles and 29 black candles for a net of 10 black candles.

A long lower shadow occurred. This is typically a bullish signal (particularly when it occurs near a low price level, at a support level, or when the security is oversold).

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 66.3508. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 42.51. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -19. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX JPY= closed down -0.020 at 107.860. Volume was 1% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 20% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
107.880 107.920 107.520 107.860 89,261

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period     200-period
Close: 107.66 109.21 110.95
Volatility: 7 6 7
Volume: 93,653 89,942 99,698

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX JPY= is currently 2.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of JPY= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on JPY= and have had this outlook for the last 42 periods.

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