Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) downwards to 110.55

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) downwards to 110.55

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) downwards to 110.55

Having reversed from 112.15-20 horizontal-resistance, the USDJPY now rests on 50-day SMA level of 110.80, which if broken on a daily closing basis could further fetch the quote downwards to 110.55 and 110.25-20 support-zone. In case the pair refrains to respect the 110.20 mark, its plunge to 100-day SMA level of 109.55 and a consecutive south-run to 109.00 can be expected.

Should prices take a U-turn from 50-day SMA, the 111.40 may offer immediate resistance to the pair before highlighting the 112.15-20 area again. However, a D1 close beyond 112.20 might not hesitate challenging the 112.70, the 113.15 and the 61.8% FE level of 113.75.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 112.06.

The projected lower bound is: 109.87.

The projected closing price is: 110.96.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 23 white candles and 27 black candles for a net of 4 black candles.

A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.

Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 20.8862. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 45.17. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 15 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -103.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 15 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 13 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX JPY= closed down -0.050 at 110.920. Volume was 94% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 13% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
110.970 111.010 110.840 110.920 5,728

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 111.32 110.88 109.97
Volatility: 6 6 8
Volume: 86,638 100,283 105,783

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX JPY= is currently 0.9% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of JPY= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on JPY= and have had this outlook for the last 9 periods.

The following two tabs change content below.
HEFFX has become one of Asia’s leading financial services companies with interests in Publishing, Private Equity, Capital Markets, Mining, Retail, Transport and Agriculture that span every continent of the world. Our clearing partners have unprecedented experience in Equities, Options, Forex and Commodities brokering, banking, physical metals dealing, floor brokering and trading.

You must be logged in to post comments :  
CONNECT WITH