Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) continues upwards
After yesterday’s small move lower we have seen a recovery for USD/JPY, holding the ¥113.64 level.
A fresh push above ¥114.00 targets ¥114.50, which had been significant resistance throughout 2017. A deeper pullback below ¥113.64 would target rising trendline support from the March lows, around ¥112.00.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 111.98.
The projected upper bound is: 115.64.
The projected lower bound is: 113.45.
The projected closing price is: 114.55.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 21 black candles for a net of 7 white candles.
A bearish harami occurred (where the current small black body is contained within an unusually large white body). During an uptrend (which appears to be the case with FOREX JPY=) this pattern implies an end to the rally as the bulls appear to have exhausted themselves.
During a downtrend the bearish harami pattern is bullish as the bulls appear to be gaining strength as the bears weaken.
A hammer occurred (a hammer has a long lower shadow and closes near the high). Hammers must appear after a significant decline or when prices are oversold to be valid. When this occurs, it usually indicates the formation of a support level and is thus considered a bullish pattern.
A hanging man occurred (a hanging man has a very long lower shadow and a small real body). This pattern can be bullish or bearish, depending on the trend. If it occurs during an uptrend (which appears to be the case with FOREX JPY=) it is called a hanging man line and signifies a reversal top. If it occurs during a downtrend it is called a bullish hammer.
A long lower shadow occurred. This is typically a bullish signal (particularly when it occurs near a low price level, at a support level, or when the security is oversold).
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 90.1880. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 25 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 73.05. This is where it usually tops. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 141.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 20 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 29 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FOREX JPY= closed down -0.050 at 114.480. Volume was 98% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 76% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
114.530 114.530 114.370 114.480 1,704
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 113.47 111.70 109.77
Volatility: 6 6 8
Volume: 93,895 99,644 105,637
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FOREX JPY= is currently 4.3% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume into JPY= (mildly bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on JPY= and have had this outlook for the last 19 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that JPY= is currently in an overbought condition.
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