Japanese Yen (¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (JPYUSD) Showing Little Movement

Japanese Yen (¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (JPYUSD) Showing Little Movement

Japanese Yen (¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (JPYUSD) Showing Little Movement

  • Even though the Dollar is deemed to depreciate in the long run, it may remain strong for the time being.
  • Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan does not seem to have any intention to change its negative rate policy.
  • Combining the above with technical reasons, USDJPY may have some room on the upside.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Short term: Prices are stalling.

Intermediate term: Prices are ranging.

The projected upper bound is: 114.32.

The projected lower bound is: 111.12.

The projected closing price is: 112.72.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 24 white candles and 26 black candles for a net of 2 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 82.9787. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a buy 12 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 64.47. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 12 period(s) ago.
The RSI is greater than 70. Look for a possible buy signal if the Daily chart shows an uptrend

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 93. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX JPY= closed up 0.260 at 112.710. Volume was 16% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 37% wider than normal.

Open        High       Low          Close Volume
112.440   112.810   112.060   112.710 101,352

Technical Outlook
Short Term:                 Overbought
Intermediate Term:   Bullish
Long Term:                  Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period     50-period    200-period
Close:                      111.63            111.68           109.20
Volatility:               7                     9                    12
Volume:                 110,752         112,876         115,280

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

FOREX JPY= is currently 3.2% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of JPY= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on JPY= and have had this outlook for the last 5 periods.

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S. Jack Heffernan Ph.D. Funds Manager at HEFFX holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reach a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.

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