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Saturday, September 18, 2021

Investors Learning Not to Fight the Trump White House


 S&P 500 futures Vs fair value: +19.90. NAS Com futures Vs fair value: +85.40

There is a new Fund Manager Survey is out Wednesday, and it shows improvement in sentiment, and that only 18% of participants believe in this V-shaped recovery plus, 50%+ of the respondents see this rally as a bear market bounce despite the new all-time highs in the NAS, and a record 78% of fund managers say the market is the most overvalued it has been since the late 1990’s.

From that, we glean that positive shift in sentiment among large fund managers implies a lot of FOMO buying of stocks is ahead.

The response to strong economic data implies a new trade aka Do Not Fight the Trump White House

This point refers to the fact that the market is contemplating what it means to have policy stimulus in the hands of GOP political incumbents in an election year.

We have seen trillions announced, promised, dedicated and in the mail. With more to come.

That said it hard to imagine good news that is not on the tape at the bell.

S&P 500 Continuous Contract Futures (ES#); ETF: SPY

Gold Continuous Contract Futures (GC#); ETF: GLD

Have a healthy day, Keep the Faith!

Paul Ebeling
Paul A. Ebeling, a polymath, excels, in diverse fields of knowledge Including Pattern Recognition Analysis in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange, and he is the author of "The Red Roadmaster's Technical Report on the US Major Market Indices, a highly regarded, weekly financial market commentary. He is a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to over a million cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognize Ebeling as an expert.   

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