Hong Kong: HANG SENG INDEX (.HSI) slides amid more worrying economic news from China
Asian markets mostly fell in early trading Monday as global crude futures soared following the weekend attack on Saudi Arabian oil facilities.
West Texas Intermediate crude for October delivery CLV19, +12.85% , the U.S. benchmark contract, was up 10.4%, or $5.71, at $60.57 a barrel on electronic exchange Globex on Sunday, on track for its largest daily gain since February 2016. November Brent crude BRNX19, -1.41% jumped $6.97, or 11.6%, to trade at $67.18 a barrel, which would also mark the sharpest daily rise for the international benchmark grade since February 2016.
Saturday’s attack on Saudi oil fields knocked out about half that country’s oil production. Saudi officials said Sunday they expect to regain about one-third of that output capacity by Monday, but experts said it may take weeks for production to return to normal levels. Top U.S. officials blamed Iran — which denied responsibility — and President Donald Trump warned the U.S. was “locked and loaded,” suggested possible military action.
Separately, investors were dealt worrying information about China’s economy. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said in an interview it will be “very difficult” for the country’s economy to grow at an annual rate of 6% or more in the current global climate, Reuters reported Sunday. China is aiming for GDP growth this year of 6% to 6.5%, and in the second quarter, GDP rose 6.2%, its slowest rate in 27 years.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 27,970.37.
The projected lower bound is: 26,230.44.
The projected closing price is: 27,100.41.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 24 white candles and 26 black candles for a net of 2 black candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 79.5433. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 60.34. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 20 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 84. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 19 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
HANG SENG INDEX closed down -228.139 at 27,124.551. Volume was 24% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 3% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 26,734.64 26,945.86 27,665.31
Volatility: 25 21 20
Volume: 1,794,355,712 1,631,366,016 1,792,133,760
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
HANG SENG INDEX is currently 2.0% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume into .HSI (mildly bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on .HSI and have had this outlook for the last 5 periods.
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