Hong Kong: HANG SENG INDEX (.HSI) Plunges into Bear Market

Hong Kong: HANG SENG INDEX (.HSI) Plunges into Bear Market

Hong Kong: HANG SENG INDEX (.HSI) Plunges into Bear Market

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index entered a bear market on Tuesday after the benchmark finished the day down more than 20% from a recent high in January.

The index closed at 26,422.55 on Tuesday, plumbing a low not seen since July 2017.

A stock market typically enters a bear market after it falls more than 20% from its recent high. This year’s plunge in the Hang Seng mirrors the drop in the Chinese mainland’s benchmark Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index, which has been in a bear market since June.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.

The projected upper bound is: 27,112.26.

The projected lower bound is: 25,501.95.

The projected closing price is: 26,307.11.

Candlesticks

A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 28 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.

Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 7.7403. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 9 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 29.84. This is where it usually bottoms. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 52 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -131.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 9 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

HANG SENG INDEX closed down -77.512 at 26,345.039. Volume was 22% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 28% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
26,462.82026,468.91026,219.56126,345.0392,325,652,992

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 27,231.16 27,991.06 29,884.10
Volatility: 17 18 22
Volume: 1,922,721,536 1,756,768,384 2,149,875,968

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

HANG SENG INDEX is currently 11.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .HSI at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .HSI and have had this outlook for the last 5 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that .HSI is currently in an oversold condition.

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