Hong Kong: HANG SENG INDEX (.HSI) investors had recoiled from making further big bets ahead of news from US-China trade negotiations in Beijing later this week
China’s benchmark stock indexes were trading flat on Tuesday morning after starting the Lunar New Year strong on Monday, while Hong Kong shares opened lower.
Traders said that after the rebound enjoyed by both the China and Hong Kong bourses so far this year, investors had recoiled from making further big bets ahead of news from US-China trade negotiations in Beijing later this week.
The Hang Seng Index opened down 0.41 per cent, or 115.2 points, at 28,028.66.
“The Hang Seng Index has risen by as much as 3,000 points from the low seen in early January, [so] it would take further positive triggers to drive the benchmark index higher,” said Alvin Cheung, associate director at Prudential Brokerage.
“Given the March deadline for the US and China trade truce will expire imminently, I don’t think traders have a lot of incentives to make big bets on the index either way.”
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 27,116.13.
The projected upper bound is: 29,088.63.
The projected lower bound is: 27,325.84.
The projected closing price is: 28,207.23.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 8 white candles and 2 black candles for a net of 6 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 30 white candles and 20 black candles for a net of 10 white candles.
Three white candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 84.1025. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 72.51. This is where it usually tops. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 107.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 22 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
HANG SENG INDEX closed up 27.490 at 28,171.330. Volume was 12% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 3% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 27,844.56 26,584.92 27,769.99
Volatility: 11 21 23
Volume: 1,723,832,960 1,680,673,408 1,827,101,312
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
HANG SENG INDEX is currently 1.4% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume into .HSI (mildly bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on .HSI and have had this outlook for the last 18 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that .HSI is currently in an overbought condition.
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