Hong Kong: HANG SENG INDEX (.HSI) investors await a fresh round of U.S.-China trade negotiations
Asia markets were mixed on Monday as investors awaited a fresh round of U.S.-China trade negotiations expected to begin later this week.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 closed 0.16% lower at 21,375.25. Shares of index heavyweight Fast Retailing, the company behind the Uniqlo chain of apparel stores, slipped 0.74%. The Topix index finished its trading day largely flat at 1,572.75.
South Korea’s Kospi closed fractionally higher at 2,021.73, with shares of Hyundai Motor gaining 1.19%. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 advanced 0.71% to end its trading day at 6,563.60, as parts of the country were closed for the Labour Day holiday.
Overall, the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index rose 0.16%. Markets in Hong Kong and China were closed Monday for holidays.
Ahead of this week’s trade talks between the world’s two largest economies, there were reports that Chinese officials are growing hesitant to pursue a broad trade deal with the U.S.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 26,565.19.
The projected upper bound is: 26,631.12.
The projected lower bound is: 24,900.01.
The projected closing price is: 25,765.56.
A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “high,” it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or price resistance level), the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Similarly, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 18 white candles and 32 black candles for a net of 14 black candles.
An engulfing bearish line occurred (where a black candle’s real body completely contains the previous white candle’s real body). The engulfing bearish pattern is bearish during an uptrend. It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bulls to the bears.
If the engulfing bearish pattern occurs during a downtrend (which appears to be the case with HANG SENG INDEX), it may be a last engulfing bottom which indicates a bullish reversal. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes above the bottom the current (black) candle’s real body.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 57.2059. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 38.75. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 33 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -90. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 8 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
HANG SENG INDEX closed down -289.281 at 25,821.029. Volume was 31% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 20% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 26,094.75 26,361.57 27,652.46
Volatility: 12 21 19
Volume: 1,462,062,720 1,724,414,080 1,775,263,872
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
HANG SENG INDEX is currently 6.6% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .HSI at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .HSI and have had this outlook for the last 0 periods.
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