Hong Kong: HANG SENG INDEX (.HSI) Forecast is Murky amid renewed geopolitical and trade war concerns.
Shares rallied at mid day today in Hong Kong. the benchmark Hang Seng Index added 1.49 percent or 419.90 points at 28,676.02.
The Hang Seng finished slightly higher on Monday following gains from the financials and mixed performances from the oil and insurance companies.
Tencent Holdings dropped 1.49 percent, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China jumped 1.26 percent, CNOOC climbed 1.13 percent, China Life shed 0.80 percent, Galaxy Entertainment advanced 0.40 percent, China Petroleum and Chemical (Sinopec) fell 0.14 percent.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 29,539.15.
The projected lower bound is: 27,700.13.
The projected closing price is: 28,619.64.
A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 72.1681. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 47.03. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 16 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 65. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
HANG SENG INDEX closed up 406.451 at 28,662.570. Volume was 24% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 52% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 28,331.07 29,746.78 30,012.23
Volatility: 15 20 21
Volume: 1,841,703,296 2,062,989,184 2,184,828,416
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
HANG SENG INDEX is currently 4.5% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of .HSI at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on .HSI and have had this outlook for the last 24 periods. Our momentum oscillator has set a new 14-period high while the security price has not. This is a bullish divergence.
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