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Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Gold’s Long Term Prospect Is “Up, Up, Up”


Investment guru, Mark Mobius, gave a blanket endorsement to buying gold, saying accumulating bullion will reap long-term rewards as leading central banks loosen monetary policy and the rise of cryptocurrencies serves only to reinforce demand for genuinely hard assets.

Gold’s long-term prospect is up, up and up, and the reason why I say that is money supply is up, up and up,” Mr. Mobius told reporters on TV Tuesday.

He added: “I think you have to be buying at any level, frankly.”

Gold hit a 6-year high earlier this month on prospects for easier monetary policy from the Fed and other central banks to support growth that has been impacted by the prolonged trade dispute between the US and China. Plus with the Treasury market signaling that a recession could be on the horizon, investors have been swarming into gold-backed ETFs.

“With the efforts by the central banks to lower interest rates, they are going to be printing like crazy,” said Mr. Mobius, who recommends allocating about 10% of a portfolio to physical gold.

In the TV interview Tuesday, he did not spell out a price target for gold in his on-air remarks.

The increasing role of digital currencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) has spurred a debate in the precious metals market both about their intrinsic worth, and whether their rising popularity will detract from traditional haven gold. Mr. Mobius, believes their advent will actually boost gold consumption.

“You have all these currencies, new currencies coming into play,” he said. “I call them ‘psycho currencies,’ because it’s a matter of faith whether you believe in Bitcoin or any of the other cyber-currencies. I think with the rise of that, there’s going to be a demand for real, hard assets, and that includes gold.

Spot gold, which hit $1,535.11 on 13 August, the highest since Y 2013 rose as much as 0.5% to $1,503.46 Tuesday, and is up 17% YTD. Mr. Mobius correctly predicted in early July that prices would top $1,500.

As signs of a global slowdown emerge, central banks have boosted accommodation. The Fed cut interest rates last month for the 1st time in more than a decade, while the authorities in China have delivered targeted support.

“I think we are going to see lower rates in China and elsewhere,” Mr. Mobius said.

Stay tuned…

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