Gold Marks 5 Month Highs on Geo-Political Concerns

Gold Marks 5 Month Highs on Geo-Political Concerns

Gold Marks 5 Month Highs on Geo-Political Concerns


Gold rose about 2% to a fresh 5-month high Tuesday as investors sought safe havens from risk on mounting political and security concerns over North Korea, the Middle East and the French election.

Spot Gold was up 1.53% at 1,273.44 oz by 3:10p EDT  after hitting a session high at 1,275.16.

US Gold futures ended the session 1.6% higher at 1,274.20.

Geopolitical events have seen Gold break through the Key resistance at 1,260, Silver prices also improved, but Gold was the chief beneficiary of the safe haven buying that emerged.

Investors also bought the Japanese Yen (JPY) and US Treasuries, while The US Dollar (.DXY) Index fell and stocks took a small hit on the day.

The Fed plans to raise U.S. interest rates gradually so as to sustain healthy growth without letting the economy overheat, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said Monday. Rising interest rates lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, this has not cooled the appetite for Gold

From a technical viewpoint

Gold broke above the Key resistance at its 200-Day MA, fueling more buying. Let’s see if it can hold it now.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEArca:GLD) , the world’s largest Gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.21% to 838.26 tonnes Monday from 836.49 tonnes Friday.

Spot Silver was up 2.1% at 18.294 oz after marking 17.71 Monday.

Platinum rose 2.8% to 962.55 oz, after hitting its weakest in over 3 weeks at 931.85 Monday. The spread between Gold and Platinum hit its highest since October 2016 at $318.23.

Palladium rose 2% to 804.05 after touching its weakest in more than a week at 784.72 in the prior session.

Note: There is more geopolitical risk at the moment and that is more positive Gold than Platinum and there is no surprise in that sense to see the spread widen. Platinum is used in catalysts in diesel-powered vehicles, which are going out of favor with consumers in the EU and USA.

The above fundamentals taken together add up to a strong case for Gold, Silver, shares of the major Gold miners, and the royalty streamers like Metalla and Silver Wheaton

Overall, my work makes a strong case for the prices precious metals to continue to rise over the long term.

HeffX-LTN Analysis for GLD: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Neutral (0.24) Bullish (0.34) Bullish (0.31) Neutral (0.06)
HeffX-LTN Analysis for SLV: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Bullish (0.29) Neutral (0.20) Bullish (0.29) Bullish (0.39)
HeffX-LTN Analysis for GDX: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Neutral (0.15) Neutral (0.23) Bullish (0.29) Neutral (-0.07)
HeffX-LTN Analysis for SLW: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Neutral (0.19) Neutral (0.23) Bullish (0.29) Neutral (0.06)
HeffX-LTN Analysis for EXCFF: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Neutral (0.17) Neutral (-0.08) Neutral (0.15) Bullish (0.44)

The US Financial markets are closed for Good Friday, have a terrific Easter Weekend.


The following two tabs change content below.

Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

Latest posts by Paul Ebeling (see all)

You must be logged in to post comments :