Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) Wall Street voters remained bullish
Wall Street and Main Street look for gold to keep climbing next week, according to the Kitco News gold survey.
Many traders and analysts cited a dovish Federal Open Market Committee after a policy meeting this week, in which officials indicated they are pausing in the monetary-tightening cycle while awaiting more economic data. This tends to undermine the U.S. dollar, which helps gold. It also limits the so-called “opportunity” cost of holding non-interest-yielding assets such as precious metals.
Wall Street voters remained bullish even in the aftermath of a strong U.S. jobs report on Friday that normally might hurt sentiment by rekindling rate-hike worries. The Labor Department said U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by 304,000 in January.
Sixteen market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. There were 10 votes, or 63%, calling for higher prices. Two respondents, or 13%, said lower, while four, or 25%, said sideways.
Meanwhile, 561 respondents took part in an online Main Street poll. A total of 357 voters, or 64%, called for gold to rise. Another 135, or 24%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 69 voters, or 12%, see a sideways market.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1,267.53.
The projected upper bound is: 1,339.03.
The projected lower bound is: 1,300.48.
The projected closing price is: 1,319.75.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.
An engulfing bearish line occurred (where a black candle’s real body completely contains the previous white candle’s real body). The engulfing bearish pattern is bearish during an uptrend (which appears to be the case with PREC.M.XAU=). It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bulls to the bears.
If the engulfing bearish pattern occurs during a downtrend, it may be a last engulfing bottom which indicates a bullish reversal. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes above the bottom the current (black) candle’s real body.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 85.3957. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 20 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 70.91. This is where it usually tops. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 16 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 123.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed down -2.630 at 1,317.930. Volume was -0% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 19% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,300.32 1,267.88 1,245.54
Volatility: 11 10 11
Volume: 0 0 0
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 5.8% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAU= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 40 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that XAU= is currently in an overbought condition.
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