GOLD 1 OZ (XAU=X) U.S. interest rates are just below “neutral” levels

GOLD 1 OZ (XAU=X) U.S. interest rates are just below “neutral” levels

GOLD 1 OZ (XAU=X) U.S. interest rates are just below “neutral” levels

Technically, the gold bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage but the bulls have gained some upside momentum late this week. Gold bulls’ next upside near-term price breakout objective is to produce a close in February futures above solid technical resistance at the October high of $1,252.00.

Bears’ next near-term downside price breakout objective is pushing prices below solid technical support at $1,200.00. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of $1,236.70 and then at $1,245.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $1,226.70 and then at $1,220.00.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 1,248.17.

The projected lower bound is: 1,200.97.

The projected closing price is: 1,224.57.

Candlesticks

A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 25 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 48.5385. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 53.77. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 74 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 65. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 11 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 6 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAU= closed up 3.190 at 1,224.220. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 17% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1,221.1401,228.9601,220.1101,224.220 17,716

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,222.34 1,214.77 1,258.41
Volatility: 8 12 12
Volume: 1,772 354 89

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

PREC.M.XAU= is currently 2.7% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAU= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 12 periods.

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