Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) turned more bullish recently
World stock markets were mostly higher overnight as global traders and investors chose to focus on improving prospects for a U.S.-China trade deal, instead of the uncertainty of leadership of the United Kingdom. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward higher openings when the New York day session begins. Trading in the U.S. stock indexes has been volatile this week, with many stock market experts saying to expect this to be the norm for at least a while.
The present U.S.-China trade negotiations are so far producing tangible results, according to reports coming from both nations. Officials from both sides appear to be upbeat on the progress. The marketplace reckons that if the world’s two largest economies come to terms on trade, the spillover effect would be positive for most world economies. Also, the precious metals are supported on the upbeat trade negotiation reports on ideas of better worldwide demand for the metals due to improved economic conditions if a trade deal is reached.
Brexit turmoil has been kicked up a notch at mid-week, as U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May will face a no-confidence vote from members of Parliament today. May on Monday called off a vote on her Brexit plan, which most reckoned would be defeated anyway. She has quickly lost popularity in the U.K. public eye and among members of Parliament. However, most global markets are not being significantly impacted by the political turmoil in the U.K.
The key outside markets early today find the U.S. dollar index slightly lower on a corrective pullback from recent solid gains that pushed the index to a new for-the-move high Tuesday. Meantime, Nymex crude oil prices are higher on a corrective bounce. There are still no early technical clues the crude oil market is close to a bottom.
Other U.S. economic data due for release Wednesday includes the weekly MBA mortgage applications survey, real earnings, the monthly Treasury budget statement and the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report.
Technically, gold bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in February futures above solid resistance at the July high of $1,284.10. Bears’ next near-term downside price breakout objective is pushing prices below solid technical support at $1,225.00. First resistance is seen at Monday’s high of $1,256.60 and then at $1,260.00. First support is seen at this week’s low of $1,245.80 and then at $1,240.00.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1,227.27.
The projected upper bound is: 1,268.03.
The projected lower bound is: 1,223.92.
The projected closing price is: 1,245.97.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 64.6172. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 63.95. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 83 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 88. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 7 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed up 2.160 at 1,245.010. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 2% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,236.98 1,222.61 1,254.53
Volatility: 7 12 11
Volume: 1,784 357 89
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 0.8% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely low when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that there will be an increase in volatility along with sharp price fluctuations in the near future. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAU= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 4 periods.
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