Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) the last Federal Reserve rate hike will be an important inflection point
Gold is already on a bull run and the last Federal Reserve rate hike will be an important inflection point for the precious metal prices, Franco-Nevada president and COO Paul Brink told Kitco News.
“We’ve really started the last gold bull market in 2000-2001 and then we hit a peak in 2012 … At the end of 2015 we hit $1,050 gold and now we are at $1,350. So, we are good three years into it. I would equate now to 2004-2005 in the last gold bull run,” Brink told Kitco News on the sidelines of the Gold Stock Analyst conference.
Franco-Nevada’s president described the current atmosphere in the gold space as an exciting one, adding that the Federal Reserve’s next steps will be of the utmost importance for gold, especially if the central bank shifts towards no more rate hikes at all.
“In the last five years what we have been fighting is rate raises in the U.S. and a strong U.S. dollar. And we are at the point of inflection. I don’t know whether we’ve already seen the last rate raise or whether that last rate raise is later this year. But, either way, that will be a point of inflection that should be a great driver for the gold price,” Brink said.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 1,347.90.
The projected lower bound is: 1,305.74.
The projected closing price is: 1,326.82.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 22 black candles for a net of 6 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 22.5056. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 58.64. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 42. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed down -1.830 at 1,325.230. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 18% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,324.84 1,296.83 1,246.58
Volatility: 11 10 11
Volume: 616 123 31
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 6.3% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAU= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 57 periods.
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