GOLD 1 OZ (XAU=X) seeing some stabilization
Gold and silver prices are steady to slightly higher in quieter early-afternoon U.S. trading Thursday. Both metals are seeing some stabilization this week after recently notching 12-month lows. December gold futures were last down $0.10 an ounce at $1,220.90
Gold got a slight boost following this morning’s U.S. producer price index (PPI) report that came in lower than market expectations. U.S. producer prices in July were unchanged, versus pre-report expectations for a rise of 0.2% from June. This report was the most significant U.S. economic report so far this week. However, the more closely watched consumer price index is due out Friday morning. CPI for July is forecast to come in at up 0.2% from June.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
The projected upper bound is: 1,229.18.
The projected lower bound is: 1,192.69.
The projected closing price is: 1,210.94.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 21 white candles and 29 black candles for a net of 8 black candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 52.9555. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 36.69. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -60. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed up 0.570 at 1,212.540. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 26% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,213.52 1,249.91 1,295.43
Volatility: 8 9 11
Volume: 12 2 1
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 6.4% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAU= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 38 periods.
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