Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) safe-haven demand has been featured the past few sessions amid an escalating U.S.-China trade war
Gold prices near steady and pausing in early U.S. trading Tuesday, after scoring another six-year high in overnight dealings. Safe-haven demand has been featured the past few sessions amid an escalating U.S.-China trade war. December gold futures were last up $0.10 an ounce at 1,476.60. September Comex silver prices were last up $0.037 at $16.43 an ounce.
Asian and European stock markets were mixed overnight. Asian stock markets were down and European stock indexes were higher. U.S. stock indexes recovered from follow-through early overnight losses and are set to open higher when the New York day session begins. Serious near-term technical damage has been inflicted on the U.S. stock indexes, to suggest they have put in at least near-term tops. Remember that the historically turbulent stock market months of September and October are right around the corner.
Technically, the gold bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. A 10-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in October futures above solid resistance at $1,500.00. Bears’ next near-term downside price breakout objective is pushing December futures prices below solid technical support at $1,425.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,486.80 and then at $1,500.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,468.20 and then at $1,454.00.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
The projected upper bound is: 1,517.34.
The projected lower bound is: 1,438.41.
The projected closing price is: 1,477.88.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 7 white candles and 3 black candles for a net of 4 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 30 white candles and 20 black candles for a net of 10 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 92.5877. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 12 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 67.50. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 23 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 228.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a sell 11 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 1 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed up 10.380 at 1,473.980. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 9% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,435.22 1,389.52 1,305.46
Volatility: 19 18 13
Volume: 2,774 555 139
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 12.9% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAU= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 3 periods. The security price has set a new 14-period high while our momentum oscillator has not. This is a bearish divergence.
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