Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) profit taking after hitting a 10-month high last week
Technically, April gold futures prices closed nearer the session low on more profit taking after hitting a 10-month high last week. The bulls still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. There are still no early chart clues that a market top is close at hand. A 3.5-month-old price uptrend is still in place on the daily bar chart.
Gold bulls’ next upside near-term price breakout objective is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at $1,350.00. Bears’ next near-term downside price breakout objective is pushing prices below solid technical support at the February low of $1,304.70. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,334.90 and then at $1,340.00. First support is seen at Friday’s low of $1,323.80 and then at $1,320.00.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 1,349.74.
The projected lower bound is: 1,307.65.
The projected closing price is: 1,328.69.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 28 white candles and 22 black candles for a net of 6 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 24.3724. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 59.97. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 45. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed up 0.400 at 1,327.070. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 18% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,324.98 1,296.86 1,246.58
Volatility: 11 10 11
Volume: 6 1 0
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 6.5% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is low as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAU= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 57 periods.
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