Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) poised to continue on breaking support levels

Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) poised to continue on breaking support levels

Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) poised to continue on breaking support levels

Gold has been clinging to the trend-line from August for the better part of the past 5 weeks, with it only once lifting off it with any meaning. That may soon change as the trend from the February high looks poised to continue on with gold breaking support levels here shortly.

There are a couple of ways of looking at the chart here. The first is a continuation-style head-and-shoulders pattern where the neckline lies not too far below near the 1266 double-bottom low from late-April, early-May. Another view is that price action in recent weeks is creating a wedge.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 1,307.31.

The projected lower bound is: 1,268.74.

The projected closing price is: 1,288.03.

Candlesticks

A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 3 white candles and 7 black candles for a net of 4 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 21 white candles and 29 black candles for a net of 8 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 62.7714. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 53.91. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 69 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -2. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAU= closed up 9.300 at 1,288.500. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 37% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1,279.3601,288.8721,274.4401,288.500 20,525

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,280.20 1,287.53 1,260.07
Volatility: 8 10 11
Volume: 2,053 411 103

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

PREC.M.XAU= is currently 2.3% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAU= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 12 periods.

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