Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) jumped into positive territory as U.S. consumers spent less than expected last month
U.S. retail sales fell 0.3% in September following August’s revised rise of 0.6%, according to the latest data from the U.S. Commerce Department, released Wednesday; the data missed expectations as economists were forecasting an increase of 0.3%.
Meanwhile, core sales, which strips out vehicle sales dropped 0.1% last month, following August’s unchanged reading. Economists were expecting to see a 0.2% rise.
The control group, which excludes autos, gas, building materials, and food services was unchanged last month. Economists were expecting to see a 0.3% increase.
Gold prices were in negative territory ahead of the report and have spiked higher in initial reaction. December gold futures last traded at $1,488.10 an ounce, up 0.31% on the day.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 1,527.27.
The projected lower bound is: 1,452.12.
The projected closing price is: 1,489.69.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 23 white candles and 27 black candles for a net of 4 black candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 32.6042. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 47.02. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 35 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -61. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 10 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed up 8.990 at 1,489.910. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 39% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,496.01 1,506.95 1,373.35
Volatility: 10 16 14
Volume: 6,361 1,272 318
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 8.5% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAU= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 25 periods.
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