GOLD 1 OZ (XAU=X) head lower from a three-month perspective
The impact of stronger dollar index, low demand from India, trade war, increasing bond US yields, meagre flows into SPDR gold trust, optimism in the US economy, good economic data sets in the US are the factors for gold prices to head lower from a three-month perspective.
The $1,200 level seems to be the psychological resistance point for gold prices in the international markets, while the range play for gold prices will be from $1,180 to $1.260. However, investment in gold will not have fruitful returns in the near term.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
The projected upper bound is: 1,248.83.
The projected lower bound is: 1,196.07.
The projected closing price is: 1,222.45.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 26 white candles and 24 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 80.9261. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 39 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 59.49. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 43 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 105.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
PREC.M.XAU= closed down -1.760 at 1,222.270. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 20% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bearish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,208.70 1,199.13 1,275.91
Volatility: 17 14 12
Volume: 1,801 360 90
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
PREC.M.XAU= is currently 4.2% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAU= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 3 periods.
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