Home Commodities Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) fighting the downtrend, nearing old support zone

Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) fighting the downtrend, nearing old support zone


Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) fighting the downtrend, nearing old support zone

The downtrend off the February high print at $1,346.8/oz. remains in play, just, while the short-term upside is capped between $1,287/oz. (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) and the May 17 high at $1,289/oz. To break the series of recent lower highs, gold needs to break and close above the May 14 high at $1,303.4/oz.

A break below the $1,277 – $1,281/oz. zone opens the way to 200-day ma support, currently at $1,271.6/oz. A break either way may be sharp.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

The projected upper bound is: 1,297.65.

The projected lower bound is: 1,259.49.

The projected closing price is: 1,278.57.


A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 2 white candles and 8 black candles for a net of 6 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 22 white candles and 28 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 74.3243. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 45.96. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 67 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -44. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAU= closed down -5.740 at 1,279.060. Volume was -0% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 32% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1,285.1501,286.4231,275.6301,279.060 0

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,281.71 1,288.55 1,259.16
Volatility: 8 9 11
Volume: 0 0 0

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


PREC.M.XAU= is currently 1.6% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume into XAU= (bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 10 periods.

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