Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) fall in thin trade as risk aversion recedes

Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) fall in thin trade as risk aversion recedes

Gold 1 OZ (XAU=X) fall in thin trade as risk aversion recedes

Gold prices slipped on Monday as risk aversion waned with the progress in U.S.-China trade talks, while a firm dollar kept the bullion under pressure.

Spot gold was down 0.4 percent to $1,312.56 per ounce as of 0455 GMT, having hit their highest since April 26 at $1,326.30 on Thursday.

U.S. gold futures fell 0.4 percent to $1,317 per ounce.

“The plunge (from Thursday’s peak) came along with fading enthusiastic for safe-havens, as U.S. and China are moving to close a deal and many uncertainties surrounding the U.S. government shutdown, Brexit, Fed policy were cleared last week,” said Margaret Yang, a market analyst with CMC Markets.

The U.S.-China trade talks had a “good vibe” with much work remaining, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said on Friday, fanning hopes of an end to the long-drawn trade tiff between the world’s two largest economies.

Meanwhile, the dollar was near a one-week high against the yen on the back of robust U.S. jobs data.

“Upbeat non-farm payroll suggests the U.S. economy is riding a strong momentum, dampening demand for safe-haven assets like gold,” Yang said, adding that this failed to change the market’s view of the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance with regard to its monetary tightening policy.

Despite signs of a robust economy, the Fed is widely expected to keep rates steady this year, thanks to heightened worries over global growth, especially in China and Europe.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1,269.13.

The projected upper bound is: 1,331.96.

The projected lower bound is: 1,292.99.

The projected closing price is: 1,312.48.


A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 6 white candles and 4 black candles for a net of 2 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 27 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 4 white candles.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 70.4006. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 64.08. This is not a topping or bottoming area. However, the RSI just crossed below 70 from a topping formation. This is a bearish sign. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 76. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.


The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 4 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

PREC.M.XAU= closed down -7.220 at 1,310.710. Volume was 8,900% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 21% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
1,317.4801,318.7301,309.8301,310.710 7,304

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 1,303.44 1,269.64 1,245.48
Volatility: 12 10 11
Volume: 730 146 37

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.


PREC.M.XAU= is currently 5.2% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect very strong flows of volume out of XAU= (bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on XAU= and have had this outlook for the last 41 periods.

The following two tabs change content below.
HEFFX has become one of Asia’s leading financial services companies with interests in Publishing, Private Equity, Capital Markets, Mining, Retail, Transport and Agriculture that span every continent of the world. Our clearing partners have unprecedented experience in Equities, Options, Forex and Commodities brokering, banking, physical metals dealing, floor brokering and trading.

You must be logged in to post comments :